Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Gea
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 11:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jiri Lehecka
Jiri …: 80,8% Arthur …: 19,3%
¿Por qué Jiri Lehecka?
UTR 15,60 vs 14,57 (+1,57) — Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jiri … Arthur … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,28 3,75 78,1%
Gamdom 1,34 3,55 74,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,24 5,19 80,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Jiri …: +6,2% Arthur …: -6,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jiri Lehecka
Ranking #19
UTR Rating 15,60 Pro
UTR Ranking #18
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 23/36 = 63,9%
Arthur Gea
Ranking #198
UTR Rating 14,57 Pro
UTR Ranking #170
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 5/12 = 41,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 178,0000
rank_ratio 10,3684
log_rank_ratio 2,3388
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 1790,0000
best_rank_diff 181,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 22,2222
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 13,6875
surface_matches_ratio 3,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 63,8889
surface_wr_p2 41,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 62,5000
surface_wr_p2_stable 43,7500
p1_surface_matches 36,0000
p2_surface_matches 12,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2778
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,4600
combined_confidence 0,7300
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 7,8142
first_serve_won_diff 3,0389
second_serve_won_diff 1,9083
bp_saved_diff -3,1056
bp_converted_diff 9,6972
aces_per_match_diff 2,8611
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,6000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 92,0000
momentum_diff -62,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -39,3240
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 10,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,1149
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3846
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 8,2215
serve_consistency_p2 7,5631
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 51,9725
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0391
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0947
elite_surface_amplifier 66,6667
UTR
utr_diff 1,5700
utr_p1 0,9176
utr_p2 0,7329
utr_advantage 10,4562
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23154
API ID 15373166
Gamdom ID 601543
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23154,
    "api_id": 15373166,
    "gamdom_id": 601543,
    "player1": "Jiri Lehecka",
    "player2": "Arthur Gea",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-19T07:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.28,
      "p2": 3.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.34,
      "p2": 3.55
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.32,
      "p2": 3.36
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8075,
    "prob_p2": 0.1925,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8075,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 19,
      "utr_singles": 15.6,
      "utr_ranking": 18,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.888888888888886,
      "wr_surface_wins": 23,
      "wr_surface_total": 36,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 198,
      "utr_singles": 14.57,
      "utr_ranking": 170,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.6,
      "ranking": 18,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.57,
      "ranking": 170,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.9176470588235295,
    "utr_p2": 0.7329411764705883,
    "utr_diff": 1.5700000000000003,
    "rank_ratio": 10.368421052631579,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.0,
    "momentum_p2": 92.0,
    "points_diff": 1790,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -3.1055555555555685,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6000000000000001,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -62.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.46,
    "surface_wr_p1": 63.888888888888886,
    "surface_wr_p2": 41.66666666666667,
    "utr_advantage": 10.456210456210457,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 181,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.3387647495715482,
    "rank_advantage": 178,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.38461538461538464,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 22.222222222222214,
    "bp_converted_diff": 9.697222222222226,
    "p1_surface_matches": 36,
    "p2_surface_matches": 12,
    "serve_quality_diff": 7.814166666666658,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.114864864864865,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.8611111111111116,
    "combined_confidence": 0.73,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.038888888888877,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2777777777777778,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.22149375867529,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.563144784734495,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 51.97254999047883,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.5,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.75,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.9083333333333385,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -39.324,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 66.66666666666664,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 10,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.039111111111111097,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09466666666666668,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 13.6875,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}