Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Gea
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 11:35
19 Ene 2026, 11:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jiri Lehecka
Jiri …: 80,8%
Arthur …: 19,3%
¿Por qué Jiri Lehecka?
UTR 15,60 vs 14,57
(+1,57)
— Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jiri … | Arthur … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,28 | 3,75 | 78,1% |
| Gamdom | 1,34 | 3,55 | 74,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,24 | 5,19 | 80,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Jiri …: +6,2%
Arthur …: -6,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jiri Lehecka
Ranking
#19
UTR Rating
15,60 Pro
UTR Ranking
#18
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
23/36 = 63,9%
Arthur Gea
Ranking
#198
UTR Rating
14,57 Pro
UTR Ranking
#170
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
5/12 = 41,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 178,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 10,3684 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,3388 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1790,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 181,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 22,2222 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 13,6875 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 63,8889 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 41,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43,7500 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 36,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2778 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7300 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 7,8142 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,0389 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,9083 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3,1056 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 9,6972 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,8611 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -62,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -39,3240 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1149 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3846 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,2215 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,5631 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 51,9725 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0391 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0947 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 66,6667 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,5700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9176 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7329 | |
| utr_advantage | 10,4562 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23154
API ID
15373166
Gamdom ID
601543
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23154,
"api_id": 15373166,
"gamdom_id": 601543,
"player1": "Jiri Lehecka",
"player2": "Arthur Gea",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-19T07:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.28,
"p2": 3.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.34,
"p2": 3.55
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.32,
"p2": 3.36
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8075,
"prob_p2": 0.1925,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8075,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.6,
"utr_ranking": 18,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.888888888888886,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 198,
"utr_singles": 14.57,
"utr_ranking": 170,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
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}
},
"utr": {
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},
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"ranking": 170,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 1.5700000000000003,
"rank_ratio": 10.368421052631579,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 30.0,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"points_diff": 1790,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.1055555555555685,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6000000000000001,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -62.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.46,
"surface_wr_p1": 63.888888888888886,
"surface_wr_p2": 41.66666666666667,
"utr_advantage": 10.456210456210457,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 181,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.3387647495715482,
"rank_advantage": 178,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.38461538461538464,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 22.222222222222214,
"bp_converted_diff": 9.697222222222226,
"p1_surface_matches": 36,
"p2_surface_matches": 12,
"serve_quality_diff": 7.814166666666658,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.114864864864865,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.8611111111111116,
"combined_confidence": 0.73,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.038888888888877,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2777777777777778,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.22149375867529,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.563144784734495,
"surface_rank_synergy": 51.97254999047883,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.5,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.75,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.9083333333333385,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -39.324,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 66.66666666666664,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 10,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.039111111111111097,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09466666666666668,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 13.6875,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
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"feature_importance": {}
}