Kamil Majchrzak vs Jacob Fearnley
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 08:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Kamil Majchrzak
Kamil …: 58,7% Jacob …: 41,3%
¿Por qué Kamil Majchrzak?
UTR 15,41 vs 15,30 — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Kamil … Jacob … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,57 2,38 63,7%
Gamdom 1,46 2,90 68,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,70 2,42 58,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Kamil …: -1,6% Jacob …: +1,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kamil Majchrzak
Ranking #59
UTR Rating 15,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #36
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 20/30 = 66,7%
Jacob Fearnley
Ranking #77
UTR Rating 15,30 Pro
UTR Ranking #49
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 18/32 = 56,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 19,0000
rank_ratio 1,3276
log_rank_ratio 0,2834
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 166,0000
best_rank_diff -9,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 10,4167
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 9,1503
surface_matches_ratio 0,9375
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 66,6667
surface_wr_p2 56,2500
surface_wr_p1_stable 64,7059
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,5556
p1_surface_matches 30,0000
p2_surface_matches 32,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 2,0822
first_serve_won_diff 4,8306
second_serve_won_diff -6,1244
bp_saved_diff 4,5825
bp_converted_diff 1,1050
aces_per_match_diff 0,7521
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 52,0000
momentum_p2 20,0000
momentum_diff 32,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 32,6620
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 8,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 4,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0866
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8867
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5714
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6250
serve_consistency_p1 9,8394
serve_consistency_p2 6,6853
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2,9517
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1477
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0815
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8765
utr_p2 0,8765
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23158
API ID 15372349
Gamdom ID 601095
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23158,
    "api_id": 15372349,
    "gamdom_id": 601095,
    "player1": "Kamil Majchrzak",
    "player2": "Jacob Fearnley",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-19T04:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5699999999999998,
      "p2": 2.38
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.46,
      "p2": 2.9
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.43,
      "p2": 2.77
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5866,
    "prob_p2": 0.4134,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5866,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 59,
      "utr_singles": 15.41,
      "utr_ranking": 36,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 77,
      "utr_singles": 15.3,
      "utr_ranking": 49,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.25,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.41,
      "ranking": 36,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.3,
      "ranking": 49,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.876470588235294,
    "utr_p2": 0.876470588235294,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.3275862068965518,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 52.0,
    "momentum_p2": 20.0,
    "points_diff": 166,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 4.582499999999996,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 32.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p2": 56.25,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -9,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.2833624113072646,
    "rank_advantage": 19,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 10.416666666666657,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.105000000000004,
    "p1_surface_matches": 30,
    "p2_surface_matches": 32,
    "serve_quality_diff": 2.082166666666666,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0866141732283465,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8866995073891626,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.7520833333333332,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 4.830624999999998,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.839434640889547,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.685268383630671,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.95169178445067,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 64.70588235294117,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.55555555555556,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -6.124375000000001,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.9375,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 32.662000000000006,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1476666666666665,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08150000000000002,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.150326797385617,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}