Kamil Majchrzak vs Jacob Fearnley
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 08:35
19 Ene 2026, 08:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Kamil Majchrzak
Kamil …: 58,7%
Jacob …: 41,3%
¿Por qué Kamil Majchrzak?
UTR 15,41 vs 15,30
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Kamil … | Jacob … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,57 | 2,38 | 63,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,46 | 2,90 | 68,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,70 | 2,42 | 58,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Kamil …: -1,6%
Jacob …: +1,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kamil Majchrzak
Ranking
#59
UTR Rating
15,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#36
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
20/30 = 66,7%
Jacob Fearnley
Ranking
#77
UTR Rating
15,30 Pro
UTR Ranking
#49
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
18/32 = 56,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 19,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,3276 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2834 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 166,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -9,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 10,4167 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 9,1503 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9375 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56,2500 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 64,7059 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,5556 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,0822 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4,8306 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -6,1244 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4,5825 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,1050 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,7521 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 32,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 32,6620 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0866 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8867 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5714 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6250 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,8394 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,6853 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,9517 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1477 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0815 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8765 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8765 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23158
API ID
15372349
Gamdom ID
601095
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23158,
"api_id": 15372349,
"gamdom_id": 601095,
"player1": "Kamil Majchrzak",
"player2": "Jacob Fearnley",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-19T04:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5699999999999998,
"p2": 2.38
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.46,
"p2": 2.9
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.43,
"p2": 2.77
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5866,
"prob_p2": 0.4134,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5866,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 59,
"utr_singles": 15.41,
"utr_ranking": 36,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 77,
"utr_singles": 15.3,
"utr_ranking": 49,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.25,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 36,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 49,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.876470588235294,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.3275862068965518,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
"momentum_p2": 20.0,
"points_diff": 166,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.582499999999996,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 32.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2": 56.25,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -9,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.2833624113072646,
"rank_advantage": 19,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 10.416666666666657,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.105000000000004,
"p1_surface_matches": 30,
"p2_surface_matches": 32,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.082166666666666,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0866141732283465,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8866995073891626,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.7520833333333332,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.830624999999998,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.839434640889547,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.685268383630671,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.95169178445067,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 64.70588235294117,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.55555555555556,
"second_serve_won_diff": -6.124375000000001,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9375,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 32.662000000000006,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1476666666666665,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08150000000000002,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.150326797385617,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}