Laslo Djere vs Stan Wawrinka
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 08:15
19 Ene 2026, 08:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Stan Wawrinka
Laslo …: 34,3%
Stan …: 65,7%
¿Por qué Stan Wawrinka?
UTR 15,11 vs 14,64
(+0,53)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Laslo … | Stan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,20 | 1,67 | 45,5% |
| Gamdom | 2,05 | 1,84 | 48,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,92 | 1,52 | 34,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Laslo …: -8,9%
Stan …: +8,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Laslo Djere
Ranking
#92
UTR Rating
15,11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#79
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
4/12 = 33,3%
Stan Wawrinka
Ranking
#139
UTR Rating
14,64 Pro
UTR Ranking
#139
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
10/20 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 48,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,5275 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,4236 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 222,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -24,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -16,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -7,0417 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 37,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 20,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5633 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5,8422 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -7,1050 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,7433 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,5817 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,9817 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,5833 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 48,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 37,5260 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 11,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 2,4615 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6250 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,8466 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,6791 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -7,0602 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2147 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0480 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -16,6667 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8459 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7835 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,5511 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23160
API ID
15372368
Gamdom ID
601099
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23160,
"api_id": 15372368,
"gamdom_id": 601099,
"player1": "Laslo Djere",
"player2": "Stan Wawrinka",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-19T04:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.2,
"p2": 1.67
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.05,
"p2": 1.84
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.98,
"p2": 1.81
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3429,
"prob_p2": 0.6571,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6571,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 92,
"utr_singles": 15.11,
"utr_ranking": 79,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 139,
"utr_singles": 14.64,
"utr_ranking": 139,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 20,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 79,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 139,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7835294117647059,
"utr_diff": 0.5299999999999994,
"rank_ratio": 1.5274725274725274,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 2.0,
"points_diff": 222,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.5816666666666777,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 48.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.46,
"p2_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 33.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 3.5510887772194257,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -24,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.42361442661384163,
"rank_advantage": 48,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -16.66666666666667,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.981666666666662,
"p1_surface_matches": 12,
"p2_surface_matches": 20,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.842166666666664,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 2.4615384615384617,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.583333333333333,
"combined_confidence": 0.5633333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -7.10499999999999,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.846565665449376,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.679133835801565,
"surface_rank_synergy": -7.060240443564029,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 37.5,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.7433333333333394,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 37.525999999999996,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -16.66666666666667,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 11,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.21466666666666678,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04800000000000004,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.041666666666667,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}