Laslo Djere vs Stan Wawrinka
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 08:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Stan Wawrinka
Laslo …: 34,3% Stan …: 65,7%
¿Por qué Stan Wawrinka?
UTR 15,11 vs 14,64 (+0,53) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Laslo … Stan … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,20 1,67 45,5%
Gamdom 2,05 1,84 48,8%
IA Fair Odds 2,92 1,52 34,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Laslo …: -8,9% Stan …: +8,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Laslo Djere
Ranking #92
UTR Rating 15,11 Pro
UTR Ranking #79
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 4/12 = 33,3%
Stan Wawrinka
Ranking #139
UTR Rating 14,64 Pro
UTR Ranking #139
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 10/20 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 48,0000
rank_ratio 1,5275
log_rank_ratio 0,4236
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 222,0000
best_rank_diff -24,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -16,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -7,0417
surface_matches_ratio 0,6000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 33,3333
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 37,5000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 12,0000
p2_surface_matches 20,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4600
p2_confidence 0,6667
combined_confidence 0,5633
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -5,8422
first_serve_won_diff -7,1050
second_serve_won_diff -3,7433
bp_saved_diff 0,5817
bp_converted_diff -0,9817
aces_per_match_diff -0,5833
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 2,0000
momentum_diff 48,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 37,5260
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 11,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 6,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 2,4615
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6250
serve_consistency_p1 9,8466
serve_consistency_p2 4,6791
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -7,0602
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2147
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0480
elite_surface_amplifier -16,6667
UTR
utr_diff 0,5300
utr_p1 0,8459
utr_p2 0,7835
utr_advantage 3,5511
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23160
API ID 15372368
Gamdom ID 601099
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23160,
    "api_id": 15372368,
    "gamdom_id": 601099,
    "player1": "Laslo Djere",
    "player2": "Stan Wawrinka",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-19T04:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.67
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.05,
      "p2": 1.84
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.98,
      "p2": 1.81
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3429,
    "prob_p2": 0.6571,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6571,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 92,
      "utr_singles": 15.11,
      "utr_ranking": 79,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 139,
      "utr_singles": 14.64,
      "utr_ranking": 139,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 20,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.11,
      "ranking": 79,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.64,
      "ranking": 139,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8458823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.7835294117647059,
    "utr_diff": 0.5299999999999994,
    "rank_ratio": 1.5274725274725274,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 2.0,
    "points_diff": 222,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.5816666666666777,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 48.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.46,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 33.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 3.5510887772194257,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -24,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.42361442661384163,
    "rank_advantage": 48,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -16.66666666666667,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.981666666666662,
    "p1_surface_matches": 12,
    "p2_surface_matches": 20,
    "serve_quality_diff": -5.842166666666664,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 2.4615384615384617,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.583333333333333,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5633333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -7.10499999999999,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.846565665449376,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.679133835801565,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -7.060240443564029,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 37.5,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.7433333333333394,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 37.525999999999996,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -16.66666666666667,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 11,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.21466666666666678,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04800000000000004,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.041666666666667,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}