Learner Tien vs Marcos Giron
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 06:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Learner Tien
Learner …: 71,0% Marcos …: 29,0%
¿Por qué Learner Tien?
UTR 15,57 vs 15,30 (+0,35) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Learner … Marcos … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,57 2,38 63,7%
Gamdom 1,53 2,65 65,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,41 3,45 71,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Learner …: +10,7% Marcos …: -10,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Learner Tien
Ranking #29
UTR Rating 15,57 Pro
UTR Ranking #24
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 35/50 = 70,0%
Marcos Giron
Ranking #51
UTR Rating 15,30 Pro
UTR Ranking #54
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 12/28 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 33,0000
rank_ratio 2,2222
log_rank_ratio 0,7985
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 645,0000
best_rank_diff 11,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 27,1429
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 23,9429
surface_matches_ratio 1,7857
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 70,0000
surface_wr_p2 42,8571
surface_wr_p1_stable 68,5185
surface_wr_p2_stable 43,7500
p1_surface_matches 50,0000
p2_surface_matches 28,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,9333
combined_confidence 0,9667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,3104
first_serve_won_diff -0,7003
second_serve_won_diff 4,9229
bp_saved_diff 0,0189
bp_converted_diff 8,4577
aces_per_match_diff -1,7186
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 92,0000
momentum_diff -32,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -16,1000
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 10,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 7,0000
match_load_diff -5,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6667
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9215
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6429
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 6,9010
serve_consistency_p2 5,1197
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 21,6738
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1670
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0384
elite_surface_amplifier 27,1429
UTR
utr_diff 0,3500
utr_p1 0,9059
utr_p2 0,8647
utr_advantage 2,2544
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23161
API ID 15372348
Gamdom ID 601109
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23161,
    "api_id": 15372348,
    "gamdom_id": 601109,
    "player1": "Learner Tien",
    "player2": "Marcos Giron",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-19T02:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5699999999999998,
      "p2": 2.38
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.53,
      "p2": 2.65
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.52,
      "p2": 2.52
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7099,
    "prob_p2": 0.2901,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7099,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 29,
      "utr_singles": 15.57,
      "utr_ranking": 24,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 70.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 35,
      "wr_surface_total": 50,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 51,
      "utr_singles": 15.3,
      "utr_ranking": 54,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 15.57,
      "ranking": 24,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.3,
      "ranking": 54,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.9058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.8647058823529411,
    "utr_diff": 0.34999999999999964,
    "rank_ratio": 2.2222222222222223,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 60.0,
    "momentum_p2": 92.0,
    "points_diff": 645,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.018857142857143572,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 7,
    "momentum_diff": -32.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 70.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
    "utr_advantage": 2.254428341384861,
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    "best_rank_diff": 11,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.7985076962177716,
    "rank_advantage": 33,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6428571428571429,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": -5,
    "surface_wr_diff": 27.142857142857146,
    "bp_converted_diff": 8.457714285714289,
    "p1_surface_matches": 50,
    "p2_surface_matches": 28,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.3104285714285595,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9214659685863874,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.7185714285714289,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.7002857142856982,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.4,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.90096721027192,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.119698973550368,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 21.673780325910947,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 68.51851851851852,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.75,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.922857142857133,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.7857142857142858,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -16.099999999999994,
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    "days_since_last_match_p1": 10,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.16700000000000004,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.038428571428571534,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 23.942901234567902,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}