Learner Tien vs Marcos Giron
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 06:50
19 Ene 2026, 06:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Learner Tien
Learner …: 71,0%
Marcos …: 29,0%
¿Por qué Learner Tien?
UTR 15,57 vs 15,30
(+0,35)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Learner … | Marcos … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,57 | 2,38 | 63,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,53 | 2,65 | 65,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,41 | 3,45 | 71,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Learner …: +10,7%
Marcos …: -10,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Learner Tien
Ranking
#29
UTR Rating
15,57 Pro
UTR Ranking
#24
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
35/50 = 70,0%
Marcos Giron
Ranking
#51
UTR Rating
15,30 Pro
UTR Ranking
#54
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
12/28 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 33,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,2222 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,7985 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 645,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 11,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 27,1429 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 23,9429 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,7857 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 68,5185 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43,7500 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 50,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,3104 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,7003 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,9229 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0189 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 8,4577 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,7186 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -32,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -16,1000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -5,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9215 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6429 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,9010 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,1197 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 21,6738 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1670 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0384 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 27,1429 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9059 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8647 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,2544 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23161
API ID
15372348
Gamdom ID
601109
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23161,
"api_id": 15372348,
"gamdom_id": 601109,
"player1": "Learner Tien",
"player2": "Marcos Giron",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-19T02:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5699999999999998,
"p2": 2.38
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.53,
"p2": 2.65
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.52,
"p2": 2.52
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7099,
"prob_p2": 0.2901,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7099,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 29,
"utr_singles": 15.57,
"utr_ranking": 24,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 70.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 35,
"wr_surface_total": 50,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 51,
"utr_singles": 15.3,
"utr_ranking": 54,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.57,
"ranking": 24,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.3,
"ranking": 54,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.9058823529411764,
"utr_p2": 0.8647058823529411,
"utr_diff": 0.34999999999999964,
"rank_ratio": 2.2222222222222223,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"points_diff": 645,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.018857142857143572,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 7,
"momentum_diff": -32.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 70.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
"utr_advantage": 2.254428341384861,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 11,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.7985076962177716,
"rank_advantage": 33,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6428571428571429,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": -5,
"surface_wr_diff": 27.142857142857146,
"bp_converted_diff": 8.457714285714289,
"p1_surface_matches": 50,
"p2_surface_matches": 28,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.3104285714285595,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9214659685863874,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.7185714285714289,
"combined_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.7002857142856982,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.4,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.90096721027192,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.119698973550368,
"surface_rank_synergy": 21.673780325910947,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 68.51851851851852,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.75,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.922857142857133,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.7857142857142858,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -16.099999999999994,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 27.142857142857146,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 10,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.16700000000000004,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.038428571428571534,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 23.942901234567902,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}