Liam Draxl vs Damir Džumhur
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
18 Ene 2026, 07:40
18 Ene 2026, 07:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Liam Draxl
Liam …: 70,4%
Damir …: 29,6%
¿Por qué Liam Draxl?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Liam … | Damir … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,10 | 1,73 | 47,6% |
| Gamdom | 2,13 | 1,79 | 46,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,42 | 3,37 | 70,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Liam …: +25,2%
Damir …: -25,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Liam Draxl
Ranking
#145
UTR Rating
14,24 Pro
UTR Ranking
#263
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
35/56 = 62,5%
Damir Džumhur
Ranking
#66
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
9/21 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -79,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,4552 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,7871 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -408,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -90,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 19,6429 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 15,0167 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,6667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 61,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 44,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 56,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 21,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2500 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 8,1196 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 9,8875 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,3821 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,0232 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7,3911 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,0952 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 1,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 82,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 59,8400 | |
| current_streak_diff | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,4949 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7647 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3750 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,5454 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0919 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -15,4605 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2040 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1504 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7447 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7447 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23162
API ID
15373169
Gamdom ID
601556
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23162,
"api_id": 15373169,
"gamdom_id": 601556,
"player1": "Liam Draxl",
"player2": "Damir D\u017eumhur",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-18T03:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.1,
"p2": 1.73
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.13,
"p2": 1.79
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 8.32,
"p2": 1.08
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7036,
"prob_p2": 0.2964,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7036,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 145,
"utr_singles": 14.24,
"utr_ranking": 263,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 35,
"wr_surface_total": 56,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 66,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.24,
"ranking": 263,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7447058823529412,
"utr_p2": 0.7447058823529412,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.45517241379310347,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 8.0,
"points_diff": -408,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.023214285714282,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 1.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 81.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.7,
"surface_wr_p1": 62.5,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -90,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.7870790003941488,
"rank_advantage": -79,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7647058823529411,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.375,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 19.642857142857146,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.391071428571429,
"p1_surface_matches": 56,
"p2_surface_matches": 21,
"serve_quality_diff": 8.119583333333338,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.494949494949495,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.0952380952380953,
"combined_confidence": 0.85,
"current_streak_diff": 6,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 9.887499999999996,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.25,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.545366107174752,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.091863879747052,
"surface_rank_synergy": -15.460480364885068,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.66666666666667,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.3821428571428527,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.6666666666666665,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 59.84,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.20399999999999996,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1504285714285714,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.016666666666671,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}