Liam Draxl vs Damir Džumhur
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
18 Ene 2026, 07:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Liam Draxl
Liam …: 70,4% Damir …: 29,6%
¿Por qué Liam Draxl?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Liam … Damir … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,10 1,73 47,6%
Gamdom 2,13 1,79 46,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,42 3,37 70,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Liam …: +25,2% Damir …: -25,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Liam Draxl
Ranking #145
UTR Rating 14,24 Pro
UTR Ranking #263
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 35/56 = 62,5%
Damir Džumhur
Ranking #66
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 9/21 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -79,0000
rank_ratio 0,4552
log_rank_ratio -0,7871
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -408,0000
best_rank_diff -90,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 19,6429
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 15,0167
surface_matches_ratio 2,6667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 62,5000
surface_wr_p2 42,8571
surface_wr_p1_stable 61,6667
surface_wr_p2_stable 44,0000
p1_surface_matches 56,0000
p2_surface_matches 21,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2500
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,7000
combined_confidence 0,8500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 8,1196
first_serve_won_diff 9,8875
second_serve_won_diff -3,3821
bp_saved_diff 2,0232
bp_converted_diff -7,3911
aces_per_match_diff 2,0952
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 1,0000
momentum_p1 90,0000
momentum_p2 8,0000
momentum_diff 82,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 59,8400
current_streak_diff 6,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 4,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,4949
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7647
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3750
serve_consistency_p1 7,5454
serve_consistency_p2 10,0919
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -15,4605
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2040
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1504
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7447
utr_p2 0,7447
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23162
API ID 15373169
Gamdom ID 601556
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23162,
    "api_id": 15373169,
    "gamdom_id": 601556,
    "player1": "Liam Draxl",
    "player2": "Damir D\u017eumhur",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-18T03:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.1,
      "p2": 1.73
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.13,
      "p2": 1.79
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 8.32,
      "p2": 1.08
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7036,
    "prob_p2": 0.2964,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7036,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 145,
      "utr_singles": 14.24,
      "utr_ranking": 263,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 35,
      "wr_surface_total": 56,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 66,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 9,
      "wr_surface_total": 21,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 14.24,
      "ranking": 263,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7447058823529412,
    "utr_p2": 0.7447058823529412,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.45517241379310347,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 8.0,
    "points_diff": -408,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.023214285714282,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 1.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 81.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7,
    "surface_wr_p1": 62.5,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -90,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.7870790003941488,
    "rank_advantage": -79,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7647058823529411,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.375,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 19.642857142857146,
    "bp_converted_diff": -7.391071428571429,
    "p1_surface_matches": 56,
    "p2_surface_matches": 21,
    "serve_quality_diff": 8.119583333333338,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.494949494949495,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.0952380952380953,
    "combined_confidence": 0.85,
    "current_streak_diff": 6,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 9.887499999999996,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.25,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.545366107174752,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.091863879747052,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -15.460480364885068,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.66666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.3821428571428527,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.6666666666666665,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 59.84,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.20399999999999996,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1504285714285714,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.016666666666671,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}