Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hamad Medjedovic
Mariano …: 25,3% Hamad …: 74,7%
¿Por qué Hamad Medjedovic?
UTR 14,85 vs 15,24 (-0,24) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Mariano … Hamad … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,40 1,33 29,4%
Gamdom 3,10 1,41 32,3%
IA Fair Odds 3,95 1,34 25,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Mariano …: -2,8% Hamad …: +2,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mariano Navone
Ranking #74
UTR Rating 14,85 Pro
UTR Ranking #104
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 5/17 = 29,4%
Hamad Medjedovic
Ranking #90
UTR Rating 15,24 Pro
UTR Ranking #58
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 18/30 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 22,0000
rank_ratio 1,2973
log_rank_ratio 0,2603
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 117,0000
best_rank_diff 28,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -30,5882
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -19,9673
surface_matches_ratio 0,5667
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 29,4118
surface_wr_p2 60,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 33,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 58,8235
p1_surface_matches 17,0000
p2_surface_matches 30,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,4118
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -12,9163
first_serve_won_diff -6,8800
second_serve_won_diff -1,6400
bp_saved_diff -8,4800
bp_converted_diff -10,7400
aces_per_match_diff -4,4922
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 10,0000
momentum_p2 58,0000
momentum_diff -48,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -44,8500
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 5,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7238
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,2381
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5294
serve_consistency_p1 4,3527
serve_consistency_p2 9,2219
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -7,9616
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2279
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1220
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2400
utr_p1 0,8353
utr_p2 0,8635
utr_advantage -1,5769
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23166
API ID 15372358
Gamdom ID 601106
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23166,
    "api_id": 15372358,
    "gamdom_id": 601106,
    "player1": "Mariano Navone",
    "player2": "Hamad Medjedovic",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-19T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.4,
      "p2": 1.33
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.1,
      "p2": 1.41
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.99,
      "p2": 1.38
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.253,
    "prob_p2": 0.747,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.747,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 74,
      "utr_singles": 14.85,
      "utr_ranking": 104,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 29.411764705882355,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 17,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 90,
      "utr_singles": 15.24,
      "utr_ranking": 58,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.85,
      "ranking": 104,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.24,
      "ranking": 58,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8352941176470587,
    "utr_p2": 0.8635294117647059,
    "utr_diff": -0.2400000000000002,
    "rank_ratio": 1.2972972972972974,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 10.0,
    "momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 117,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -8.480000000000004,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -47.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 29.411764705882355,
    "surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
    "utr_advantage": -1.5768725361366638,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 28,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.2602830982636665,
    "rank_advantage": 22,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5294117647058824,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -30.588235294117645,
    "bp_converted_diff": -10.740000000000002,
    "p1_surface_matches": 17,
    "p2_surface_matches": 30,
    "serve_quality_diff": -12.916313725490205,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7238095238095238,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.2380952380952381,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -4.492156862745098,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -6.88000000000001,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.4117647058823529,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.352660438836641,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.221939509615648,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -7.961600652770976,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 33.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.82352941176471,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.6400000000000077,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5666666666666667,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -44.85000000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.22788235294117648,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.122,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -19.967320261437916,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}