Martin Damm Jr vs Valentin Vacherot
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 11:45
19 Ene 2026, 11:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Valentin Vacherot
Martin …: 38,6%
Valentin …: 61,4%
¿Por qué Valentin Vacherot?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Martin … | Valentin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,75 | 1,44 | 36,4% |
| Gamdom | 2,80 | 1,48 | 35,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,59 | 1,63 | 38,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Martin …: +4,2%
Valentin …: -4,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Martin Damm Jr
Ranking
#177
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
78% (9p)
WR Hard
15/23 = 65,2%
Valentin Vacherot
Ranking
#31
UTR Rating
15,59 Pro
UTR Ranking
#16
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
21/32 = 65,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -145,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1808 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,7104 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -1136,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -143,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -0,4076 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,8179 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7188 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 65,2174 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 65,6250 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 62,9630 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 63,8889 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3043 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 12,9264 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,7274 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,1292 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0,3973 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,6061 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4,7120 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 60,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 36,4600 | |
| current_streak_diff | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,5625 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5455 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,1542 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,8282 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,6972 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2972 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0112 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9188 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9188 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23167
API ID
15373162
Gamdom ID
601542
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23167,
"api_id": 15373162,
"gamdom_id": 601542,
"player1": "Martin Damm Jr",
"player2": "Valentin Vacherot",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-19T07:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.75,
"p2": 1.44
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.8,
"p2": 1.48
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.7,
"p2": 1.46
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3858,
"prob_p2": 0.6142,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6142,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 177,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.21739130434783,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 77.77777777777779,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 9
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 31,
"utr_singles": 15.59,
"utr_ranking": 16,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.625,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 16,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.9188235294117648,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.1807909604519774,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 32.0,
"points_diff": -1136,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.39728260869566157,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 60.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 65.21739130434783,
"surface_wr_p2": 65.625,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -143,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.7104138297741025,
"rank_advantage": -145,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5454545454545454,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -0.40760869565217206,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.60611413043479,
"p1_surface_matches": 23,
"p2_surface_matches": 32,
"serve_quality_diff": 12.926399456521736,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.5625,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.711956521739131,
"combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 4,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.7274456521739125,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.30434782608695654,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.1542498838527635,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.828206067368654,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.6971795501796582,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.96296296296296,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.888888888888886,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.1292119565217433,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.71875,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 36.459999999999994,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2971739130434783,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.011249999999999982,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.8179012345678993,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}