Miomir Kecmanovic vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
18 Ene 2026, 04:00
18 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Miomir Kecmanovic
Miomir …: 53,5%
Tomas …: 46,5%
¿Por qué Miomir Kecmanovic?
UTR 15,13 vs 15,29
(-0,10)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Miomir … | Tomas … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,10 | 1,73 | 47,6% |
| Gamdom | 2,16 | 1,76 | 46,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,87 | 2,15 | 53,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Miomir …: +8,3%
Tomas …: -8,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Miomir Kecmanovic
Ranking
#60
UTR Rating
15,13 Pro
UTR Ranking
#77
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
16/33 = 48,5%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Ranking
#62
UTR Rating
15,29 Pro
UTR Ranking
#52
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
14/26 = 53,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0339 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0333 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 15,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -5,3613 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -4,3724 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2692 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 48,4848 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53,8462 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 48,6486 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0303 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,7276 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,8573 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,8979 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,1070 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,9077 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,5128 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -11,9300 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,3871 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0407 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3571 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2857 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,0020 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,6434 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,1787 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0172 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0405 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8506 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8624 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,6545 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23172
API ID
15372354
Gamdom ID
601091
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23172,
"api_id": 15372354,
"gamdom_id": 601091,
"player1": "Miomir Kecmanovic",
"player2": "Tomas Martin Etcheverry",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-18T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.1,
"p2": 1.73
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.16,
"p2": 1.76
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.1,
"p2": 1.72
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5351,
"prob_p2": 0.4649,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5351,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 60,
"utr_singles": 15.13,
"utr_ranking": 77,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.484848484848484,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 62,
"utr_singles": 15.29,
"utr_ranking": 52,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 77,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 52,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8623529411764705,
"utr_diff": -0.09999999999999964,
"rank_ratio": 1.0338983050847457,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 10.0,
"momentum_p2": 22.0,
"points_diff": 15,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.1069930069930223,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -12.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 48.484848484848484,
"surface_wr_p2": 53.84615384615385,
"utr_advantage": -0.6544502617801023,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.03333642026759171,
"rank_advantage": 2,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.35714285714285715,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2857142857142857,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -5.361305361305362,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.907692307692308,
"p1_surface_matches": 33,
"p2_surface_matches": 26,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.7275990675990798,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.3870967741935485,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0406504065040652,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.5128205128205128,
"combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.8573426573426417,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.030303030303030304,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.001954098838173,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.64335095891583,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.1787267287073682,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.64864864864865,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.333333333333336,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.8979020979020973,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2692307692307692,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -11.93,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.01715151515151514,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04046153846153844,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.372372372372371,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}