Miomir Kecmanovic vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
18 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Miomir Kecmanovic
Miomir …: 53,5% Tomas …: 46,5%
¿Por qué Miomir Kecmanovic?
UTR 15,13 vs 15,29 (-0,10) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Miomir … Tomas … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,10 1,73 47,6%
Gamdom 2,16 1,76 46,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,87 2,15 53,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Miomir …: +8,3% Tomas …: -8,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Miomir Kecmanovic
Ranking #60
UTR Rating 15,13 Pro
UTR Ranking #77
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 16/33 = 48,5%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Ranking #62
UTR Rating 15,29 Pro
UTR Ranking #52
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 14/26 = 53,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 2,0000
rank_ratio 1,0339
log_rank_ratio 0,0333
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 15,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -5,3613
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -4,3724
surface_matches_ratio 1,2692
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 48,4848
surface_wr_p2 53,8462
surface_wr_p1_stable 48,6486
surface_wr_p2_stable 53,3333
p1_surface_matches 33,0000
p2_surface_matches 26,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0303
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,8667
combined_confidence 0,9333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1,7276
first_serve_won_diff 0,8573
second_serve_won_diff 2,8979
bp_saved_diff -1,1070
bp_converted_diff 0,9077
aces_per_match_diff -1,5128
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 10,0000
momentum_p2 22,0000
momentum_diff -12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -11,9300
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 5,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 4,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,3871
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0407
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3571
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2857
serve_consistency_p1 7,0020
serve_consistency_p2 6,6434
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,1787
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0172
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0405
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1000
utr_p1 0,8506
utr_p2 0,8624
utr_advantage -0,6545
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23172
API ID 15372354
Gamdom ID 601091
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23172,
    "api_id": 15372354,
    "gamdom_id": 601091,
    "player1": "Miomir Kecmanovic",
    "player2": "Tomas Martin Etcheverry",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-18T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.1,
      "p2": 1.73
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.16,
      "p2": 1.76
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.1,
      "p2": 1.72
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5351,
    "prob_p2": 0.4649,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5351,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 60,
      "utr_singles": 15.13,
      "utr_ranking": 77,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.484848484848484,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 62,
      "utr_singles": 15.29,
      "utr_ranking": 52,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 15.13,
      "ranking": 77,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.29,
      "ranking": 52,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8505882352941176,
    "utr_p2": 0.8623529411764705,
    "utr_diff": -0.09999999999999964,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0338983050847457,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 10.0,
    "momentum_p2": 22.0,
    "points_diff": 15,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.1069930069930223,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -12.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 48.484848484848484,
    "surface_wr_p2": 53.84615384615385,
    "utr_advantage": -0.6544502617801023,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.03333642026759171,
    "rank_advantage": 2,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.35714285714285715,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2857142857142857,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -5.361305361305362,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.907692307692308,
    "p1_surface_matches": 33,
    "p2_surface_matches": 26,
    "serve_quality_diff": -1.7275990675990798,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.3870967741935485,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0406504065040652,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.5128205128205128,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.8573426573426417,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.030303030303030304,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.001954098838173,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.64335095891583,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.1787267287073682,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.64864864864865,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.333333333333336,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.8979020979020973,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.2692307692307692,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -11.93,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.01715151515151514,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04046153846153844,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.372372372372371,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}