Nuno Borges vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 04:00
19 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Nuno …: 23,3%
Felix …: 76,7%
¿Por qué Felix Auger-Aliassime?
UTR 15,18 vs 15,92
(-0,78)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Nuno … | Felix … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,75 | 1,28 | 26,7% |
| Gamdom | 3,75 | 1,31 | 26,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 4,29 | 1,30 | 23,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Nuno …: -2,1%
Felix …: +2,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nuno Borges
Ranking
#46
UTR Rating
15,18 Pro
UTR Ranking
#64
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
18/35 = 51,4%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Ranking
#8
UTR Rating
15,92 Pro
UTR Ranking
#5
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
37/52 = 71,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -39,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1522 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,8827 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -2920,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -25,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -19,7253 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -18,3608 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6731 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -3,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 51,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 71,1538 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,2821 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 69,6429 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 52,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0286 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -14,1603 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,8051 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,2585 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -6,3647 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,2621 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -4,9901 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -0,9200 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 12,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7193 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0871 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7600 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,6634 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,9930 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 37,1374 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0533 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1725 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,7800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8506 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9424 | |
| utr_advantage | -4,9936 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23174
API ID
15372347
Gamdom ID
601126
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23174,
"api_id": 15372347,
"gamdom_id": 601126,
"player1": "Nuno Borges",
"player2": "Felix Auger-Aliassime",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-19T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.75,
"p2": 1.28
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.75,
"p2": 1.31
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.68,
"p2": 1.28
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.233,
"prob_p2": 0.767,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.767,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 46,
"utr_singles": 15.18,
"utr_ranking": 64,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.42857142857142,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 8,
"utr_singles": 15.92,
"utr_ranking": 5,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 71.15384615384616,
"wr_surface_wins": 37,
"wr_surface_total": 52,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.18,
"ranking": 64,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.92,
"ranking": 5,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8505882352941176,
"utr_p2": 0.9423529411764707,
"utr_diff": -0.7800000000000011,
"rank_ratio": 0.15217391304347827,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": -2920,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -6.364725274725274,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 51.42857142857142,
"surface_wr_p2": 71.15384615384616,
"utr_advantage": -4.993597951344437,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -25,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.8827312474337816,
"rank_advantage": -39,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.76,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_diff": -19.725274725274737,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.2620879120879067,
"p1_surface_matches": 35,
"p2_surface_matches": 52,
"serve_quality_diff": -14.160285714285713,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7192982456140351,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0870967741935484,
"aces_per_match_diff": -4.99010989010989,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.805054945054948,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.02857142857142857,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.663399824682048,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.993016871154126,
"surface_rank_synergy": 37.13739108949055,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.28205128205128,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 69.64285714285714,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.258461538461532,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6730769230769231,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -0.9199999999999875,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 12,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05328571428571427,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.17253846153846153,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -18.36080586080586,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}