Nuno Borges vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Nuno …: 23,3% Felix …: 76,7%
¿Por qué Felix Auger-Aliassime?
UTR 15,18 vs 15,92 (-0,78) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Nuno … Felix … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,75 1,28 26,7%
Gamdom 3,75 1,31 26,7%
IA Fair Odds 4,29 1,30 23,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Nuno …: -2,1% Felix …: +2,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nuno Borges
Ranking #46
UTR Rating 15,18 Pro
UTR Ranking #64
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 18/35 = 51,4%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Ranking #8
UTR Rating 15,92 Pro
UTR Ranking #5
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 37/52 = 71,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -39,0000
rank_ratio 0,1522
log_rank_ratio -1,8827
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -2920,0000
best_rank_diff -25,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -19,7253
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -18,3608
surface_matches_ratio 0,6731
surface_tournaments_won_diff -3,0000
surface_wr_p1 51,4286
surface_wr_p2 71,1538
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,2821
surface_wr_p2_stable 69,6429
p1_surface_matches 35,0000
p2_surface_matches 52,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0286
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -14,1603
first_serve_won_diff -5,8051
second_serve_won_diff -4,2585
bp_saved_diff -6,3647
bp_converted_diff 0,2621
aces_per_match_diff -4,9901
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -0,9200
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 12,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7193
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0871
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7600
serve_consistency_p1 6,6634
serve_consistency_p2 8,9930
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 37,1374
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0533
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1725
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,7800
utr_p1 0,8506
utr_p2 0,9424
utr_advantage -4,9936
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23174
API ID 15372347
Gamdom ID 601126
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23174,
    "api_id": 15372347,
    "gamdom_id": 601126,
    "player1": "Nuno Borges",
    "player2": "Felix Auger-Aliassime",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-19T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.75,
      "p2": 1.28
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.75,
      "p2": 1.31
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.68,
      "p2": 1.28
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.233,
    "prob_p2": 0.767,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.767,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 46,
      "utr_singles": 15.18,
      "utr_ranking": 64,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.42857142857142,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 8,
      "utr_singles": 15.92,
      "utr_ranking": 5,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 71.15384615384616,
      "wr_surface_wins": 37,
      "wr_surface_total": 52,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.18,
      "ranking": 64,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.92,
      "ranking": 5,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8505882352941176,
    "utr_p2": 0.9423529411764707,
    "utr_diff": -0.7800000000000011,
    "rank_ratio": 0.15217391304347827,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": -2920,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -6.364725274725274,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 51.42857142857142,
    "surface_wr_p2": 71.15384615384616,
    "utr_advantage": -4.993597951344437,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -25,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.8827312474337816,
    "rank_advantage": -39,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.76,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": 3,
    "surface_wr_diff": -19.725274725274737,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.2620879120879067,
    "p1_surface_matches": 35,
    "p2_surface_matches": 52,
    "serve_quality_diff": -14.160285714285713,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7192982456140351,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0870967741935484,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -4.99010989010989,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -5.805054945054948,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.02857142857142857,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.663399824682048,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.993016871154126,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 37.13739108949055,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.28205128205128,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 69.64285714285714,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.258461538461532,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6730769230769231,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -0.9199999999999875,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 12,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05328571428571427,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.17253846153846153,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -18.36080586080586,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}