Patrick Kypson vs Francisco Comesaña
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
18 Ene 2026, 07:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Patrick Kypson
Patrick …: 72,2% Francisco …: 27,8%
¿Por qué Patrick Kypson?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Patrick … Francisco … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,38 1,57 42,0%
Gamdom 2,42 1,62 41,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,38 3,60 72,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Patrick …: +32,5% Francisco …: -32,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Patrick Kypson
Ranking #116
UTR Rating 14,80 Pro
UTR Ranking #117
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 38/51 = 74,5%
Francisco Comesaña
Ranking #68
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 11/22 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -48,0000
rank_ratio 0,5862
log_rank_ratio -0,5341
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -302,0000
best_rank_diff -62,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 24,5098
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 19,6970
surface_matches_ratio 2,3182
surface_tournaments_won_diff 3,0000
surface_wr_p1 74,5098
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 72,7273
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 51,0000
p2_surface_matches 22,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4902
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,7333
combined_confidence 0,8667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,1717
first_serve_won_diff 3,3711
second_serve_won_diff 6,9642
bp_saved_diff 4,8005
bp_converted_diff -0,9920
aces_per_match_diff -1,9733
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 32,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -10,2700
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 7,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 4,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1513
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5500
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2500
serve_consistency_p1 2,4376
serve_consistency_p2 8,0511
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -13,0903
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2931
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0480
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7882
utr_p2 0,7882
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23175
API ID 15372346
Gamdom ID 601119
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23175,
    "api_id": 15372346,
    "gamdom_id": 601119,
    "player1": "Patrick Kypson",
    "player2": "Francisco Comesa\u00f1a",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-18T03:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.38,
      "p2": 1.5699999999999998
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.42,
      "p2": 1.62
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 4.98,
      "p2": 1.18
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7221,
    "prob_p2": 0.2779,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7221,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 116,
      "utr_singles": 14.8,
      "utr_ranking": 117,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 74.50980392156863,
      "wr_surface_wins": 38,
      "wr_surface_total": 51,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 68,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 22,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.8,
      "ranking": 117,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7882352941176469,
    "utr_p2": 0.7882352941176469,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.5862068965517241,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 32.0,
    "points_diff": -302,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 4.800534759358285,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -1.9999999999999964,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
    "surface_wr_p1": 74.50980392156863,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -62,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.534082485930258,
    "rank_advantage": -48,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.55,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 24.509803921568633,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.9919786096256686,
    "p1_surface_matches": 51,
    "p2_surface_matches": 22,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.1717112299465242,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1512605042016806,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.9732620320855627,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.371122994652424,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.49019607843137253,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 2.437610610313187,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.051117794495076,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -13.09025700809456,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 72.72727272727273,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 6.9641711229946495,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.3181818181818183,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -10.269999999999996,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.29309803921568633,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.04800000000000004,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 19.696969696969703,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 3
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}