Patrick Kypson vs Francisco Comesaña
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
18 Ene 2026, 07:00
18 Ene 2026, 07:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Patrick Kypson
Patrick …: 72,2%
Francisco …: 27,8%
¿Por qué Patrick Kypson?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Patrick … | Francisco … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,38 | 1,57 | 42,0% |
| Gamdom | 2,42 | 1,62 | 41,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,38 | 3,60 | 72,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Patrick …: +32,5%
Francisco …: -32,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Patrick Kypson
Ranking
#116
UTR Rating
14,80 Pro
UTR Ranking
#117
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
38/51 = 74,5%
Francisco Comesaña
Ranking
#68
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
11/22 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -48,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5862 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,5341 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -302,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -62,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 24,5098 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 19,6970 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,3182 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 3,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 74,5098 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 72,7273 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 51,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 22,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4902 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,1717 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,3711 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 6,9642 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4,8005 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,9920 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,9733 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -10,2700 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1513 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2,4376 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,0511 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -13,0903 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2931 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0480 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7882 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7882 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23175
API ID
15372346
Gamdom ID
601119
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23175,
"api_id": 15372346,
"gamdom_id": 601119,
"player1": "Patrick Kypson",
"player2": "Francisco Comesa\u00f1a",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-18T03:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.38,
"p2": 1.5699999999999998
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.42,
"p2": 1.62
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 4.98,
"p2": 1.18
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7221,
"prob_p2": 0.2779,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7221,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 116,
"utr_singles": 14.8,
"utr_ranking": 117,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 74.50980392156863,
"wr_surface_wins": 38,
"wr_surface_total": 51,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 68,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 22,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.8,
"ranking": 117,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7882352941176469,
"utr_p2": 0.7882352941176469,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.5862068965517241,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 32.0,
"points_diff": -302,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.800534759358285,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -1.9999999999999964,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
"surface_wr_p1": 74.50980392156863,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -62,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.534082485930258,
"rank_advantage": -48,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.55,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 24.509803921568633,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.9919786096256686,
"p1_surface_matches": 51,
"p2_surface_matches": 22,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.1717112299465242,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1512605042016806,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.9732620320855627,
"combined_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.371122994652424,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.49019607843137253,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.437610610313187,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.051117794495076,
"surface_rank_synergy": -13.09025700809456,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 72.72727272727273,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 6.9641711229946495,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.3181818181818183,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -10.269999999999996,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.29309803921568633,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.04800000000000004,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 19.696969696969703,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 3
},
"feature_importance": {}
}