Pedro Martinez vs Novak Djokovic
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 14:35
19 Ene 2026, 14:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Novak Djokovic
Pedro …: 12,3%
Novak …: 87,7%
¿Por qué Novak Djokovic?
UTR 14,69 vs 16,05
(-1,24)
— Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Pedro … | Novak … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 19,00 | 1,02 | 5,3% |
| Gamdom | 17,00 | 1,03 | 5,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 8,10 | 1,14 | 12,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Pedro …: +7,2%
Novak …: -7,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Pedro Martinez
Ranking
#71
UTR Rating
14,69 Pro
UTR Ranking
#131
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
0% (10p)
WR Hard
6/20 = 30,0%
Novak Djokovic
Ranking
#4
UTR Rating
16,05 Pro
UTR Ranking
#3
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
21/28 = 75,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -67,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,0563 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -2,8764 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -3,0000 | |
| points_diff | -4012,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -35,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -45,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -30,8333 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7143 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 75,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 71,8750 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 20,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,4000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -22,6786 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -12,8250 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -6,1250 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4,1000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -14,1250 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -7,2143 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,8000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -1,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -98,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -70,1490 | |
| current_streak_diff | -9,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 74,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6923 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1065 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,2205 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,0443 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 129,4373 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1330 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1830 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,2400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8118 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9576 | |
| utr_advantage | -7,9897 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23176
API ID
15372364
Gamdom ID
601104
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23176,
"api_id": 15372364,
"gamdom_id": 601104,
"player1": "Pedro Martinez",
"player2": "Novak Djokovic",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-19T10:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 19.0,
"p2": 1.02
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 17.0,
"p2": 1.03
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 13.58,
"p2": 1.03
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.1234,
"prob_p2": 0.8766,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.8766,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 71,
"utr_singles": 14.69,
"utr_ranking": 131,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 30.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 20,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 4,
"utr_singles": 16.05,
"utr_ranking": 3,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 75.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 131,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 16.05,
"ranking": 3,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.9576470588235295,
"utr_diff": -1.2400000000000002,
"rank_ratio": 0.056338028169014086,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -4012,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.099999999999994,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -1.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.8,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -97.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 30.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 75.0,
"utr_advantage": -7.989690721649486,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -35,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -2.8763855159214247,
"rank_advantage": -67,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -45.0,
"bp_converted_diff": -14.124999999999996,
"p1_surface_matches": 20,
"p2_surface_matches": 28,
"serve_quality_diff": -22.67857142857143,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6923076923076923,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.106508875739645,
"aces_per_match_diff": -7.2142857142857135,
"combined_confidence": 0.8,
"current_streak_diff": -9,
"rank_tier_advantage": -3,
"first_serve_won_diff": -12.825000000000003,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.4,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.220533330414453,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.044315915812623,
"surface_rank_synergy": 129.4373482164641,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 33.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 71.875,
"second_serve_won_diff": -6.125,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7142857142857143,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -70.149,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 74,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 70,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.13300000000000006,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.18300000000000005,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -30.83333333333334,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}