Pedro Martinez vs Novak Djokovic
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 14:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Novak Djokovic
Pedro …: 12,3% Novak …: 87,7%
¿Por qué Novak Djokovic?
UTR 14,69 vs 16,05 (-1,24) — Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Pedro … Novak … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 19,00 1,02 5,3%
Gamdom 17,00 1,03 5,9%
IA Fair Odds 8,10 1,14 12,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Pedro …: +7,2% Novak …: -7,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Pedro Martinez
Ranking #71
UTR Rating 14,69 Pro
UTR Ranking #131
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 0% (10p)
WR Hard 6/20 = 30,0%
Novak Djokovic
Ranking #4
UTR Rating 16,05 Pro
UTR Ranking #3
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 21/28 = 75,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -67,0000
rank_ratio 0,0563
log_rank_ratio -2,8764
rank_tier_advantage -3,0000
points_diff -4012,0000
best_rank_diff -35,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -45,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -30,8333
surface_matches_ratio 0,7143
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 30,0000
surface_wr_p2 75,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 33,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 71,8750
p1_surface_matches 20,0000
p2_surface_matches 28,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,4000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6667
p2_confidence 0,9333
combined_confidence 0,8000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -22,6786
first_serve_won_diff -12,8250
second_serve_won_diff -6,1250
bp_saved_diff -4,1000
bp_converted_diff -14,1250
aces_per_match_diff -7,2143
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,8000
last3_wr_diff -1,0000
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 98,0000
momentum_diff -98,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -70,1490
current_streak_diff -9,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 74,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 70,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6923
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1065
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 5,2205
serve_consistency_p2 11,0443
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 129,4373
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1330
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1830
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,2400
utr_p1 0,8118
utr_p2 0,9576
utr_advantage -7,9897
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23176
API ID 15372364
Gamdom ID 601104
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23176,
    "api_id": 15372364,
    "gamdom_id": 601104,
    "player1": "Pedro Martinez",
    "player2": "Novak Djokovic",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-19T10:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 19.0,
      "p2": 1.02
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 17.0,
      "p2": 1.03
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 13.58,
      "p2": 1.03
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1234,
    "prob_p2": 0.8766,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8766,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 71,
      "utr_singles": 14.69,
      "utr_ranking": 131,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 30.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 20,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 4,
      "utr_singles": 16.05,
      "utr_ranking": 3,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 75.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.69,
      "ranking": 131,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 16.05,
      "ranking": 3,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8117647058823529,
    "utr_p2": 0.9576470588235295,
    "utr_diff": -1.2400000000000002,
    "rank_ratio": 0.056338028169014086,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -4012,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -4.099999999999994,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -1.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.8,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -97.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 30.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 75.0,
    "utr_advantage": -7.989690721649486,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -35,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -2.8763855159214247,
    "rank_advantage": -67,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -45.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -14.124999999999996,
    "p1_surface_matches": 20,
    "p2_surface_matches": 28,
    "serve_quality_diff": -22.67857142857143,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6923076923076923,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.106508875739645,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -7.2142857142857135,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8,
    "current_streak_diff": -9,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -12.825000000000003,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.4,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.220533330414453,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.044315915812623,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 129.4373482164641,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 33.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 71.875,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -6.125,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7142857142857143,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -70.149,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 74,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 70,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.13300000000000006,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.18300000000000005,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -30.83333333333334,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}