Quentin Halys vs Alejandro Tabilo
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 04:00
19 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alejandro Tabilo
Quentin …: 28,6%
Alejandro …: 71,4%
¿Por qué Alejandro Tabilo?
UTR 14,75 vs 15,06
(-0,40)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Quentin … | Alejandro … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,80 | 2,00 | 55,6% |
| Gamdom | 1,82 | 2,08 | 54,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,49 | 1,40 | 28,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Quentin …: -24,0%
Alejandro …: +24,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Quentin Halys
Ranking
#83
UTR Rating
14,75 Pro
UTR Ranking
#120
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
13/33 = 39,4%
Alejandro Tabilo
Ranking
#79
UTR Rating
15,06 Pro
UTR Ranking
#85
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
15/28 = 53,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -4,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9529 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0482 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -25,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -27,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -14,1775 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -12,1650 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1786 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 39,3939 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 40,5405 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53,1250 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2121 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 9,9100 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,1768 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,6565 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -8,8026 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,5515 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,9123 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 18,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 14,7000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9620 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7586 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6875 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,9243 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,1298 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,6834 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1021 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0317 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7965 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8435 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,6720 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23177
API ID
15372360
Gamdom ID
601107
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23177,
"api_id": 15372360,
"gamdom_id": 601107,
"player1": "Quentin Halys",
"player2": "Alejandro Tabilo",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-19T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.8,
"p2": 2.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.82,
"p2": 2.08
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.78,
"p2": 2.03
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2863,
"prob_p2": 0.7137,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7137,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 83,
"utr_singles": 14.75,
"utr_ranking": 120,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 39.39393939393939,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 79,
"utr_singles": 15.06,
"utr_ranking": 85,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.57142857142857,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 120,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 85,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8435294117647059,
"utr_diff": -0.40000000000000036,
"rank_ratio": 0.9529411764705882,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": -25,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -8.802597402597407,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 7,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": 17.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 39.39393939393939,
"surface_wr_p2": 53.57142857142857,
"utr_advantage": -2.6720106880427545,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -27,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.04820210181787775,
"rank_advantage": -4,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6875,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": -14.177489177489178,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.5515151515151473,
"p1_surface_matches": 33,
"p2_surface_matches": 28,
"serve_quality_diff": 9.91004329004329,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9619565217391305,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7586206896551724,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.912337662337663,
"combined_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.1768398268398244,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.21212121212121213,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.924256433037994,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.129799876088008,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.6833847768551933,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.54054054054054,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.125,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.6564935064935113,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1785714285714286,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 14.700000000000017,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.10206060606060607,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.031714285714285695,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -12.164977477477478,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}