Quentin Halys vs Alejandro Tabilo
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alejandro Tabilo
Quentin …: 28,6% Alejandro …: 71,4%
¿Por qué Alejandro Tabilo?
UTR 14,75 vs 15,06 (-0,40) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Quentin … Alejandro … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,80 2,00 55,6%
Gamdom 1,82 2,08 54,9%
IA Fair Odds 3,49 1,40 28,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Quentin …: -24,0% Alejandro …: +24,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Quentin Halys
Ranking #83
UTR Rating 14,75 Pro
UTR Ranking #120
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 13/33 = 39,4%
Alejandro Tabilo
Ranking #79
UTR Rating 15,06 Pro
UTR Ranking #85
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 15/28 = 53,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -4,0000
rank_ratio 0,9529
log_rank_ratio -0,0482
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -25,0000
best_rank_diff -27,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -14,1775
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -12,1650
surface_matches_ratio 1,1786
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 39,3939
surface_wr_p2 53,5714
surface_wr_p1_stable 40,5405
surface_wr_p2_stable 53,1250
p1_surface_matches 33,0000
p2_surface_matches 28,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,2121
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,9333
combined_confidence 0,9667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 9,9100
first_serve_won_diff 3,1768
second_serve_won_diff 1,6565
bp_saved_diff -8,8026
bp_converted_diff -0,5515
aces_per_match_diff 3,9123
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 58,0000
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff 18,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 14,7000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 7,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9620
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7586
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6875
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 6,9243
serve_consistency_p2 8,1298
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,6834
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1021
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0317
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,4000
utr_p1 0,7965
utr_p2 0,8435
utr_advantage -2,6720
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23177
API ID 15372360
Gamdom ID 601107
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23177,
    "api_id": 15372360,
    "gamdom_id": 601107,
    "player1": "Quentin Halys",
    "player2": "Alejandro Tabilo",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-19T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.8,
      "p2": 2.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.82,
      "p2": 2.08
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.78,
      "p2": 2.03
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2863,
    "prob_p2": 0.7137,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7137,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 83,
      "utr_singles": 14.75,
      "utr_ranking": 120,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 39.39393939393939,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 79,
      "utr_singles": 15.06,
      "utr_ranking": 85,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.57142857142857,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.75,
      "ranking": 120,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.06,
      "ranking": 85,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.796470588235294,
    "utr_p2": 0.8435294117647059,
    "utr_diff": -0.40000000000000036,
    "rank_ratio": 0.9529411764705882,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": -25,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -8.802597402597407,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 7,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": 17.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 39.39393939393939,
    "surface_wr_p2": 53.57142857142857,
    "utr_advantage": -2.6720106880427545,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -27,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.04820210181787775,
    "rank_advantage": -4,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6875,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -14.177489177489178,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.5515151515151473,
    "p1_surface_matches": 33,
    "p2_surface_matches": 28,
    "serve_quality_diff": 9.91004329004329,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9619565217391305,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7586206896551724,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.912337662337663,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.1768398268398244,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.21212121212121213,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.924256433037994,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.129799876088008,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.6833847768551933,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.54054054054054,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.125,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.6564935064935113,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.1785714285714286,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 14.700000000000017,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.10206060606060607,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.031714285714285695,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -12.164977477477478,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}