Terence Atmane vs Francesco Maestrelli
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 09:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Terence Atmane
Terence …: 56,1% Francesco …: 44,0%
¿Por qué Terence Atmane?
UTR 14,65 vs 14,34 (+0,29) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Terence … Francesco … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,40 3,00 71,4%
Gamdom 1,54 2,65 64,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,78 2,28 56,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Terence …: -12,1% Francesco …: +12,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Terence Atmane
Ranking #64
UTR Rating 14,65 Pro
UTR Ranking #137
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 29/50 = 58,0%
Francesco Maestrelli
Ranking #141
UTR Rating 14,34 Pro
UTR Ranking #224
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 17/26 = 65,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 77,0000
rank_ratio 2,2031
log_rank_ratio 0,7899
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 426,0000
best_rank_diff 76,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -7,3846
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -5,5309
surface_matches_ratio 1,9231
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 58,0000
surface_wr_p2 65,3846
surface_wr_p1_stable 57,4074
surface_wr_p2_stable 63,3333
p1_surface_matches 50,0000
p2_surface_matches 26,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1600
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,8667
combined_confidence 0,9333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 2,2198
first_serve_won_diff 3,2998
second_serve_won_diff 0,9869
bp_saved_diff 0,0235
bp_converted_diff -4,0029
aces_per_match_diff 0,1369
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 20,0000
momentum_p2 90,0000
momentum_diff -70,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -48,5500
current_streak_diff -5,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 5,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,8000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7143
serve_consistency_p1 4,3597
serve_consistency_p2 10,4083
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -5,8329
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0030
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2308
elite_surface_amplifier -7,3846
UTR
utr_diff 0,2900
utr_p1 0,7800
utr_p2 0,7459
utr_advantage 2,0021
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23180
API ID 15373164
Gamdom ID 601550
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23180,
    "api_id": 15373164,
    "gamdom_id": 601550,
    "player1": "Terence Atmane",
    "player2": "Francesco Maestrelli",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-19T05:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4,
      "p2": 3.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.54,
      "p2": 2.65
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.51,
      "p2": 2.53
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5605,
    "prob_p2": 0.4395,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5605,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 64,
      "utr_singles": 14.65,
      "utr_ranking": 137,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.99999999999999,
      "wr_surface_wins": 29,
      "wr_surface_total": 50,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 141,
      "utr_singles": 14.34,
      "utr_ranking": 224,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 65.38461538461539,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.65,
      "ranking": 137,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.34,
      "ranking": 224,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7800000000000001,
    "utr_p2": 0.7458823529411764,
    "utr_diff": 0.2900000000000009,
    "rank_ratio": 2.203125,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 20.0,
    "momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 426,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.02353846153845751,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -69.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 57.99999999999999,
    "surface_wr_p2": 65.38461538461539,
    "utr_advantage": 2.0020711080428093,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 76,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.7898768070184964,
    "rank_advantage": 77,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -7.384615384615394,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.002923076923075,
    "p1_surface_matches": 50,
    "p2_surface_matches": 26,
    "serve_quality_diff": 2.219846153846163,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.13692307692307626,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -5,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.299846153846147,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.16,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.3597383341823095,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.40831728649447,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -5.832936421059673,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.407407407407405,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.33333333333333,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.9869230769230768,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.9230769230769231,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -48.55,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -7.384615384615394,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0030000000000000027,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2308461538461538,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.530864197530862,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}