Terence Atmane vs Francesco Maestrelli
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 09:50
19 Ene 2026, 09:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Terence Atmane
Terence …: 56,1%
Francesco …: 44,0%
¿Por qué Terence Atmane?
UTR 14,65 vs 14,34
(+0,29)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Terence … | Francesco … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,40 | 3,00 | 71,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,54 | 2,65 | 64,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,78 | 2,28 | 56,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Terence …: -12,1%
Francesco …: +12,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Terence Atmane
Ranking
#64
UTR Rating
14,65 Pro
UTR Ranking
#137
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
29/50 = 58,0%
Francesco Maestrelli
Ranking
#141
UTR Rating
14,34 Pro
UTR Ranking
#224
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
17/26 = 65,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 77,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,2031 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,7899 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 426,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 76,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -7,3846 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -5,5309 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,9231 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 58,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 65,3846 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 57,4074 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 63,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 50,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1600 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,2198 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,2998 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,9869 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0235 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,0029 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,1369 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -70,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -48,5500 | |
| current_streak_diff | -5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7143 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,3597 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,4083 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -5,8329 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0030 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2308 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -7,3846 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7800 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7459 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,0021 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23180
API ID
15373164
Gamdom ID
601550
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23180,
"api_id": 15373164,
"gamdom_id": 601550,
"player1": "Terence Atmane",
"player2": "Francesco Maestrelli",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-19T05:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.4,
"p2": 3.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.54,
"p2": 2.65
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.51,
"p2": 2.53
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5605,
"prob_p2": 0.4395,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5605,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 64,
"utr_singles": 14.65,
"utr_ranking": 137,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.99999999999999,
"wr_surface_wins": 29,
"wr_surface_total": 50,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 141,
"utr_singles": 14.34,
"utr_ranking": 224,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.38461538461539,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 137,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 224,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7458823529411764,
"utr_diff": 0.2900000000000009,
"rank_ratio": 2.203125,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 20.0,
"momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 426,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.02353846153845751,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -69.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 57.99999999999999,
"surface_wr_p2": 65.38461538461539,
"utr_advantage": 2.0020711080428093,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 76,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.7898768070184964,
"rank_advantage": 77,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -7.384615384615394,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.002923076923075,
"p1_surface_matches": 50,
"p2_surface_matches": 26,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.219846153846163,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.13692307692307626,
"combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -5,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.299846153846147,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.16,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.3597383341823095,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.40831728649447,
"surface_rank_synergy": -5.832936421059673,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.407407407407405,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.33333333333333,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.9869230769230768,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.9230769230769231,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -48.55,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -7.384615384615394,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0030000000000000027,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2308461538461538,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.530864197530862,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}