Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Aleksandar Vukic
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 08:00
19 Ene 2026, 08:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Thiago …: 64,9%
Aleksandar …: 35,1%
¿Por qué Thiago Agustin Tirante?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Thiago … | Aleksandar … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,00 | 1,40 | 33,3% |
| Gamdom | 2,90 | 1,46 | 34,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,54 | 2,85 | 64,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Thiago …: +33,1%
Aleksandar …: -33,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Ranking
#103
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
9/14 = 64,3%
Aleksandar Vukic
Ranking
#78
UTR Rating
14,77 Pro
UTR Ranking
#112
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
19/43 = 44,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -15,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8529 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1591 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -88,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -42,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 20,0997 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 12,2132 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3256 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 64,2857 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 44,1860 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 61,1111 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 44,6809 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 43,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2857 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7433 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -6,1770 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,7442 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,7389 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,1130 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,6771 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,0133 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -25,2500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1014 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2609 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,3813 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,4813 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -3,1971 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1579 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0731 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7988 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7988 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23181
API ID
15372341
Gamdom ID
601123
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23181,
"api_id": 15372341,
"gamdom_id": 601123,
"player1": "Thiago Agustin Tirante",
"player2": "Aleksandar Vukic",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-19T04:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.0,
"p2": 1.4
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.9,
"p2": 1.46
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.77,
"p2": 1.43
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6491,
"prob_p2": 0.3509,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6491,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 103,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 78,
"utr_singles": 14.77,
"utr_ranking": 112,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 44.18604651162791,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 43,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 112,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7988235294117646,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.8529411764705882,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 32.0,
"momentum_p2": 60.0,
"points_diff": -88,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.112956810631246,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 6,
"momentum_diff": -28.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 64.28571428571429,
"surface_wr_p2": 44.18604651162791,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -42,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.1590646946296874,
"rank_advantage": -15,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.75,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2608695652173913,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -4,
"surface_wr_diff": 20.099667774086384,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.6770764119601367,
"p1_surface_matches": 14,
"p2_surface_matches": 43,
"serve_quality_diff": -6.177009966777391,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1014492753623188,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.013289036544851,
"combined_confidence": 0.7433333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.7441860465116008,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2857142857142857,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.38133328418707,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.481291045666887,
"surface_rank_synergy": -3.197147516643219,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.111111111111114,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.680851063829785,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.7388704318936874,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.32558139534883723,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -25.250000000000014,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.15785714285714292,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.07313953488372094,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 12.213159968479124,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}