Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Aleksandar Vukic
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 08:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Thiago …: 64,9% Aleksandar …: 35,1%
¿Por qué Thiago Agustin Tirante?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Thiago … Aleksandar … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,00 1,40 33,3%
Gamdom 2,90 1,46 34,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,54 2,85 64,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Thiago …: +33,1% Aleksandar …: -33,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Ranking #103
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 9/14 = 64,3%
Aleksandar Vukic
Ranking #78
UTR Rating 14,77 Pro
UTR Ranking #112
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 19/43 = 44,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -15,0000
rank_ratio 0,8529
log_rank_ratio -0,1591
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -88,0000
best_rank_diff -42,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 20,0997
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 12,2132
surface_matches_ratio 0,3256
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 64,2857
surface_wr_p2 44,1860
surface_wr_p1_stable 61,1111
surface_wr_p2_stable 44,6809
p1_surface_matches 14,0000
p2_surface_matches 43,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2857
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4867
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7433
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -6,1770
first_serve_won_diff -0,7442
second_serve_won_diff 0,7389
bp_saved_diff 5,1130
bp_converted_diff 2,6771
aces_per_match_diff -3,0133
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 32,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff -28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -25,2500
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 5,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 6,0000
match_load_diff -4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1014
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7500
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2609
serve_consistency_p1 7,3813
serve_consistency_p2 7,4813
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -3,1971
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1579
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0731
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7988
utr_p2 0,7988
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23181
API ID 15372341
Gamdom ID 601123
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23181,
    "api_id": 15372341,
    "gamdom_id": 601123,
    "player1": "Thiago Agustin Tirante",
    "player2": "Aleksandar Vukic",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-19T04:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.0,
      "p2": 1.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.9,
      "p2": 1.46
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.77,
      "p2": 1.43
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6491,
    "prob_p2": 0.3509,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6491,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 103,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
      "wr_surface_wins": 9,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 78,
      "utr_singles": 14.77,
      "utr_ranking": 112,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 44.18604651162791,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 43,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.77,
      "ranking": 112,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7988235294117646,
    "utr_p2": 0.7988235294117646,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8529411764705882,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 32.0,
    "momentum_p2": 60.0,
    "points_diff": -88,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 5.112956810631246,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 6,
    "momentum_diff": -28.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 64.28571428571429,
    "surface_wr_p2": 44.18604651162791,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -42,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.1590646946296874,
    "rank_advantage": -15,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.75,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2608695652173913,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -4,
    "surface_wr_diff": 20.099667774086384,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.6770764119601367,
    "p1_surface_matches": 14,
    "p2_surface_matches": 43,
    "serve_quality_diff": -6.177009966777391,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1014492753623188,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.013289036544851,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7433333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.7441860465116008,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2857142857142857,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.38133328418707,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.481291045666887,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -3.197147516643219,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.111111111111114,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.680851063829785,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.7388704318936874,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.32558139534883723,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -25.250000000000014,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.15785714285714292,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.07313953488372094,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 12.213159968479124,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}