Tristan Schoolkate vs Corentin Moutet
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
18 Ene 2026, 05:45
18 Ene 2026, 05:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Corentin Moutet
Tristan …: 33,8%
Corentin …: 66,2%
¿Por qué Corentin Moutet?
UTR 14,56 vs 15,53
(-1,06)
— Ligera ventaja
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tristan … | Corentin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,00 | 1,40 | 33,3% |
| Gamdom | 3,45 | 1,35 | 29,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,96 | 1,51 | 33,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Tristan …: +2,0%
Corentin …: -2,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tristan Schoolkate
Ranking
#98
UTR Rating
14,56 Pro
UTR Ranking
#153
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
35/61 = 57,4%
Corentin Moutet
Ranking
#37
UTR Rating
15,53 Pro
UTR Ranking
#26
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
22/38 = 57,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -63,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3505 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,0484 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -742,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -64,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -0,5177 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,2198 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,6053 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 57,3770 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57,8947 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56,9231 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 57,1429 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 61,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 38,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1475 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 12,7371 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6,9012 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,4472 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,9871 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7,1913 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 5,0104 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -23,8750 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 74,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1554 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9679 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6154 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,7780 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,0241 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,5427 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1368 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0159 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,0600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7718 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8965 | |
| utr_advantage | -7,0245 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23183
API ID
15372342
Gamdom ID
601102
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23183,
"api_id": 15372342,
"gamdom_id": 601102,
"player1": "Tristan Schoolkate",
"player2": "Corentin Moutet",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-18T01:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.0,
"p2": 1.4
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.45,
"p2": 1.35
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.23,
"p2": 1.34
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.338,
"prob_p2": 0.662,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.662,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 98,
"utr_singles": 14.56,
"utr_ranking": 153,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.377049180327866,
"wr_surface_wins": 35,
"wr_surface_total": 61,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 37,
"utr_singles": 15.53,
"utr_ranking": 26,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.89473684210527,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 38,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 153,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 26,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.896470588235294,
"utr_diff": -1.0599999999999987,
"rank_ratio": 0.35051546391752575,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 2.0,
"momentum_p2": 22.0,
"points_diff": -742,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.9870578084555603,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -20.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 57.377049180327866,
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"utr_advantage": -7.024519549370435,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -64,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.0483504538872215,
"rank_advantage": -63,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -0.5176876617774013,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.191328731665223,
"p1_surface_matches": 61,
"p2_surface_matches": 38,
"serve_quality_diff": 12.737131147540985,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1554054054054055,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.967948717948718,
"aces_per_match_diff": 5.010353753235548,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.901164797238977,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.14754098360655737,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.7779687763725516,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.024060619923903,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.5427180951961531,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.92307692307692,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.14285714285714,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.447195858498702,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.605263157894737,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -23.875000000000007,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 74,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1367704918032786,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.01594736842105271,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.219780219780219,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}