Tristan Schoolkate vs Corentin Moutet
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
18 Ene 2026, 05:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Corentin Moutet
Tristan …: 33,8% Corentin …: 66,2%
¿Por qué Corentin Moutet?
UTR 14,56 vs 15,53 (-1,06) — Ligera ventaja
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tristan … Corentin … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,00 1,40 33,3%
Gamdom 3,45 1,35 29,0%
IA Fair Odds 2,96 1,51 33,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Tristan …: +2,0% Corentin …: -2,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tristan Schoolkate
Ranking #98
UTR Rating 14,56 Pro
UTR Ranking #153
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 35/61 = 57,4%
Corentin Moutet
Ranking #37
UTR Rating 15,53 Pro
UTR Ranking #26
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 22/38 = 57,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -63,0000
rank_ratio 0,3505
log_rank_ratio -1,0484
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -742,0000
best_rank_diff -64,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -0,5177
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -0,2198
surface_matches_ratio 1,6053
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 57,3770
surface_wr_p2 57,8947
surface_wr_p1_stable 56,9231
surface_wr_p2_stable 57,1429
p1_surface_matches 61,0000
p2_surface_matches 38,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1475
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 12,7371
first_serve_won_diff 6,9012
second_serve_won_diff -2,4472
bp_saved_diff 1,9871
bp_converted_diff -7,1913
aces_per_match_diff 5,0104
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 2,0000
momentum_p2 22,0000
momentum_diff -20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -23,8750
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 74,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,1554
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9679
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6154
serve_consistency_p1 3,7780
serve_consistency_p2 7,0241
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,5427
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1368
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0159
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,0600
utr_p1 0,7718
utr_p2 0,8965
utr_advantage -7,0245
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23183
API ID 15372342
Gamdom ID 601102
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23183,
    "api_id": 15372342,
    "gamdom_id": 601102,
    "player1": "Tristan Schoolkate",
    "player2": "Corentin Moutet",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-18T01:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.0,
      "p2": 1.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.45,
      "p2": 1.35
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.23,
      "p2": 1.34
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.338,
    "prob_p2": 0.662,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.662,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 98,
      "utr_singles": 14.56,
      "utr_ranking": 153,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.377049180327866,
      "wr_surface_wins": 35,
      "wr_surface_total": 61,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 37,
      "utr_singles": 15.53,
      "utr_ranking": 26,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.89473684210527,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 38,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.56,
      "ranking": 153,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.53,
      "ranking": 26,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.771764705882353,
    "utr_p2": 0.896470588235294,
    "utr_diff": -1.0599999999999987,
    "rank_ratio": 0.35051546391752575,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 2.0,
    "momentum_p2": 22.0,
    "points_diff": -742,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.9870578084555603,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -20.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 57.377049180327866,
    "surface_wr_p2": 57.89473684210527,
    "utr_advantage": -7.024519549370435,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -64,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.0483504538872215,
    "rank_advantage": -63,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6153846153846154,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -0.5176876617774013,
    "bp_converted_diff": -7.191328731665223,
    "p1_surface_matches": 61,
    "p2_surface_matches": 38,
    "serve_quality_diff": 12.737131147540985,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1554054054054055,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.967948717948718,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 5.010353753235548,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 6.901164797238977,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.14754098360655737,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.7779687763725516,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.024060619923903,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.5427180951961531,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.92307692307692,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.14285714285714,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.447195858498702,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.605263157894737,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -23.875000000000007,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 74,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1367704918032786,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.01594736842105271,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.219780219780219,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}