Vit Kopřiva vs Jan-Lennard Struff
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 10:40
20 Ene 2026, 10:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jan-Lennard Struff
Vit …: 44,4%
Jan-Lennard …: 55,6%
¿Por qué Jan-Lennard Struff?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Vit … | Jan-Lennard … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,00 | 1,40 | 33,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,25 | 1,80 | 44,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Vit …: +12,6%
Jan-Lennard …: -12,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Vit Kopřiva
Ranking
#101
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
12/24 = 50,0%
Jan-Lennard Struff
Ranking
#86
UTR Rating
15,12 Pro
UTR Ranking
#76
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
11/26 = 42,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -16,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8400 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1744 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -73,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -57,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 7,6923 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 5,5556 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9231 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,3077 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 24,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -16,8239 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -6,9942 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,7603 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,4417 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 20,0340 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -6,0994 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 4,0790 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,4231 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0606 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,6494 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,5483 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,3412 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0160 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0929 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8400 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8400 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23185
API ID
15372369
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23185,
"api_id": 15372369,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Vit Kop\u0159iva",
"player2": "Jan-Lennard Struff",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-20T06:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.0,
"p2": 1.4
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4444,
"prob_p2": 0.5556,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5556,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 101,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 24,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 86,
"utr_singles": 15.12,
"utr_ranking": 76,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.30769230769231,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.12,
"ranking": 76,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8400000000000001,
"utr_p2": 0.8400000000000001,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.84,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 38.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": -73,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.44166666666667,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": -2.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.8,
"p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.30769230769231,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -57,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.1743533871447778,
"rank_advantage": -16,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": 7.692307692307693,
"bp_converted_diff": 20.033974358974362,
"p1_surface_matches": 24,
"p2_surface_matches": 26,
"serve_quality_diff": -16.823910256410258,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.4230769230769231,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0606060606060606,
"aces_per_match_diff": -6.0993589743589745,
"combined_confidence": 0.8333333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -6.994230769230782,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.649434227897645,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.548315145171482,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.3411799011136756,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.333333333333336,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.76025641025641,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9230769230769231,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 4.079000000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.016000000000000014,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09292307692307694,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 5.555555555555554,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}