Yannick Hanfmann vs Zachary Svajda
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
18 Ene 2026, 11:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yannick Hanfmann
Yannick …: 54,4% Zachary …: 45,6%
¿Por qué Yannick Hanfmann?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Yannick … Zachary … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,20 1,67 45,5%
Gamdom 2,34 1,66 42,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,84 2,19 54,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Yannick …: +11,2% Zachary …: -11,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yannick Hanfmann
Ranking #102
UTR Rating 15,26 Pro
UTR Ranking #55
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 9/17 = 52,9%
Zachary Svajda
Ranking #143
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 18/32 = 56,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 42,0000
rank_ratio 1,4158
log_rank_ratio 0,3477
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 180,0000
best_rank_diff 57,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -3,3088
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,4868
surface_matches_ratio 0,5313
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 52,9412
surface_wr_p2 56,2500
surface_wr_p1_stable 52,3810
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,5556
p1_surface_matches 17,0000
p2_surface_matches 32,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0588
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,9018
first_serve_won_diff -3,6373
second_serve_won_diff -0,5711
bp_saved_diff -1,3086
bp_converted_diff -5,4254
aces_per_match_diff 0,5441
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 90,0000
momentum_diff -60,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -35,7000
current_streak_diff -5,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 14,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7458
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0962
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7333
serve_consistency_p1 6,8456
serve_consistency_p2 5,4990
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,1506
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0126
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1045
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8682
utr_p2 0,8682
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23186
API ID 15373174
Gamdom ID 601547
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23186,
    "api_id": 15373174,
    "gamdom_id": 601547,
    "player1": "Yannick Hanfmann",
    "player2": "Zachary Svajda",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-18T07:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.67
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.34,
      "p2": 1.66
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.31,
      "p2": 1.6
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5438,
    "prob_p2": 0.4562,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5438,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 102,
      "utr_singles": 15.26,
      "utr_ranking": 55,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 52.94117647058824,
      "wr_surface_wins": 9,
      "wr_surface_total": 17,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 143,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.25,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.26,
      "ranking": 55,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8682352941176471,
    "utr_p2": 0.8682352941176471,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.4158415841584158,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 180,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.3086397058823565,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -59.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 52.94117647058824,
    "surface_wr_p2": 56.25,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 57,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.3477241134186478,
    "rank_advantage": 42,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": -3.308823529411761,
    "bp_converted_diff": -5.4253676470588275,
    "p1_surface_matches": 17,
    "p2_surface_matches": 32,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.901764705882357,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7457627118644068,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0961538461538463,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.5441176470588234,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -5,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.6373161764705912,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.058823529411764705,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.845603581281593,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.4989633664362385,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.1505577282234656,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.38095238095239,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.55555555555556,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.5711397058823522,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.53125,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -35.699999999999996,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 14,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.012588235294117678,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10450000000000004,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.4867724867724834,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}