Alycia Parks vs Alexandra Eala
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 07:45
19 Ene 2026, 07:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexandra Eala
Alycia …: 24,3%
Alexandra …: 75,7%
¿Por qué Alexandra Eala?
UTR 11,84 vs 12,18
(-0,37)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alycia … | Alexandra … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,50 | 1,30 | 28,6% |
| Gamdom | 3,75 | 1,31 | 26,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 4,11 | 1,32 | 24,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alycia …: -2,8%
Alexandra …: +2,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alycia Parks
Ranking
#99
UTR Rating
11,84 Pro
UTR Ranking
#157
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
21/41 = 51,2%
Alexandra Eala
Ranking
#49
UTR Rating
12,18 Pro
UTR Ranking
#59
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
17/26 = 65,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -51,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,4900 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,7133 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -399,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 9,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -14,1651 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -11,4074 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,5769 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 51,2195 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 65,3846 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,1111 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 63,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 41,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0244 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 15,9522 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6,9098 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,0585 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,1220 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5,0439 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 5,7899 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -26,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -26,1600 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,2500 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1837 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6250 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,2343 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,1398 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 10,1047 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0632 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1028 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4435 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4871 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,0949 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23188
API ID
15372295
Gamdom ID
601066
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23188,
"api_id": 15372295,
"gamdom_id": 601066,
"player1": "Alycia Parks",
"player2": "Alexandra Eala",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-19T03:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.5,
"p2": 1.3
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.75,
"p2": 1.31
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.93,
"p2": 1.25
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2433,
"prob_p2": 0.7567,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7567,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 99,
"utr_singles": 11.84,
"utr_ranking": 157,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.21951219512195,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 41,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 49,
"utr_singles": 12.18,
"utr_ranking": 59,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.38461538461539,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 157,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 59,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4870588235294118,
"utr_diff": -0.370000000000001,
"rank_ratio": 0.49,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 32.0,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -399,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.121951219512191,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -25.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 51.21951219512195,
"surface_wr_p2": 65.38461538461539,
"utr_advantage": -3.0949393559180343,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 9,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.7133498878774648,
"rank_advantage": -51,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -14.165103189493436,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.043902439024393,
"p1_surface_matches": 41,
"p2_surface_matches": 26,
"serve_quality_diff": 15.952176360225145,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.25,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.183673469387755,
"aces_per_match_diff": 5.789868667917449,
"combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.909756097560987,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.024390243902439025,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.234342909845143,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.1398352653630757,
"surface_rank_synergy": 10.104674771997862,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.11111111111111,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.33333333333333,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.0585365853658644,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.5769230769230769,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -26.16000000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.06319512195121957,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10284615384615381,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.407407407407407,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}