Alycia Parks vs Alexandra Eala
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 07:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexandra Eala
Alycia …: 24,3% Alexandra …: 75,7%
¿Por qué Alexandra Eala?
UTR 11,84 vs 12,18 (-0,37) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alycia … Alexandra … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,50 1,30 28,6%
Gamdom 3,75 1,31 26,7%
IA Fair Odds 4,11 1,32 24,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Alycia …: -2,8% Alexandra …: +2,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alycia Parks
Ranking #99
UTR Rating 11,84 Pro
UTR Ranking #157
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 21/41 = 51,2%
Alexandra Eala
Ranking #49
UTR Rating 12,18 Pro
UTR Ranking #59
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 17/26 = 65,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -51,0000
rank_ratio 0,4900
log_rank_ratio -0,7133
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -399,0000
best_rank_diff 9,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -14,1651
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -11,4074
surface_matches_ratio 1,5769
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 51,2195
surface_wr_p2 65,3846
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,1111
surface_wr_p2_stable 63,3333
p1_surface_matches 41,0000
p2_surface_matches 26,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0244
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,8667
combined_confidence 0,9333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 15,9522
first_serve_won_diff 6,9098
second_serve_won_diff 3,0585
bp_saved_diff 2,1220
bp_converted_diff -5,0439
aces_per_match_diff 5,7899
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 32,0000
momentum_p2 58,0000
momentum_diff -26,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -26,1600
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 7,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 7,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,2500
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1837
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6250
serve_consistency_p1 5,2343
serve_consistency_p2 3,1398
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 10,1047
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0632
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1028
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,3700
utr_p1 0,4435
utr_p2 0,4871
utr_advantage -3,0949
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23188
API ID 15372295
Gamdom ID 601066
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23188,
    "api_id": 15372295,
    "gamdom_id": 601066,
    "player1": "Alycia Parks",
    "player2": "Alexandra Eala",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-19T03:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.5,
      "p2": 1.3
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.75,
      "p2": 1.31
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.93,
      "p2": 1.25
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2433,
    "prob_p2": 0.7567,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7567,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 99,
      "utr_singles": 11.84,
      "utr_ranking": 157,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.21951219512195,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 41,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 49,
      "utr_singles": 12.18,
      "utr_ranking": 59,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 65.38461538461539,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.84,
      "ranking": 157,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.18,
      "ranking": 59,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.44352941176470584,
    "utr_p2": 0.4870588235294118,
    "utr_diff": -0.370000000000001,
    "rank_ratio": 0.49,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 32.0,
    "momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -399,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.121951219512191,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -25.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 51.21951219512195,
    "surface_wr_p2": 65.38461538461539,
    "utr_advantage": -3.0949393559180343,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 9,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.7133498878774648,
    "rank_advantage": -51,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -14.165103189493436,
    "bp_converted_diff": -5.043902439024393,
    "p1_surface_matches": 41,
    "p2_surface_matches": 26,
    "serve_quality_diff": 15.952176360225145,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.25,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.183673469387755,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 5.789868667917449,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 6.909756097560987,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.024390243902439025,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.234342909845143,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.1398352653630757,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 10.104674771997862,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.11111111111111,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.33333333333333,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.0585365853658644,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.5769230769230769,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -26.16000000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.06319512195121957,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10284615384615381,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.407407407407407,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}