Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Zhuoxuan Bai
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
18 Ene 2026, 12:55
18 Ene 2026, 12:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
Anastasia …: 74,2%
Zhuoxuan …: 25,8%
¿Por qué Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova?
UTR 12,15 vs 11,00
(+1,40)
— Ligera ventaja
Anastasia …
Sin datos
Zhuoxuan …
W3-L4
43% WR
vs UTR 11,1
L1
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Anastasia … | Zhuoxuan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,50 | 2,63 | 66,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,61 | 2,45 | 62,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,35 | 3,87 | 74,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Anastasia …: +10,5%
Zhuoxuan …: -10,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
Ranking
#47
UTR Rating
12,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#69
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
6/15 = 40,0%
Zhuoxuan Bai
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#497
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
71% (7p)
WR Hard
2/3 = 66,7%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
Sin datos UTR v4
Zhuoxuan Bai
Record 2025
3W - 4L (43%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
11,1
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
L
L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 456,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 11,3636 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,4304 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1185,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 489,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -26,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -9,1158 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 5,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 42,1053 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 63,8095 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 15,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 3,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3400 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4200 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 8,2700 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,7000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,4000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -6,9000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -26,2000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,8000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -72,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -47,3440 | |
| current_streak_diff | -5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 13,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9005 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5714 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,7112 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,4118 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -64,8112 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5560 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,6227 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -80,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,4000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4941 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3294 | |
| utr_advantage | 12,1739 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23189
API ID
15373442
Gamdom ID
601592
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23189,
"api_id": 15373442,
"gamdom_id": 601592,
"player1": "Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova",
"player2": "Zhuoxuan Bai",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-18T08:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5,
"p2": 2.63
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.61,
"p2": 2.45
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.6,
"p2": 2.31
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7416,
"prob_p2": 0.2584,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7416,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 47,
"utr_singles": 12.15,
"utr_ranking": 69,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 15,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.0,
"utr_ranking": 497,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 3,
"utr_v4_losses": 4,
"utr_v4_wr": 42.857142857142854,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.09,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.8,
"opponent_name": "Dominika Salkova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.75,
"opponent_name": "Hanyu Guo"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.3,
"opponent_name": "Ann Li"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Jiaqi Wang"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.98,
"opponent_name": "Priska Madelyn Nugroho"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:59:09.074347+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 71.42857142857143,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.15,
"ranking": 69,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.0,
"ranking": 497,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.32941176470588246,
"utr_diff": 1.3999999999999986,
"rank_ratio": 11.363636363636363,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 20.0,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"points_diff": 1185,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -6.899999999999999,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6000000000000001,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -72.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.5,
"p2_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"surface_wr_p1": 40.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
"utr_advantage": 12.17391304347825,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 489,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.4304184645039304,
"rank_advantage": 456,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -26.666666666666657,
"bp_converted_diff": -26.200000000000003,
"p1_surface_matches": 15,
"p2_surface_matches": 3,
"serve_quality_diff": 8.27000000000001,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9004524886877828,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.8,
"combined_confidence": 0.42,
"current_streak_diff": -5,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.70000000000001,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.711221993480418,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.411819319817475,
"surface_rank_synergy": -64.81115905343812,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.10526315789473,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.809523809523796,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.400000000000013,
"surface_matches_ratio": 5.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -47.343999999999994,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -79.99999999999997,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 13,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5559999999999999,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.6226666666666665,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.115789473684206,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}