Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Zhuoxuan Bai
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
18 Ene 2026, 12:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
Anastasia …: 74,2% Zhuoxuan …: 25,8%
¿Por qué Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova?
UTR 12,15 vs 11,00 (+1,40) — Ligera ventaja
Anastasia …
Sin datos
Zhuoxuan …
W3-L4
43% WR
vs UTR 11,1
L1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Anastasia … Zhuoxuan … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,50 2,63 66,7%
Gamdom 1,61 2,45 62,1%
IA Fair Odds 1,35 3,87 74,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Anastasia …: +10,5% Zhuoxuan …: -10,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
Ranking #47
UTR Rating 12,15 Pro
UTR Ranking #69
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 6/15 = 40,0%
Zhuoxuan Bai
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #497
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 71% (7p)
WR Hard 2/3 = 66,7%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
Sin datos UTR v4
Zhuoxuan Bai
Record 2025 3W - 4L (43%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 11,1
Últimos 5:
L W W L L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 456,0000
rank_ratio 11,3636
log_rank_ratio 2,4304
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 1185,0000
best_rank_diff 489,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -26,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -9,1158
surface_matches_ratio 5,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 40,0000
surface_wr_p2 66,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 42,1053
surface_wr_p2_stable 63,8095
p1_surface_matches 15,0000
p2_surface_matches 3,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5000
p2_confidence 0,3400
combined_confidence 0,4200
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 8,2700
first_serve_won_diff 2,7000
second_serve_won_diff 4,4000
bp_saved_diff -6,9000
bp_converted_diff -26,2000
aces_per_match_diff 2,8000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,6000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 20,0000
momentum_p2 92,0000
momentum_diff -72,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -47,3440
current_streak_diff -5,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 13,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9005
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5714
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 11,7112
serve_consistency_p2 8,4118
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -64,8112
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5560
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,6227
elite_surface_amplifier -80,0000
UTR
utr_diff 1,4000
utr_p1 0,4941
utr_p2 0,3294
utr_advantage 12,1739
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23189
API ID 15373442
Gamdom ID 601592
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23189,
    "api_id": 15373442,
    "gamdom_id": 601592,
    "player1": "Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova",
    "player2": "Zhuoxuan Bai",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-18T08:55:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5,
      "p2": 2.63
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.61,
      "p2": 2.45
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.6,
      "p2": 2.31
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7416,
    "prob_p2": 0.2584,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7416,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 47,
      "utr_singles": 12.15,
      "utr_ranking": 69,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 40.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 15,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 497,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 3,
      "utr_v4_losses": 4,
      "utr_v4_wr": 42.857142857142854,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.09,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.8,
          "opponent_name": "Dominika Salkova"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.75,
          "opponent_name": "Hanyu Guo"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.3,
          "opponent_name": "Ann Li"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Jiaqi Wang"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.98,
          "opponent_name": "Priska Madelyn Nugroho"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:59:09.074347+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 3,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 71.42857142857143,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.15,
      "ranking": 69,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 497,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.49411764705882344,
    "utr_p2": 0.32941176470588246,
    "utr_diff": 1.3999999999999986,
    "rank_ratio": 11.363636363636363,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 20.0,
    "momentum_p2": 92.0,
    "points_diff": 1185,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -6.899999999999999,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6000000000000001,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -72.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5,
    "p2_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
    "surface_wr_p1": 40.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
    "utr_advantage": 12.17391304347825,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 489,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.4304184645039304,
    "rank_advantage": 456,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -26.666666666666657,
    "bp_converted_diff": -26.200000000000003,
    "p1_surface_matches": 15,
    "p2_surface_matches": 3,
    "serve_quality_diff": 8.27000000000001,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9004524886877828,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.8,
    "combined_confidence": 0.42,
    "current_streak_diff": -5,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.70000000000001,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.711221993480418,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.411819319817475,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -64.81115905343812,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.10526315789473,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.809523809523796,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.400000000000013,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 5.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -47.343999999999994,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -79.99999999999997,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 13,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5559999999999999,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.6226666666666665,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.115789473684206,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}