Ann Li vs Camila Osorio
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 04:10
19 Ene 2026, 04:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ann Li
Ann …: 62,5%
Camila …: 37,5%
¿Por qué Ann Li?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ann … | Camila … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,67 | 2,20 | 59,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,65 | 2,35 | 60,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,60 | 2,67 | 62,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Ann …: +5,7%
Camila …: -5,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ann Li
Ranking
#38
UTR Rating
12,31 Pro
UTR Ranking
#40
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
19/33 = 57,6%
Camila Osorio
Ranking
#84
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
11/24 = 45,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 44,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,1579 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,7691 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 476,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 11,7424 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 9,2954 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,3750 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 57,5758 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 45,8333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56,7568 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 46,4286 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 24,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1515 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6,6745 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,3917 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,1167 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0,2583 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,4500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,3068 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 23,8850 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5120 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8624 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5152 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,6093 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2,8387 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 9,0315 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0318 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0023 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 11,7424 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5071 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5071 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23190
API ID
15372300
Gamdom ID
601077
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23190,
"api_id": 15372300,
"gamdom_id": 601077,
"player1": "Ann Li",
"player2": "Camila Osorio",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-19T00:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.67,
"p2": 2.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.65,
"p2": 2.35
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.63,
"p2": 2.27
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.625,
"prob_p2": 0.375,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.625,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 38,
"utr_singles": 12.31,
"utr_ranking": 40,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.57575757575758,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 84,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 45.83333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 24,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 40,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 0.0,
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"h2h_matches": 2,
"momentum_p1": 32.0,
"momentum_p2": 2.0,
"points_diff": 476,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.25833333333333286,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 30.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.8,
"surface_wr_p1": 57.57575757575758,
"surface_wr_p2": 45.83333333333333,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.7691330875378674,
"rank_advantage": 44,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 11.74242424242425,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.4500000000000028,
"p1_surface_matches": 33,
"p2_surface_matches": 24,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.674469696969695,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8623853211009175,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5151515151515151,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.3068181818181817,
"combined_confidence": 0.9,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.391666666666659,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5119661500143229,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.15151515151515152,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.609348837047439,
"serve_consistency_p2": 2.83872387702869,
"surface_rank_synergy": 9.031487012755266,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.75675675675676,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.42857142857143,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.116666666666667,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.375,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 23.885000000000005,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 11.74242424242425,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.03175757575757576,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.0023333333333332984,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.295366795366794,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}