Ann Li vs Camila Osorio
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 04:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ann Li
Ann …: 62,5% Camila …: 37,5%
¿Por qué Ann Li?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ann … Camila … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,67 2,20 59,9%
Gamdom 1,65 2,35 60,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,60 2,67 62,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Ann …: +5,7% Camila …: -5,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ann Li
Ranking #38
UTR Rating 12,31 Pro
UTR Ranking #40
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 19/33 = 57,6%
Camila Osorio
Ranking #84
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 11/24 = 45,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 44,0000
rank_ratio 2,1579
log_rank_ratio 0,7691
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 476,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 11,7424
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 9,2954
surface_matches_ratio 1,3750
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 57,5758
surface_wr_p2 45,8333
surface_wr_p1_stable 56,7568
surface_wr_p2_stable 46,4286
p1_surface_matches 33,0000
p2_surface_matches 24,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1515
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,8000
combined_confidence 0,9000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 6,6745
first_serve_won_diff 5,3917
second_serve_won_diff -2,1167
bp_saved_diff -0,2583
bp_converted_diff -1,4500
aces_per_match_diff 2,3068
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 32,0000
momentum_p2 2,0000
momentum_diff 30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 23,8850
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 2,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5120
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8624
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5152
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,8000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,6093
serve_consistency_p2 2,8387
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 9,0315
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0318
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0023
elite_surface_amplifier 11,7424
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,5071
utr_p2 0,5071
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23190
API ID 15372300
Gamdom ID 601077
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23190,
    "api_id": 15372300,
    "gamdom_id": 601077,
    "player1": "Ann Li",
    "player2": "Camila Osorio",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-19T00:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.67,
      "p2": 2.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.65,
      "p2": 2.35
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.63,
      "p2": 2.27
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.625,
    "prob_p2": 0.375,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.625,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 38,
      "utr_singles": 12.31,
      "utr_ranking": 40,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.57575757575758,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 84,
      "utr_singles": null,
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      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 45.83333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 24,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 40,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 2.1578947368421053,
    "h2h_matches": 2,
    "momentum_p1": 32.0,
    "momentum_p2": 2.0,
    "points_diff": 476,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -0.25833333333333286,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
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    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8,
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    "surface_wr_p2": 45.83333333333333,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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    "bp_converted_diff": -1.4500000000000028,
    "p1_surface_matches": 33,
    "p2_surface_matches": 24,
    "serve_quality_diff": 6.674469696969695,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8623853211009175,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5151515151515151,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.3068181818181817,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 5.391666666666659,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5119661500143229,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.15151515151515152,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.609348837047439,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 2.83872387702869,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 9.031487012755266,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.75675675675676,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.42857142857143,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.116666666666667,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.375,
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    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.03175757575757576,
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    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.295366795366794,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}