Anna Bondar vs Elizabeth Mandlik
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anna Bondar
Anna …: 87,5% Elizabeth …: 12,5%
¿Por qué Anna Bondar?
UTR 12,04 vs 11,59 (+0,36) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Anna … Elizabeth … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,30 3,50 76,9%
Gamdom 1,31 3,70 76,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,14 8,02 87,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Anna …: +14,6% Elizabeth …: -14,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anna Bondar
Ranking #74
UTR Rating 12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #96
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 14/30 = 46,7%
Elizabeth Mandlik
Ranking #182
UTR Rating 11,59 Pro
UTR Ranking #224
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 0/4 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 106,0000
rank_ratio 2,4133
log_rank_ratio 0,8810
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 490,0000
best_rank_diff 47,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 46,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 16,9565
surface_matches_ratio 7,5000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 46,6667
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 47,0588
surface_wr_p2_stable 22,0000
p1_surface_matches 30,0000
p2_surface_matches 4,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0667
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,3533
combined_confidence 0,6767
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 7,6453
first_serve_won_diff 9,7333
second_serve_won_diff -9,9600
bp_saved_diff -2,6200
bp_converted_diff 7,3867
aces_per_match_diff 2,8833
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 52,0000
momentum_p2 2,0000
momentum_diff 50,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 47,5400
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 7,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6579
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5385
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,1023
serve_consistency_p2 12,3763
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 41,1137
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1393
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,3940
elite_surface_amplifier 46,6667
UTR
utr_diff 0,3600
utr_p1 0,4635
utr_p2 0,4212
utr_advantage 3,0612
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23191
API ID 15372292
Gamdom ID 601049
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23191,
    "api_id": 15372292,
    "gamdom_id": 601049,
    "player1": "Anna Bondar",
    "player2": "Elizabeth Mandlik",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-19T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3,
      "p2": 3.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.31,
      "p2": 3.7
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.3,
      "p2": 3.54
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8753,
    "prob_p2": 0.1247,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8753,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 74,
      "utr_singles": 12.04,
      "utr_ranking": 96,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 182,
      "utr_singles": 11.59,
      "utr_ranking": 224,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 4,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.04,
      "ranking": 96,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.59,
      "ranking": 224,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.4211764705882353,
    "utr_diff": 0.35999999999999943,
    "rank_ratio": 2.4133333333333336,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 52.0,
    "momentum_p2": 2.0,
    "points_diff": 490,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.6199999999999974,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 50.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 46.666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 3.0612244897959133,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 47,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.8810089177295154,
    "rank_advantage": 106,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5384615384615384,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 46.666666666666664,
    "bp_converted_diff": 7.38666666666667,
    "p1_surface_matches": 30,
    "p2_surface_matches": 4,
    "serve_quality_diff": 7.645333333333326,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6578947368421053,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.8833333333333337,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6766666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 9.733333333333334,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.06666666666666667,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.102301539313945,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 12.376328970436957,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 41.11374949404405,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.05882352941176,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 22.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -9.96,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 7.5,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 47.540000000000006,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 46.666666666666664,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.13933333333333336,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.394,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 16.95647058823529,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}