Anna Bondar vs Elizabeth Mandlik
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 04:00
19 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anna Bondar
Anna …: 87,5%
Elizabeth …: 12,5%
¿Por qué Anna Bondar?
UTR 12,04 vs 11,59
(+0,36)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Anna … | Elizabeth … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,30 | 3,50 | 76,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,31 | 3,70 | 76,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,14 | 8,02 | 87,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Anna …: +14,6%
Elizabeth …: -14,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anna Bondar
Ranking
#74
UTR Rating
12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#96
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
14/30 = 46,7%
Elizabeth Mandlik
Ranking
#182
UTR Rating
11,59 Pro
UTR Ranking
#224
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
0/4 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 106,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,4133 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,8810 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 490,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 47,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 46,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 16,9565 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 7,5000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 46,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 47,0588 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 22,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 4,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3533 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6767 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 7,6453 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 9,7333 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -9,9600 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,6200 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 7,3867 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,8833 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 50,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 47,5400 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6579 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5385 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,1023 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,3763 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 41,1137 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1393 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,3940 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 46,6667 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4635 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4212 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,0612 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23191
API ID
15372292
Gamdom ID
601049
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23191,
"api_id": 15372292,
"gamdom_id": 601049,
"player1": "Anna Bondar",
"player2": "Elizabeth Mandlik",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-19T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3,
"p2": 3.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.31,
"p2": 3.7
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.3,
"p2": 3.54
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8753,
"prob_p2": 0.1247,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8753,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 74,
"utr_singles": 12.04,
"utr_ranking": 96,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 46.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 182,
"utr_singles": 11.59,
"utr_ranking": 224,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 4,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 96,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 224,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4211764705882353,
"utr_diff": 0.35999999999999943,
"rank_ratio": 2.4133333333333336,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
"momentum_p2": 2.0,
"points_diff": 490,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.6199999999999974,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 50.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 46.666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 3.0612244897959133,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 47,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.8810089177295154,
"rank_advantage": 106,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5384615384615384,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_diff": 46.666666666666664,
"bp_converted_diff": 7.38666666666667,
"p1_surface_matches": 30,
"p2_surface_matches": 4,
"serve_quality_diff": 7.645333333333326,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6578947368421053,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.8833333333333337,
"combined_confidence": 0.6766666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 9.733333333333334,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.06666666666666667,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.102301539313945,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.376328970436957,
"surface_rank_synergy": 41.11374949404405,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.05882352941176,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 22.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -9.96,
"surface_matches_ratio": 7.5,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 47.540000000000006,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 46.666666666666664,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.13933333333333336,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.394,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 16.95647058823529,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}