Anna Kalinskaya vs Sonay Kartal
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 08:00
20 Ene 2026, 08:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anna Kalinskaya
Anna …: 54,8%
Sonay …: 45,2%
¿Por qué Anna Kalinskaya?
UTR 12,44 vs 12,38
(+0,07)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Anna … | Sonay … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,67 | 2,20 | 59,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,57 | 2,55 | 63,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,82 | 2,21 | 54,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Anna …: -2,0%
Sonay …: +2,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anna Kalinskaya
Ranking
#33
UTR Rating
12,44 Pro
UTR Ranking
#28
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
16/29 = 55,2%
Sonay Kartal
Ranking
#66
UTR Rating
12,38 Pro
UTR Ranking
#35
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
16/28 = 57,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 30,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,9091 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,6466 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 479,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 33,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -1,9704 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1,6193 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0357 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55,1724 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,5455 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,2500 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1034 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,6889 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,6071 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,2214 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,3429 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,0929 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,5259 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -14,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -9,4500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6489 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6757 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2857 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,3098 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2,2171 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,2741 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0217 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1014 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -1,9704 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5118 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5035 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,5684 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23192
API ID
15372328
Gamdom ID
601055
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23192,
"api_id": 15372328,
"gamdom_id": 601055,
"player1": "Anna Kalinskaya",
"player2": "Sonay Kartal",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-20T04:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.67,
"p2": 2.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.57,
"p2": 2.55
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.53,
"p2": 2.47
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5481,
"prob_p2": 0.4519,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5481,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 33,
"utr_singles": 12.44,
"utr_ranking": 28,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.172413793103445,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 66,
"utr_singles": 12.38,
"utr_ranking": 35,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.44,
"ranking": 28,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.38,
"ranking": 35,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5117647058823529,
"utr_p2": 0.5035294117647058,
"utr_diff": 0.07000000000000028,
"rank_ratio": 1.9090909090909092,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 38.0,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"points_diff": 479,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.3428571428571416,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -14.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 55.172413793103445,
"surface_wr_p2": 57.14285714285714,
"utr_advantage": 0.568412505075114,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 33,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.6466271649250525,
"rank_advantage": 30,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2857142857142857,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -1.970443349753694,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.092857142857142,
"p1_surface_matches": 29,
"p2_surface_matches": 28,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.6888669950738802,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.648936170212766,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6756756756756757,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.5258620689655173,
"combined_confidence": 0.95,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.6071428571428541,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.10344827586206896,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.309761393815682,
"serve_consistency_p2": 2.2171356588762423,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.2741421968966546,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.54545454545454,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.25,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.221428571428568,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0357142857142858,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -9.450000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -1.970443349753694,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 8,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.02172413793103445,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10142857142857142,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.6193181818181872,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}