Anna Kalinskaya vs Sonay Kartal
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 08:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anna Kalinskaya
Anna …: 54,8% Sonay …: 45,2%
¿Por qué Anna Kalinskaya?
UTR 12,44 vs 12,38 (+0,07) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Anna … Sonay … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,67 2,20 59,9%
Gamdom 1,57 2,55 63,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,82 2,21 54,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Anna …: -2,0% Sonay …: +2,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anna Kalinskaya
Ranking #33
UTR Rating 12,44 Pro
UTR Ranking #28
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 16/29 = 55,2%
Sonay Kartal
Ranking #66
UTR Rating 12,38 Pro
UTR Ranking #35
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 16/28 = 57,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 30,0000
rank_ratio 1,9091
log_rank_ratio 0,6466
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 479,0000
best_rank_diff 33,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -1,9704
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1,6193
surface_matches_ratio 1,0357
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 55,1724
surface_wr_p2 57,1429
surface_wr_p1_stable 54,5455
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,2500
p1_surface_matches 29,0000
p2_surface_matches 28,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1034
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9667
p2_confidence 0,9333
combined_confidence 0,9500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,6889
first_serve_won_diff 0,6071
second_serve_won_diff -2,2214
bp_saved_diff -2,3429
bp_converted_diff -4,0929
aces_per_match_diff 0,5259
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 38,0000
momentum_p2 52,0000
momentum_diff -14,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -9,4500
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 8,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6489
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6757
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,8000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2857
serve_consistency_p1 8,3098
serve_consistency_p2 2,2171
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,2741
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0217
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1014
elite_surface_amplifier -1,9704
UTR
utr_diff 0,0700
utr_p1 0,5118
utr_p2 0,5035
utr_advantage 0,5684
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23192
API ID 15372328
Gamdom ID 601055
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23192,
    "api_id": 15372328,
    "gamdom_id": 601055,
    "player1": "Anna Kalinskaya",
    "player2": "Sonay Kartal",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-20T04:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.67,
      "p2": 2.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.57,
      "p2": 2.55
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.53,
      "p2": 2.47
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5481,
    "prob_p2": 0.4519,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5481,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 33,
      "utr_singles": 12.44,
      "utr_ranking": 28,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.172413793103445,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 66,
      "utr_singles": 12.38,
      "utr_ranking": 35,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.44,
      "ranking": 28,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.38,
      "ranking": 35,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5117647058823529,
    "utr_p2": 0.5035294117647058,
    "utr_diff": 0.07000000000000028,
    "rank_ratio": 1.9090909090909092,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 38.0,
    "momentum_p2": 52.0,
    "points_diff": 479,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.3428571428571416,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -14.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 55.172413793103445,
    "surface_wr_p2": 57.14285714285714,
    "utr_advantage": 0.568412505075114,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 33,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.6466271649250525,
    "rank_advantage": 30,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2857142857142857,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -1.970443349753694,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.092857142857142,
    "p1_surface_matches": 29,
    "p2_surface_matches": 28,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.6888669950738802,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.648936170212766,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6756756756756757,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.5258620689655173,
    "combined_confidence": 0.95,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.6071428571428541,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.10344827586206896,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.309761393815682,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 2.2171356588762423,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.2741421968966546,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.54545454545454,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.25,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.221428571428568,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0357142857142858,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -9.450000000000003,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -1.970443349753694,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 8,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.02172413793103445,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10142857142857142,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.6193181818181872,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}