Ashlyn Krueger vs Sara Bejlek
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ashlyn Krueger
Ashlyn …: 50,6% Sara …: 49,5%
¿Por qué Ashlyn Krueger?
UTR 12,02 vs 12,19 (-0,09) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ashlyn … Sara … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,73 2,10 57,8%
Gamdom 1,71 2,25 58,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,98 2,02 50,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Ashlyn …: -4,3% Sara …: +4,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ashlyn Krueger
Ranking #62
UTR Rating 12,02 Pro
UTR Ranking #97
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 18/34 = 52,9%
Sara Bejlek
Ranking #89
UTR Rating 12,19 Pro
UTR Ranking #57
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 7/12 = 58,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 27,0000
rank_ratio 1,4426
log_rank_ratio 0,3665
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 205,0000
best_rank_diff 46,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -5,3922
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,6414
surface_matches_ratio 2,8333
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 52,9412
surface_wr_p2 58,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 52,6316
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,2500
p1_surface_matches 34,0000
p2_surface_matches 12,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0588
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,4600
combined_confidence 0,7300
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 14,7112
first_serve_won_diff 5,8000
second_serve_won_diff 7,9000
bp_saved_diff 4,0000
bp_converted_diff -10,3000
aces_per_match_diff 4,7206
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 2,0000
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff -38,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -32,7590
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 8,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 11,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6610
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,2778
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 5,1699
serve_consistency_p2 4,5968
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,9760
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0024
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1103
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0900
utr_p1 0,4776
utr_p2 0,4882
utr_advantage -0,7435
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23194
API ID 15372317
Gamdom ID 601040
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23194,
    "api_id": 15372317,
    "gamdom_id": 601040,
    "player1": "Ashlyn Krueger",
    "player2": "Sara Bejlek",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-20T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.73,
      "p2": 2.1
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.71,
      "p2": 2.25
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.67,
      "p2": 2.18
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5055,
    "prob_p2": 0.4945,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5055,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 62,
      "utr_singles": 12.02,
      "utr_ranking": 97,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 52.94117647058824,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 34,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 89,
      "utr_singles": 12.19,
      "utr_ranking": 57,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.02,
      "ranking": 97,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.19,
      "ranking": 57,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4776470588235295,
    "utr_p2": 0.4882352941176471,
    "utr_diff": -0.08999999999999986,
    "rank_ratio": 1.4426229508196722,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 2.0,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": 205,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 4.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -38.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.46,
    "surface_wr_p1": 52.94117647058824,
    "surface_wr_p2": 58.333333333333336,
    "utr_advantage": -0.7434944237918204,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 46,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.36646295030489523,
    "rank_advantage": 27,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -5.392156862745097,
    "bp_converted_diff": -10.300000000000011,
    "p1_surface_matches": 34,
    "p2_surface_matches": 12,
    "serve_quality_diff": 14.711176470588235,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6610169491525424,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.2777777777777777,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 4.720588235294118,
    "combined_confidence": 0.73,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 5.800000000000011,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.058823529411764705,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.169948676647401,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.596797028312369,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.9760257124283562,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.63157894736842,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.25,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 7.899999999999999,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.8333333333333335,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -32.759,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 11,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0024117647058823355,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1103333333333334,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.641447368421055,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}