Ashlyn Krueger vs Sara Bejlek
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 04:00
20 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ashlyn Krueger
Ashlyn …: 50,6%
Sara …: 49,5%
¿Por qué Ashlyn Krueger?
UTR 12,02 vs 12,19
(-0,09)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ashlyn … | Sara … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,73 | 2,10 | 57,8% |
| Gamdom | 1,71 | 2,25 | 58,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,98 | 2,02 | 50,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Ashlyn …: -4,3%
Sara …: +4,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ashlyn Krueger
Ranking
#62
UTR Rating
12,02 Pro
UTR Ranking
#97
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
18/34 = 52,9%
Sara Bejlek
Ranking
#89
UTR Rating
12,19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#57
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
7/12 = 58,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 27,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,4426 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,3665 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 205,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 46,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -5,3922 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,6414 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,8333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 52,9412 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 58,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52,6316 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,2500 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 34,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0588 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7300 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 14,7112 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,8000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 7,9000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -10,3000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4,7206 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -38,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -32,7590 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 11,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6610 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,2778 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,1699 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,5968 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,9760 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0024 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1103 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4776 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4882 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,7435 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23194
API ID
15372317
Gamdom ID
601040
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23194,
"api_id": 15372317,
"gamdom_id": 601040,
"player1": "Ashlyn Krueger",
"player2": "Sara Bejlek",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-20T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.73,
"p2": 2.1
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.71,
"p2": 2.25
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.67,
"p2": 2.18
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5055,
"prob_p2": 0.4945,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5055,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 62,
"utr_singles": 12.02,
"utr_ranking": 97,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 52.94117647058824,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 34,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 89,
"utr_singles": 12.19,
"utr_ranking": 57,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 97,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 57,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4882352941176471,
"utr_diff": -0.08999999999999986,
"rank_ratio": 1.4426229508196722,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 2.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": 205,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -38.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.46,
"surface_wr_p1": 52.94117647058824,
"surface_wr_p2": 58.333333333333336,
"utr_advantage": -0.7434944237918204,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 46,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.36646295030489523,
"rank_advantage": 27,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -5.392156862745097,
"bp_converted_diff": -10.300000000000011,
"p1_surface_matches": 34,
"p2_surface_matches": 12,
"serve_quality_diff": 14.711176470588235,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6610169491525424,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.2777777777777777,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.720588235294118,
"combined_confidence": 0.73,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.800000000000011,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.058823529411764705,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.169948676647401,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.596797028312369,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.9760257124283562,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.63157894736842,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.25,
"second_serve_won_diff": 7.899999999999999,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.8333333333333335,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -32.759,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 11,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0024117647058823355,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1103333333333334,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.641447368421055,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}