Barbora Krejcikova vs Diana Shnaider
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 12:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Barbora Krejcikova
Barbora …: 74,1% Diana …: 25,9%
¿Por qué Barbora Krejcikova?
UTR 12,41 vs 12,43 (+0,09) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Barbora … Diana … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,50 1,53 40,0%
Gamdom 2,50 1,58 40,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,35 3,86 74,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Barbora …: +36,1% Diana …: -36,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Barbora Krejcikova
Ranking #58
UTR Rating 12,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #31
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 11/17 = 64,7%
Diana Shnaider
Ranking #22
UTR Rating 12,43 Pro
UTR Ranking #29
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 16/31 = 51,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -32,0000
rank_ratio 0,4182
log_rank_ratio -0,8718
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -738,0000
best_rank_diff 9,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 13,0930
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 8,2063
surface_matches_ratio 0,5484
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 64,7059
surface_wr_p2 51,6129
surface_wr_p1_stable 61,9048
surface_wr_p2_stable 51,4286
p1_surface_matches 17,0000
p2_surface_matches 31,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2941
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 6,5053
first_serve_won_diff 6,7059
second_serve_won_diff 0,3118
bp_saved_diff -0,4000
bp_converted_diff 0,4294
aces_per_match_diff 1,5294
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 28,0000
momentum_p2 92,0000
momentum_diff -64,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -44,7400
current_streak_diff -5,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7669
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8855
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4375
serve_consistency_p1 8,7138
serve_consistency_p2 8,0263
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -11,4150
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1791
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0159
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0900
utr_p1 0,5200
utr_p2 0,5094
utr_advantage 0,7273
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23195
API ID 15372305
Gamdom ID 601072
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23195,
    "api_id": 15372305,
    "gamdom_id": 601072,
    "player1": "Barbora Krejcikova",
    "player2": "Diana Shnaider",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-19T08:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.5,
      "p2": 1.53
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.5,
      "p2": 1.58
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.42,
      "p2": 1.55
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.741,
    "prob_p2": 0.259,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.741,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 58,
      "utr_singles": 12.41,
      "utr_ranking": 31,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 64.70588235294117,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 17,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 22,
      "utr_singles": 12.43,
      "utr_ranking": 29,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.61290322580645,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.41,
      "ranking": 31,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.43,
      "ranking": 29,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.52,
    "utr_p2": 0.5094117647058823,
    "utr_diff": 0.08999999999999986,
    "rank_ratio": 0.41818181818181815,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 92.0,
    "points_diff": -738,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -0.3999999999999986,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": -64.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 64.70588235294117,
    "surface_wr_p2": 51.61290322580645,
    "utr_advantage": 0.7272727272727262,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 9,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.8718389693033213,
    "rank_advantage": -32,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4375,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 13.092979127134726,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.4294117647058826,
    "p1_surface_matches": 17,
    "p2_surface_matches": 31,
    "serve_quality_diff": 6.505294117647061,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7668711656441718,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8854961832061069,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.5294117647058822,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -5,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 6.705882352941181,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.29411764705882354,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.713787428208859,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.026293820310858,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -11.414969427311037,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.904761904761905,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.42857142857142,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.3117647058823536,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5483870967741935,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -44.739999999999995,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.17905882352941171,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.015870967741935527,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.206349206349211,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}