Catherine McNally vs Himeno Sakatsume
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
18 Ene 2026, 06:00
18 Ene 2026, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Catherine McNally
Catherine …: 53,9%
Himeno …: 46,1%
¿Por qué Catherine McNally?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Catherine … | Himeno … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,36 | 3,20 | 73,5% |
| Gamdom | 1,45 | 2,90 | 69,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,85 | 2,17 | 53,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Catherine …: -16,3%
Himeno …: +16,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Catherine McNally
Ranking
#85
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
11/21 = 52,4%
Himeno Sakatsume
Ranking
#140
UTR Rating
12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#94
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
4/7 = 57,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 57,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,6867 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,5228 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 322,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 86,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -4,7619 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1,8175 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 52,3810 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,3247 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 21,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0476 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5467 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,9995 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -7,9000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 9,2000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 14,4000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,6000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,9048 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -42,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -20,7910 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 9,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -5,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,4648 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,9252 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,8137 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -2,4895 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0332 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1284 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -4,7619 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4400 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4400 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23196
API ID
15373441
Gamdom ID
601590
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23196,
"api_id": 15373441,
"gamdom_id": 601590,
"player1": "Catherine McNally",
"player2": "Himeno Sakatsume",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-18T02:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3599999999999999,
"p2": 3.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.45,
"p2": 2.9
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.44,
"p2": 2.75
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5391,
"prob_p2": 0.4609,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5391,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 85,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 52.38095238095239,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 140,
"utr_singles": 12.04,
"utr_ranking": 94,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 94,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.44,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.6867469879518073,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"points_diff": 322,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 14.400000000000006,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 9,
"momentum_diff": -42.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.7,
"p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 52.38095238095239,
"surface_wr_p2": 57.14285714285714,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 86,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.5228018148127065,
"rank_advantage": 57,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -5,
"surface_wr_diff": -4.761904761904752,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.6000000000000014,
"p1_surface_matches": 21,
"p2_surface_matches": 7,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.999523809523801,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.4647887323943662,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.9047619047619047,
"combined_confidence": 0.5466666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -7.8999999999999915,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.047619047619047616,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.925222280095215,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.813695363354511,
"surface_rank_synergy": -2.4895324514890733,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.32467532467532,
"second_serve_won_diff": 9.20000000000001,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -20.790999999999997,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -4.761904761904752,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.033190476190476104,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.12842857142857134,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.8174891774891742,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}