Coco Gauff vs Kamilla Rakhimova
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 04:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Coco Gauff
Coco …: 87,5% Kamilla …: 12,5%
¿Por qué Coco Gauff?
UTR 12,77 vs 12,05 (+0,78) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Coco … Kamilla … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,04 13,00 96,2%
Gamdom 1,05 13,00 95,2%
IA Fair Odds 1,14 8,03 87,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Coco …: -5,1% Kamilla …: +5,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Coco Gauff
Ranking #3
UTR Rating 12,77 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 25/36 = 69,4%
Kamilla Rakhimova
Ranking #93
UTR Rating 12,05 Pro
UTR Ranking #97
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 17/37 = 45,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 88,0000
rank_ratio 30,3333
log_rank_ratio 3,4122
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 5621,0000
best_rank_diff 58,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 23,4985
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 21,1585
surface_matches_ratio 0,9730
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 69,4444
surface_wr_p2 45,9459
surface_wr_p1_stable 67,5000
surface_wr_p2_stable 46,3415
p1_surface_matches 36,0000
p2_surface_matches 37,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3889
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 10,5790
first_serve_won_diff 10,2743
second_serve_won_diff 5,9421
bp_saved_diff -3,9966
bp_converted_diff 10,3072
aces_per_match_diff 1,8296
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 78,0000
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff 38,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 35,5600
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 7,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 6,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6609
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5253
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7778
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4444
serve_consistency_p1 7,2487
serve_consistency_p2 14,7439
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 80,1827
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1064
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0475
elite_surface_amplifier 70,4955
UTR
utr_diff 0,7800
utr_p1 0,5647
utr_p2 0,4729
utr_advantage 6,2853
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23197
API ID 15372299
Gamdom ID 601070
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23197,
    "api_id": 15372299,
    "gamdom_id": 601070,
    "player1": "Coco Gauff",
    "player2": "Kamilla Rakhimova",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-19T00:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.04,
      "p2": 13.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.05,
      "p2": 13.0
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.05,
      "p2": 10.61
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8754,
    "prob_p2": 0.1246,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8754,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 3,
      "utr_singles": 12.77,
      "utr_ranking": 7,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 69.44444444444444,
      "wr_surface_wins": 25,
      "wr_surface_total": 36,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 93,
      "utr_singles": 12.05,
      "utr_ranking": 97,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 45.94594594594595,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 37,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 7,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.05,
      "ranking": 97,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.4729411764705882,
    "utr_diff": 0.7800000000000011,
    "rank_ratio": 30.333333333333332,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": 5621,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -3.996621621621628,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 37.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 69.44444444444444,
    "surface_wr_p2": 45.94594594594595,
    "utr_advantage": 6.285253827558429,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
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    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
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    "rank_advantage": 88,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4444444444444444,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 23.498498498498492,
    "bp_converted_diff": 10.307207207207206,
    "p1_surface_matches": 36,
    "p2_surface_matches": 37,
    "serve_quality_diff": 10.578956456456453,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6608996539792388,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5252525252525253,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.8295795795795797,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 10.274324324324311,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3888888888888889,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.248710360762873,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 14.743863370119577,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 80.18268612512428,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 67.5,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.34146341463415,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.942117117117114,
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    "days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10644444444444434,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04745945945945956,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 21.15853658536585,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}