Dalma Galfi vs Clara Tauson
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 07:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Clara Tauson
Dalma …: 13,0% Clara …: 87,0%
¿Por qué Clara Tauson?
UTR 12,26 vs 12,39 (-0,25) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Dalma … Clara … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,75 1,44 36,4%
Gamdom 2,90 1,46 34,5%
IA Fair Odds 7,67 1,15 13,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Dalma …: -21,3% Clara …: +21,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Dalma Galfi
Ranking #91
UTR Rating 12,26 Pro
UTR Ranking #50
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 11/20 = 55,0%
Clara Tauson
Ranking #14
UTR Rating 12,39 Pro
UTR Ranking #34
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 24/37 = 64,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -79,0000
rank_ratio 0,1505
log_rank_ratio -1,8935
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -1741,0000
best_rank_diff -67,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -9,8649
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -7,7066
surface_matches_ratio 0,5405
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 55,0000
surface_wr_p2 64,8649
surface_wr_p1_stable 54,1667
surface_wr_p2_stable 63,4146
p1_surface_matches 20,0000
p2_surface_matches 37,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,8333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -4,9273
first_serve_won_diff -3,5318
second_serve_won_diff -1,4480
bp_saved_diff 0,5884
bp_converted_diff -1,4851
aces_per_match_diff -1,3635
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 2,0000
momentum_diff 48,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 35,6490
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 5,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6875
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1304
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2500
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5263
serve_consistency_p1 9,8290
serve_consistency_p2 7,2639
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 18,6795
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1290
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0696
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2500
utr_p1 0,4976
utr_p2 0,5271
utr_advantage -2,0235
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23198
API ID 15372286
Gamdom ID 601068
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23198,
    "api_id": 15372286,
    "gamdom_id": 601068,
    "player1": "Dalma Galfi",
    "player2": "Clara Tauson",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-19T03:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.75,
      "p2": 1.44
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.9,
      "p2": 1.46
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.77,
      "p2": 1.44
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1304,
    "prob_p2": 0.8696,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8696,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 91,
      "utr_singles": 12.26,
      "utr_ranking": 50,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.00000000000001,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 20,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 14,
      "utr_singles": 12.39,
      "utr_ranking": 34,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 64.86486486486487,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 37,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.26,
      "ranking": 50,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.39,
      "ranking": 34,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.49764705882352944,
    "utr_p2": 0.5270588235294118,
    "utr_diff": -0.25,
    "rank_ratio": 0.15053763440860216,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 2.0,
    "points_diff": -1741,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.5883783783783798,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 48.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 55.00000000000001,
    "surface_wr_p2": 64.86486486486487,
    "utr_advantage": -2.0234722784297854,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -67,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.8935421635379972,
    "rank_advantage": -79,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5263157894736842,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -9.864864864864863,
    "bp_converted_diff": -1.4851351351351383,
    "p1_surface_matches": 20,
    "p2_surface_matches": 37,
    "serve_quality_diff": -4.927297297297301,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6875,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1304347826086956,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.3635135135135128,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.5317567567567636,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.1,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.828984604640977,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.263941118048632,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 18.679537559226187,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.166666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.41463414634146,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.447972972972977,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5405405405405406,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 35.64900000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.129,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06964864864864873,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.706639566395665,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}