Donna Vekić vs Mirra Andreeva
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 12:10
19 Ene 2026, 12:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mirra Andreeva
Donna …: 13,1%
Mirra …: 86,9%
¿Por qué Mirra Andreeva?
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Donna … | Mirra … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 5,50 | 1,14 | 18,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 7,63 | 1,15 | 13,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Donna …: -4,1%
Mirra …: +4,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Donna Vekić
Ranking
#72
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
7/20 = 35,0%
Mirra Andreeva
Ranking
#7
UTR Rating
12,64 Pro
UTR Ranking
#10
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
24/32 = 75,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -62,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1143 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -2,1691 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -3,0000 | |
| points_diff | -3297,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -12,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -28,9352 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6250 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 35,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 75,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 37,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 72,2222 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 20,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,3000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -6,3950 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -8,4000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,3000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,4000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,6875 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -52,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -50,2500 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 11,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8511 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7446 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7143 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,7503 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,6668 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 86,7621 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0880 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1880 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5482 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5482 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23201
API ID
15372301
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23201,
"api_id": 15372301,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Donna Veki\u0107",
"player2": "Mirra Andreeva",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-19T08:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 5.5,
"p2": 1.1400000000000001
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 5.97,
"p2": 1.13
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.131,
"prob_p2": 0.869,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.869,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 72,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 35.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 20,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 7,
"utr_singles": 12.64,
"utr_ranking": 10,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 75.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 10,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.548235294117647,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.11428571428571428,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"points_diff": -3297,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.2999999999999972,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": -52.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 35.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 75.0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -12,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -2.169053700369523,
"rank_advantage": -62,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -4,
"surface_wr_diff": -40.0,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.3999999999999986,
"p1_surface_matches": 20,
"p2_surface_matches": 32,
"serve_quality_diff": -6.395000000000003,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.851063829787234,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7445652173913043,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.6875,
"combined_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"rank_tier_advantage": -3,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.3,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.750342442676088,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.666838838625943,
"surface_rank_synergy": 86.76214801478093,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 37.5,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 72.22222222222221,
"second_serve_won_diff": -8.399999999999999,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.625,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -50.25,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 11,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.08799999999999997,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.18799999999999994,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -28.935185185185176,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}