Donna Vekić vs Mirra Andreeva
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 12:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mirra Andreeva
Donna …: 13,1% Mirra …: 86,9%
¿Por qué Mirra Andreeva?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Donna … Mirra … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 5,50 1,14 18,2%
IA Fair Odds 7,63 1,15 13,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Donna …: -4,1% Mirra …: +4,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Donna Vekić
Ranking #72
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 7/20 = 35,0%
Mirra Andreeva
Ranking #7
UTR Rating 12,64 Pro
UTR Ranking #10
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 24/32 = 75,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -62,0000
rank_ratio 0,1143
log_rank_ratio -2,1691
rank_tier_advantage -3,0000
points_diff -3297,0000
best_rank_diff -12,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -40,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -28,9352
surface_matches_ratio 0,6250
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 35,0000
surface_wr_p2 75,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 37,5000
surface_wr_p2_stable 72,2222
p1_surface_matches 20,0000
p2_surface_matches 32,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,3000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,8333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -6,3950
first_serve_won_diff -5,0000
second_serve_won_diff -8,4000
bp_saved_diff -1,3000
bp_converted_diff 2,4000
aces_per_match_diff -0,6875
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 28,0000
momentum_p2 80,0000
momentum_diff -52,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -50,2500
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 11,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8511
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7446
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7143
serve_consistency_p1 10,7503
serve_consistency_p2 5,6668
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 86,7621
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0880
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1880
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,5482
utr_p2 0,5482
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23201
API ID 15372301
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23201,
    "api_id": 15372301,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Donna Veki\u0107",
    "player2": "Mirra Andreeva",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-19T08:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 5.5,
      "p2": 1.1400000000000001
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 5.97,
      "p2": 1.13
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.131,
    "prob_p2": 0.869,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.869,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 72,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 35.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 20,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 7,
      "utr_singles": 12.64,
      "utr_ranking": 10,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 75.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
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      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_diff": 0.0,
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    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 80.0,
    "points_diff": -3297,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.2999999999999972,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": -52.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 35.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 75.0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
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    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
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    "rank_advantage": -62,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -4,
    "surface_wr_diff": -40.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.3999999999999986,
    "p1_surface_matches": 20,
    "p2_surface_matches": 32,
    "serve_quality_diff": -6.395000000000003,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.851063829787234,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7445652173913043,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.6875,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -5.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.3,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.750342442676088,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.666838838625943,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 86.76214801478093,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 37.5,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 72.22222222222221,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -8.399999999999999,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.625,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -50.25,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 11,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.08799999999999997,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.18799999999999994,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -28.935185185185176,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}