Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Zeynep Sonmez
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
18 Ene 2026, 08:20
18 Ene 2026, 08:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Ekaterina …: 81,3%
Zeynep …: 18,7%
¿Por qué Ekaterina Alexandrova?
UTR 12,74 vs 12,11
(+0,84)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ekaterina … | Zeynep … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,30 | 3,50 | 76,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,27 | 4,10 | 78,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,23 | 5,34 | 81,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Ekaterina …: +8,3%
Zeynep …: -8,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Ranking
#11
UTR Rating
12,74 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
24/40 = 60,0%
Zeynep Sonmez
Ranking
#112
UTR Rating
12,11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#76
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
16/33 = 48,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 101,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 10,1818 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,3206 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 2681,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 59,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 11,5152 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 10,4423 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2121 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48,4848 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 59,0909 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 48,6486 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 40,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 9,9639 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,3011 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,8443 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 9,6735 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,3034 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,9333 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -72,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -44,3960 | |
| current_streak_diff | -5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0568 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6019 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2222 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,3140 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,6444 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 26,7221 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0010 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0858 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 34,5455 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,8400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5647 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4659 | |
| utr_advantage | 6,7851 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23202
API ID
15373432
Gamdom ID
601598
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23202,
"api_id": 15373432,
"gamdom_id": 601598,
"player1": "Ekaterina Alexandrova",
"player2": "Zeynep Sonmez",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-18T04:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3,
"p2": 3.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.27,
"p2": 4.1
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.27,
"p2": 3.73
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8126,
"prob_p2": 0.1874,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8126,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 11,
"utr_singles": 12.74,
"utr_ranking": 7,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 40,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 112,
"utr_singles": 12.11,
"utr_ranking": 76,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.484848484848484,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 7,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.11,
"ranking": 76,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4658823529411766,
"utr_diff": 0.8399999999999999,
"rank_ratio": 10.181818181818182,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 20.0,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"points_diff": 2681,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 9.673484848484847,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6000000000000001,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -72.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 48.484848484848484,
"utr_advantage": 6.7851373182552495,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 59,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.320603598496724,
"rank_advantage": 101,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2222222222222222,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 11.515151515151516,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.303409090909085,
"p1_surface_matches": 40,
"p2_surface_matches": 33,
"serve_quality_diff": 9.963939393939391,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0568181818181819,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6018518518518519,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.933333333333333,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -5,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.301136363636367,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.314036164643287,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.644435285490162,
"surface_rank_synergy": 26.72210204329561,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 59.09090909090909,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.64864864864865,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.8443181818181813,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2121212121212122,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -44.39600000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 34.54545454545455,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0010000000000000009,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08584848484848484,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 10.44226044226044,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}