Hailey Baptiste vs Marketa Vondrousova
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
18 Ene 2026, 07:00
18 Ene 2026, 07:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marketa Vondrousova
Hailey …: 46,8%
Marketa …: 53,2%
¿Por qué Marketa Vondrousova?
UTR 12,03 vs 12,61
(-0,45)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Hailey … | Marketa … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,40 | 1,33 | 29,4% |
| Gamdom | 4,20 | 1,26 | 23,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,13 | 1,88 | 46,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Hailey …: +18,7%
Marketa …: -18,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hailey Baptiste
Ranking
#70
UTR Rating
12,03 Pro
UTR Ranking
#84
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
12/26 = 46,2%
Marketa Vondrousova
Ranking
#34
UTR Rating
12,61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#13
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
10/18 = 55,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -32,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5152 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,6633 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -407,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -41,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -9,4017 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -5,7778 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,4444 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 46,1538 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 46,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,5455 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 18,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0769 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,4262 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,2000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,5538 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,7154 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,0308 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,3462 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -42,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -42,4550 | |
| current_streak_diff | -6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6339 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5714 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,1925 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,5594 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 6,2361 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0065 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0236 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,4500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4953 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5482 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,6188 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23208
API ID
15372304
Gamdom ID
601059
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
cancelled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23208,
"api_id": 15372304,
"gamdom_id": 601059,
"player1": "Hailey Baptiste",
"player2": "Marketa Vondrousova",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-18T03:00:00+00:00",
"status": "cancelled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.4,
"p2": 1.33
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 4.2,
"p2": 1.26
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.92,
"p2": 1.25
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4684,
"prob_p2": 0.5316,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5316,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 70,
"utr_singles": 12.03,
"utr_ranking": 84,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 46.15384615384615,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 34,
"utr_singles": 12.61,
"utr_ranking": 13,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 18,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 84,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 13,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.548235294117647,
"utr_diff": -0.4499999999999993,
"rank_ratio": 0.5151515151515151,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
"points_diff": -407,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.7153846153846146,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -42.00000000000001,
"p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.6,
"surface_wr_p1": 46.15384615384615,
"surface_wr_p2": 55.55555555555556,
"utr_advantage": -3.618817852834735,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -41,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.6632942174102642,
"rank_advantage": -32,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.75,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -9.401709401709404,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.0307692307692236,
"p1_surface_matches": 26,
"p2_surface_matches": 18,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.426153846153852,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6339285714285714,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.3461538461538458,
"combined_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": -6,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.19999999999998863,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.07692307692307693,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.192525408058418,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.559427339730304,
"surface_rank_synergy": 6.236099479925562,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 46.666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.54545454545454,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.5538461538461448,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.4444444444444444,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -42.45500000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.006461538461538463,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.023555555555555552,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.777777777777776,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}