Iva Jovic vs Katie Volynets
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 09:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Iva Jovic
Iva …: 79,5% Katie …: 20,5%
¿Por qué Iva Jovic?
UTR 12,41 vs 12,00 (+0,35) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Iva … Katie … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,28 3,75 78,1%
Gamdom 1,36 3,40 73,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,26 4,87 79,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Iva …: +4,9% Katie …: -4,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Iva Jovic
Ranking #27
UTR Rating 12,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #39
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 12/19 = 63,2%
Katie Volynets
Ranking #96
UTR Rating 12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #115
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 21/36 = 58,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 64,0000
rank_ratio 3,1333
log_rank_ratio 1,1421
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 737,0000
best_rank_diff 26,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 4,8246
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,7518
surface_matches_ratio 0,5278
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 63,1579
surface_wr_p2 58,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 60,8696
surface_wr_p2_stable 57,5000
p1_surface_matches 19,0000
p2_surface_matches 36,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2632
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6333
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,8167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 5,9958
first_serve_won_diff 3,9000
second_serve_won_diff 4,1000
bp_saved_diff 3,3000
bp_converted_diff 2,2000
aces_per_match_diff 1,4079
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 52,0000
momentum_diff 40,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 26,5540
current_streak_diff 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 5,0000
match_load_p1 7,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7778
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,4423
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2222
serve_consistency_p1 10,9108
serve_consistency_p2 6,9581
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 5,5101
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0676
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1473
elite_surface_amplifier 4,8246
UTR
utr_diff 0,3500
utr_p1 0,5094
utr_p2 0,4682
utr_advantage 2,8795
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23209
API ID 15372307
Gamdom ID 601075
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23209,
    "api_id": 15372307,
    "gamdom_id": 601075,
    "player1": "Iva Jovic",
    "player2": "Katie Volynets",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-19T05:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.28,
      "p2": 3.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.36,
      "p2": 3.4
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.36,
      "p2": 3.15
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7947,
    "prob_p2": 0.2053,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7947,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 27,
      "utr_singles": 12.41,
      "utr_ranking": 39,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.1578947368421,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 19,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 96,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 115,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 36,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.41,
      "ranking": 39,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 115,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5094117647058823,
    "utr_p2": 0.4682352941176471,
    "utr_diff": 0.34999999999999964,
    "rank_ratio": 3.1333333333333333,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 52.0,
    "points_diff": 737,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.3000000000000114,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 7,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 40.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 63.1578947368421,
    "surface_wr_p2": 58.333333333333336,
    "utr_advantage": 2.879473467708759,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 26,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.1420974006078486,
    "rank_advantage": 64,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2222222222222222,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 4,
    "surface_wr_diff": 4.824561403508767,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.200000000000003,
    "p1_surface_matches": 19,
    "p2_surface_matches": 36,
    "serve_quality_diff": 5.995789473684212,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.4423076923076923,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.4078947368421053,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8166666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.9000000000000057,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2631578947368421,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.910836574868014,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.958078279093791,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 5.510119038020316,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.86956521739131,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.49999999999999,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.099999999999994,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5277777777777778,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 26.554000000000002,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 4.824561403508767,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.06757894736842096,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.14733333333333343,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.7518115942029104,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}