Iva Jovic vs Katie Volynets
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 09:20
19 Ene 2026, 09:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Iva Jovic
Iva …: 79,5%
Katie …: 20,5%
¿Por qué Iva Jovic?
UTR 12,41 vs 12,00
(+0,35)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Iva … | Katie … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,28 | 3,75 | 78,1% |
| Gamdom | 1,36 | 3,40 | 73,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,26 | 4,87 | 79,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Iva …: +4,9%
Katie …: -4,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Iva Jovic
Ranking
#27
UTR Rating
12,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#39
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
12/19 = 63,2%
Katie Volynets
Ranking
#96
UTR Rating
12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#115
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
21/36 = 58,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 64,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,1333 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,1421 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 737,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 26,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 4,8246 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,7518 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5278 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 63,1579 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 58,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,8696 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 57,5000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 19,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 36,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2632 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6333 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 5,9958 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,9000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,1000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,3000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,2000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,4079 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 40,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 26,5540 | |
| current_streak_diff | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7778 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,4423 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2222 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,9108 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,9581 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 5,5101 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0676 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1473 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 4,8246 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5094 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4682 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,8795 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23209
API ID
15372307
Gamdom ID
601075
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23209,
"api_id": 15372307,
"gamdom_id": 601075,
"player1": "Iva Jovic",
"player2": "Katie Volynets",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-19T05:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.28,
"p2": 3.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.36,
"p2": 3.4
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.36,
"p2": 3.15
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7947,
"prob_p2": 0.2053,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7947,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 27,
"utr_singles": 12.41,
"utr_ranking": 39,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.1578947368421,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 19,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 96,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 115,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.41,
"ranking": 39,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 115,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4682352941176471,
"utr_diff": 0.34999999999999964,
"rank_ratio": 3.1333333333333333,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"points_diff": 737,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.3000000000000114,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 7,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 40.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 63.1578947368421,
"surface_wr_p2": 58.333333333333336,
"utr_advantage": 2.879473467708759,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 26,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.1420974006078486,
"rank_advantage": 64,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2222222222222222,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 4,
"surface_wr_diff": 4.824561403508767,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.200000000000003,
"p1_surface_matches": 19,
"p2_surface_matches": 36,
"serve_quality_diff": 5.995789473684212,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.4423076923076923,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.4078947368421053,
"combined_confidence": 0.8166666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.9000000000000057,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2631578947368421,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.910836574868014,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.958078279093791,
"surface_rank_synergy": 5.510119038020316,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.86956521739131,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.49999999999999,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.099999999999994,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5277777777777778,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 26.554000000000002,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 4.824561403508767,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.06757894736842096,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.14733333333333343,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.7518115942029104,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}