Julia Grabher vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 05:35
20 Ene 2026, 05:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Julia …: 18,1%
Elisabetta …: 81,9%
¿Por qué Elisabetta Cocciaretto?
UTR 11,89 vs 12,14
(-0,13)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Julia … | Elisabetta … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,75 | 1,28 | 26,7% |
| Gamdom | 4,10 | 1,27 | 24,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 5,54 | 1,22 | 18,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Julia …: -7,4%
Elisabetta …: +7,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Julia Grabher
Ranking
#95
UTR Rating
11,89 Pro
UTR Ranking
#133
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
2/10 = 20,0%
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Ranking
#56
UTR Rating
12,14 Pro
UTR Ranking
#70
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
14/30 = 46,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -12,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8696 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1398 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -50,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -25,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -26,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -13,2493 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 20,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 46,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 28,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 47,0588 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 10,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,6000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4333 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,2910 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,8500 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5,1133 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,5200 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -13,1867 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,2000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -60,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -41,2200 | |
| current_streak_diff | -6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,1724 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5733 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,1429 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,4833 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,5300 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3,7270 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2880 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0453 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4682 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4835 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,0793 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23211
API ID
15372332
Gamdom ID
601032
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23211,
"api_id": 15372332,
"gamdom_id": 601032,
"player1": "Julia Grabher",
"player2": "Elisabetta Cocciaretto",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-20T01:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.75,
"p2": 1.28
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 4.1,
"p2": 1.27
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.85,
"p2": 1.25
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.1806,
"prob_p2": 0.8194,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.8194,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 95,
"utr_singles": 11.89,
"utr_ranking": 133,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 20.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 56,
"utr_singles": 12.14,
"utr_ranking": 70,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 46.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.89,
"ranking": 133,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.14,
"ranking": 70,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4835294117647058,
"utr_diff": -0.129999999999999,
"rank_ratio": 0.8695652173913043,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -50,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.5200000000000031,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 7,
"momentum_diff": -59.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 20.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 46.666666666666664,
"utr_advantage": -1.079286010792852,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -25,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.13976194237515874,
"rank_advantage": -12,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.14285714285714285,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -4,
"surface_wr_diff": -26.666666666666664,
"bp_converted_diff": -13.186666666666667,
"p1_surface_matches": 10,
"p2_surface_matches": 30,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.2909999999999897,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.1724137931034483,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5733333333333334,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.2,
"combined_confidence": 0.7166666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": -6,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.8499999999999943,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.6,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.48334962493301,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.529983708864779,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.7269851300042327,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 28.57142857142857,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.05882352941176,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.113333333333337,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.3333333333333333,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -41.22,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.288,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.04533333333333339,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.249299719887954,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}