Karolina Muchova vs Jaqueline Cristian
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 07:35
19 Ene 2026, 07:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Karolina Muchova
Karolina …: 56,2%
Jaqueline …: 43,8%
¿Por qué Karolina Muchova?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Karolina … | Jaqueline … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,20 | 4,50 | 83,3% |
| Gamdom | 1,20 | 5,20 | 83,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,78 | 2,28 | 56,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Karolina …: -22,8%
Jaqueline …: +22,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Karolina Muchova
Ranking
#19
UTR Rating
12,57 Pro
UTR Ranking
#18
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
24/37 = 64,9%
Jaqueline Cristian
Ranking
#35
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
19/34 = 55,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 18,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,9474 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,6665 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 759,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 29,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 8,9825 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 8,1515 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0882 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 64,8649 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 55,8824 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 63,4146 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,2632 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 37,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 34,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2973 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4,7981 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,0886 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,3495 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,2704 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2,7919 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,4245 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 11,7000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0982 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7018 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5455 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,8333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,8994 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,5400 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 5,9867 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1306 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0768 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 8,9825 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5376 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5376 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23212
API ID
15372296
Gamdom ID
601047
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23212,
"api_id": 15372296,
"gamdom_id": 601047,
"player1": "Karolina Muchova",
"player2": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-19T03:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.2,
"p2": 4.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.2,
"p2": 5.2
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.18,
"p2": 4.67
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5619,
"prob_p2": 0.4381,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5619,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 19,
"utr_singles": 12.57,
"utr_ranking": 18,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.86486486486487,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 35,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.88235294117647,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 34,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.57,
"ranking": 18,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5376470588235295,
"utr_p2": 0.5376470588235295,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.9473684210526316,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 60.0,
"points_diff": 759,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.270429252782186,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 6,
"momentum_diff": -2.000000000000007,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 64.86486486486487,
"surface_wr_p2": 55.88235294117647,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 29,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.666478933477784,
"rank_advantage": 18,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5454545454545454,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8333333333333334,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 8.9825119236884,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.7918918918919005,
"p1_surface_matches": 37,
"p2_surface_matches": 34,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.798100158982514,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.098159509202454,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7017543859649122,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.4244833068362484,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.0885532591414915,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2972972972972973,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.8993746929623025,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.540031881526331,
"surface_rank_synergy": 5.986654966851322,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.41463414634146,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.26315789473685,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.349523052464228,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.088235294117647,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 11.699999999999989,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 8.9825119236884,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.13064864864864867,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07682352941176473,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.151476251604613,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}