Karolína Plíšková vs Sloane Stephens
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 06:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sloane Stephens
Karolína …: 47,1% Sloane …: 52,9%
¿Por qué Sloane Stephens?
Karolína …
Sin datos
Sloane …
W0-L5
0% WR
vs UTR 11,7
L5
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (34%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Karolína … Sloane … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,63 1,50 38,0%
IA Fair Odds 2,12 1,89 47,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Karolína …: +10,8% Sloane …: -10,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Karolína Plíšková
Ranking #-
Forma L5 33% (3p)
Forma L10 33% (3p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Sloane Stephens
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,65 Pro
UTR Ranking #400
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 33% (9p)
WR Hard 0/6 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Karolína Plíšková
Sin datos UTR v4
Sloane Stephens
Record 2025 0W - 5L (0%)
Racha 5L
UTR Oponentes 11,7
Últimos 5:
L L L L L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 12,9200
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 12,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 6,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3800
combined_confidence 0,3400
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -41,8567
first_serve_won_diff -55,1000
second_serve_won_diff -38,8000
bp_saved_diff -51,5000
bp_converted_diff -51,6000
aces_per_match_diff -1,3333
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2667
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 22,2222
momentum_p2 90,0000
momentum_diff -67,7778
weighted_momentum_diff -54,2293
current_streak_diff -5,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 108,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 4,3155
serve_consistency_p2 8,1656
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,3765
utr_p2 0,3765
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23213
API ID 15373435
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23213,
    "api_id": 15373435,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Karol\u00edna Pl\u00ed\u0161kov\u00e1",
    "player2": "Sloane Stephens",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-20T02:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.63,
      "p2": 1.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4709,
    "prob_p2": 0.5291,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5291,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.65,
      "utr_ranking": 400,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 0,
      "utr_v4_losses": 5,
      "utr_v4_wr": 0.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 5,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.74,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Sahaja Yamalapalli"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.65,
          "opponent_name": "Lucrezia Stefanini"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.77,
          "opponent_name": "Petra Martic"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.97,
          "opponent_name": "Aryna SABALENKA"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.3,
          "opponent_name": "Ann Li"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:35.838916+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 6,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 9
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.65,
      "ranking": 400,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.37647058823529406,
    "utr_p2": 0.37647058823529406,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 22.222222222222225,
    "momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -51.5,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.26666666666666666,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -67.77777777777776,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.38,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -4,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -51.6,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 6,
    "serve_quality_diff": -41.85666666666666,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.3333333333333333,
    "combined_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
    "current_streak_diff": -5,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -55.1,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.3154590760009395,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.165644204357674,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 12.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -38.8,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -54.22933333333333,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 108,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 12.919999999999998,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}