Karolína Plíšková vs Sloane Stephens
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 06:05
20 Ene 2026, 06:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sloane Stephens
Karolína …: 47,1%
Sloane …: 52,9%
¿Por qué Sloane Stephens?
Karolína …
Sin datos
Sloane …
W0-L5
0% WR
vs UTR 11,7
L5
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (34%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Karolína … | Sloane … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,63 | 1,50 | 38,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,12 | 1,89 | 47,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Karolína …: +10,8%
Sloane …: -10,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Karolína Plíšková
Ranking
#-
Forma L5
33% (3p)
Forma L10
33% (3p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Sloane Stephens
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,65 Pro
UTR Ranking
#400
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
33% (9p)
WR Hard
0/6 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Karolína Plíšková
Sin datos UTR v4
Sloane Stephens
Record 2025
0W - 5L (0%)
Racha
5L
UTR Oponentes
11,7
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
L
L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 12,9200 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 12,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 6,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3800 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3400 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -41,8567 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -55,1000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -38,8000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -51,5000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -51,6000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,3333 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22,2222 | |
| momentum_p2 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -67,7778 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -54,2293 | |
| current_streak_diff | -5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 108,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,3155 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,1656 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3765 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3765 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23213
API ID
15373435
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23213,
"api_id": 15373435,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Karol\u00edna Pl\u00ed\u0161kov\u00e1",
"player2": "Sloane Stephens",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-20T02:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.63,
"p2": 1.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4709,
"prob_p2": 0.5291,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5291,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.65,
"utr_ranking": 400,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 0,
"utr_v4_losses": 5,
"utr_v4_wr": 0.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 5,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.74,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Sahaja Yamalapalli"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.65,
"opponent_name": "Lucrezia Stefanini"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.77,
"opponent_name": "Petra Martic"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.97,
"opponent_name": "Aryna SABALENKA"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.3,
"opponent_name": "Ann Li"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:35.838916+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 9
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.65,
"ranking": 400,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.37647058823529406,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 22.222222222222225,
"momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -51.5,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.26666666666666666,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -67.77777777777776,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.38,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -4,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": -51.6,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 6,
"serve_quality_diff": -41.85666666666666,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.3333333333333333,
"combined_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"current_streak_diff": -5,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -55.1,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.3154590760009395,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.165644204357674,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 12.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -38.8,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -54.22933333333333,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 108,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 12.919999999999998,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}