Katie Boulter vs Belinda Bencic
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 12:10
20 Ene 2026, 12:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Belinda Bencic
Katie …: 13,8%
Belinda …: 86,2%
¿Por qué Belinda Bencic?
UTR 12,09 vs 12,48
(-0,37)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Katie … | Belinda … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 6,00 | 1,13 | 16,7% |
| Gamdom | 6,40 | 1,14 | 15,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 7,25 | 1,16 | 13,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Katie …: -2,0%
Belinda …: +2,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Katie Boulter
Ranking
#113
UTR Rating
12,09 Pro
UTR Ranking
#83
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
11/26 = 42,3%
Belinda Bencic
Ranking
#10
UTR Rating
12,48 Pro
UTR Ranking
#23
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
100% (10p)
WR Hard
30/41 = 73,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -103,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,0885 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -2,4248 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -4,0000 | |
| points_diff | -2828,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -19,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -30,8630 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -25,9259 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6341 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 42,3077 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 73,1707 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 43,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 71,1111 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 41,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1538 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,2889 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,6615 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,9769 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -10,4923 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,4769 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,2064 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -68,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -44,3000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 9,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6190 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7130 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,8735 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,3327 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 74,8368 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0261 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1287 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4824 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5259 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,0118 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23214
API ID
15372329
Gamdom ID
601039
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23214,
"api_id": 15372329,
"gamdom_id": 601039,
"player1": "Katie Boulter",
"player2": "Belinda Bencic",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-20T08:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 6.0,
"p2": 1.13
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 6.4,
"p2": 1.14
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 5.88,
"p2": 1.13
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.138,
"prob_p2": 0.862,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.862,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 113,
"utr_singles": 12.09,
"utr_ranking": 83,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.30769230769231,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 10,
"utr_singles": 12.48,
"utr_ranking": 23,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 73.17073170731707,
"wr_surface_wins": 30,
"wr_surface_total": 41,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 83,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 23,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.5258823529411766,
"utr_diff": -0.370000000000001,
"rank_ratio": 0.08849557522123894,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 32.0,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -2828,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -10.49230769230769,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -67.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 42.30769230769231,
"surface_wr_p2": 73.17073170731707,
"utr_advantage": -3.01180301180302,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -19,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -2.424802725718295,
"rank_advantage": -103,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -30.863039399624768,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.476923076923079,
"p1_surface_matches": 26,
"p2_surface_matches": 41,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.2889118198874314,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6190476190476191,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7130434782608696,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.2063789868667918,
"combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -6,
"rank_tier_advantage": -4,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.6615384615384556,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.15384615384615385,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.873473975826082,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.332663570723215,
"surface_rank_synergy": 74.83678206016127,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 71.11111111111111,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.9769230769230788,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6341463414634146,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -44.3,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 9,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.026076923076923053,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.12870731707317074,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -25.925925925925927,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}