Laura Siegemund vs Liudmila Samsonova
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 11:45
20 Ene 2026, 11:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Liudmila Samsonova
Laura …: 36,2%
Liudmila …: 63,8%
¿Por qué Liudmila Samsonova?
UTR 12,14 vs 12,36
(-0,21)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Laura … | Liudmila … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 4,50 | 1,20 | 22,2% |
| Gamdom | 4,40 | 1,25 | 22,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,76 | 1,57 | 36,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Laura …: +15,1%
Liudmila …: -15,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Laura Siegemund
Ranking
#48
UTR Rating
12,14 Pro
UTR Ranking
#67
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
12/25 = 48,0%
Liudmila Samsonova
Ranking
#18
UTR Rating
12,36 Pro
UTR Ranking
#38
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
13/27 = 48,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -29,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3830 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,9598 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -951,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -15,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -0,1481 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,0964 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9259 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 48,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48,1481 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 48,2759 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 48,3871 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 25,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0400 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -10,8267 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -9,7000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,3000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -6,8000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,4000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,3333 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 4,7500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7102 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6290 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5714 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,7914 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,3517 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,1422 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0090 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0475 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4882 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5129 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,7136 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23215
API ID
15372327
Gamdom ID
601038
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23215,
"api_id": 15372327,
"gamdom_id": 601038,
"player1": "Laura Siegemund",
"player2": "Liudmila Samsonova",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-20T07:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 4.5,
"p2": 1.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 4.4,
"p2": 1.25
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 4.1,
"p2": 1.23
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3618,
"prob_p2": 0.6382,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6382,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 48,
"utr_singles": 12.14,
"utr_ranking": 67,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 25,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 18,
"utr_singles": 12.36,
"utr_ranking": 38,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.148148148148145,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 67,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 38,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.5129411764705881,
"utr_diff": -0.20999999999999908,
"rank_ratio": 0.3829787234042553,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
"points_diff": -951,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -6.799999999999997,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 2.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.9,
"surface_wr_p1": 48.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 48.148148148148145,
"utr_advantage": -1.713586291309662,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -15,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.9597758438138939,
"rank_advantage": -29,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": -0.14814814814814525,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.399999999999999,
"p1_surface_matches": 25,
"p2_surface_matches": 27,
"serve_quality_diff": -10.82666666666666,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7102272727272727,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6290322580645161,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.333333333333333,
"combined_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -9.699999999999996,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.04,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.791441417712507,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.351747462165311,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.14218901389835187,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.275862068965516,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.38709677419355,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.3000000000000043,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9259259259259259,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 4.75,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.009000000000000008,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.04751851851851857,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.09640341119763084,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}