Leylah Fernandez vs Janice Tjen
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 04:05
20 Ene 2026, 04:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Leylah Fernandez
Leylah …: 60,0%
Janice …: 40,0%
¿Por qué Leylah Fernandez?
UTR 12,53 vs 12,29
(+0,23)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Leylah … | Janice … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,36 | 3,20 | 73,5% |
| Gamdom | 1,33 | 3,55 | 75,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,67 | 2,50 | 60,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Leylah …: -10,2%
Janice …: +10,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Leylah Fernandez
Ranking
#23
UTR Rating
12,53 Pro
UTR Ranking
#20
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
28/43 = 65,1%
Janice Tjen
Ranking
#59
UTR Rating
12,29 Pro
UTR Ranking
#43
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
6/9 = 66,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 34,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,5455 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,9343 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 746,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 40,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -1,5504 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,2627 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 4,7778 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 65,1163 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 63,8298 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 62,0513 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 43,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 9,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3023 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4200 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7100 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3,8228 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,4000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,8000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7,7000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,1000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,5814 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -11,6350 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8537 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8182 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,5884 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,1605 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,4485 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1172 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2007 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -1,5504 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5365 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5094 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,8481 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23216
API ID
15372315
Gamdom ID
601043
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23216,
"api_id": 15372315,
"gamdom_id": 601043,
"player1": "Leylah Fernandez",
"player2": "Janice Tjen",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-20T00:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3599999999999999,
"p2": 3.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.33,
"p2": 3.55
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.31,
"p2": 3.38
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6,
"prob_p2": 0.4,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 23,
"utr_singles": 12.53,
"utr_ranking": 20,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.11627906976744,
"wr_surface_wins": 28,
"wr_surface_total": 43,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 59,
"utr_singles": 12.29,
"utr_ranking": 43,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 20,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 43,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.5094117647058823,
"utr_diff": 0.23000000000000043,
"rank_ratio": 2.5454545454545454,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 10.0,
"momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
"points_diff": 746,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.699999999999996,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -20.000000000000004,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.42,
"surface_wr_p1": 65.11627906976744,
"surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
"utr_advantage": 1.8481317798312609,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 40,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.9343092373768334,
"rank_advantage": 34,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.75,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.75,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -1.5503875968992133,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.10000000000000142,
"p1_surface_matches": 43,
"p2_surface_matches": 9,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.822790697674428,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8536585365853658,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8181818181818182,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.5813953488372094,
"combined_confidence": 0.71,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.4000000000000057,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3023255813953488,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.588407554436719,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.160528158126894,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.4485414532974052,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.829787234042556,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.05128205128205,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.7999999999999972,
"surface_matches_ratio": 4.777777777777778,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -11.635000000000005,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -1.5503875968992133,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11716279069767443,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.20066666666666655,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.2627386797599582,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}