Leylah Fernandez vs Janice Tjen
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 04:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Leylah Fernandez
Leylah …: 60,0% Janice …: 40,0%
¿Por qué Leylah Fernandez?
UTR 12,53 vs 12,29 (+0,23) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Leylah … Janice … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,36 3,20 73,5%
Gamdom 1,33 3,55 75,2%
IA Fair Odds 1,67 2,50 60,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Leylah …: -10,2% Janice …: +10,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Leylah Fernandez
Ranking #23
UTR Rating 12,53 Pro
UTR Ranking #20
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 28/43 = 65,1%
Janice Tjen
Ranking #59
UTR Rating 12,29 Pro
UTR Ranking #43
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 6/9 = 66,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 34,0000
rank_ratio 2,5455
log_rank_ratio 0,9343
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 746,0000
best_rank_diff 40,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -1,5504
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,2627
surface_matches_ratio 4,7778
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 65,1163
surface_wr_p2 66,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 63,8298
surface_wr_p2_stable 62,0513
p1_surface_matches 43,0000
p2_surface_matches 9,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3023
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,4200
combined_confidence 0,7100
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -3,8228
first_serve_won_diff -2,4000
second_serve_won_diff 1,8000
bp_saved_diff 7,7000
bp_converted_diff -0,1000
aces_per_match_diff -1,5814
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 10,0000
momentum_p2 30,0000
momentum_diff -20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -11,6350
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 5,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 4,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8537
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8182
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7500
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7500
serve_consistency_p1 9,5884
serve_consistency_p2 6,1605
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,4485
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1172
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2007
elite_surface_amplifier -1,5504
UTR
utr_diff 0,2300
utr_p1 0,5365
utr_p2 0,5094
utr_advantage 1,8481
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23216
API ID 15372315
Gamdom ID 601043
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23216,
    "api_id": 15372315,
    "gamdom_id": 601043,
    "player1": "Leylah Fernandez",
    "player2": "Janice Tjen",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-20T00:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3599999999999999,
      "p2": 3.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.33,
      "p2": 3.55
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.31,
      "p2": 3.38
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6,
    "prob_p2": 0.4,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 23,
      "utr_singles": 12.53,
      "utr_ranking": 20,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 65.11627906976744,
      "wr_surface_wins": 28,
      "wr_surface_total": 43,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 59,
      "utr_singles": 12.29,
      "utr_ranking": 43,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.53,
      "ranking": 20,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.29,
      "ranking": 43,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5364705882352941,
    "utr_p2": 0.5094117647058823,
    "utr_diff": 0.23000000000000043,
    "rank_ratio": 2.5454545454545454,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 10.0,
    "momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
    "points_diff": 746,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 7.699999999999996,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -20.000000000000004,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.42,
    "surface_wr_p1": 65.11627906976744,
    "surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
    "utr_advantage": 1.8481317798312609,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 40,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.9343092373768334,
    "rank_advantage": 34,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.75,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.75,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -1.5503875968992133,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.10000000000000142,
    "p1_surface_matches": 43,
    "p2_surface_matches": 9,
    "serve_quality_diff": -3.822790697674428,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8536585365853658,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8181818181818182,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.5813953488372094,
    "combined_confidence": 0.71,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.4000000000000057,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3023255813953488,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.588407554436719,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.160528158126894,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.4485414532974052,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.829787234042556,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.05128205128205,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.7999999999999972,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 4.777777777777778,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -11.635000000000005,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -1.5503875968992133,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11716279069767443,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.20066666666666655,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.2627386797599582,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}