Linda Klimovicova vs Francesca Jones
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 06:15
19 Ene 2026, 06:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Francesca Jones
Linda …: 35,9%
Francesca …: 64,1%
¿Por qué Francesca Jones?
UTR 11,94 vs 12,16
(-0,23)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Linda … | Francesca … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,73 | 2,10 | 57,8% |
| Gamdom | 1,65 | 2,36 | 60,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,78 | 1,56 | 35,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Linda …: -18,9%
Francesca …: +18,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Linda Klimovicova
Ranking
#134
UTR Rating
11,94 Pro
UTR Ranking
#119
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
5/8 = 62,5%
Francesca Jones
Ranking
#71
UTR Rating
12,16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#61
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
11/17 = 64,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -65,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5149 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,6637 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -413,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -64,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -2,2059 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1,7381 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,4706 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 64,7059 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 61,9048 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 8,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2500 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4067 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4867 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6,4499 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,7882 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,7743 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,4412 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,3846 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,9559 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 42,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 24,3660 | |
| current_streak_diff | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 9,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,3913 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,8000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,7268 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,1483 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,4641 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1900 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0821 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4635 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4906 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,9079 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23217
API ID
15373439
Gamdom ID
601580
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23217,
"api_id": 15373439,
"gamdom_id": 601580,
"player1": "Linda Klimovicova",
"player2": "Francesca Jones",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-19T02:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.73,
"p2": 2.1
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.65,
"p2": 2.36
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.64,
"p2": 2.24
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3595,
"prob_p2": 0.6405,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6405,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 11.94,
"utr_ranking": 119,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 8,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 71,
"utr_singles": 12.16,
"utr_ranking": 61,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.70588235294117,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
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}
},
"utr": {
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},
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"ranking": 61,
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"is_pro": true
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"features": {
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"utr_diff": -0.23000000000000043,
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"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
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"points_diff": -413,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.441176470588239,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 42.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 62.5,
"surface_wr_p2": 64.70588235294117,
"utr_advantage": -1.9079220240564119,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -64,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.6637332953536519,
"rank_advantage": -65,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -2.205882352941174,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.38455882352941,
"p1_surface_matches": 8,
"p2_surface_matches": 17,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.449926470588231,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.391304347826087,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.9558823529411766,
"combined_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 4,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.788235294117655,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.25,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.726774402290044,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.148258464556969,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.4641175632801129,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.904761904761905,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.774264705882352,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.47058823529411764,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 24.366,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 9,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.18999999999999995,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08205882352941174,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.7380952380952372,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
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"feature_importance": {}
}