Linda Klimovicova vs Francesca Jones
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 06:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Francesca Jones
Linda …: 35,9% Francesca …: 64,1%
¿Por qué Francesca Jones?
UTR 11,94 vs 12,16 (-0,23) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Linda … Francesca … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,73 2,10 57,8%
Gamdom 1,65 2,36 60,6%
IA Fair Odds 2,78 1,56 35,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Linda …: -18,9% Francesca …: +18,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Linda Klimovicova
Ranking #134
UTR Rating 11,94 Pro
UTR Ranking #119
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 5/8 = 62,5%
Francesca Jones
Ranking #71
UTR Rating 12,16 Pro
UTR Ranking #61
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 11/17 = 64,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -65,0000
rank_ratio 0,5149
log_rank_ratio -0,6637
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -413,0000
best_rank_diff -64,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -2,2059
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1,7381
surface_matches_ratio 0,4706
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 62,5000
surface_wr_p2 64,7059
surface_wr_p1_stable 58,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 61,9048
p1_surface_matches 8,0000
p2_surface_matches 17,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2500
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4067
p2_confidence 0,5667
combined_confidence 0,4867
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 6,4499
first_serve_won_diff -1,7882
second_serve_won_diff 4,7743
bp_saved_diff 2,4412
bp_converted_diff -3,3846
aces_per_match_diff 2,9559
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 42,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 24,3660
current_streak_diff 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 9,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,3913
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,8000
serve_consistency_p1 9,7268
serve_consistency_p2 6,1483
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 1,4641
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1900
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0821
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2300
utr_p1 0,4635
utr_p2 0,4906
utr_advantage -1,9079
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23217
API ID 15373439
Gamdom ID 601580
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23217,
    "api_id": 15373439,
    "gamdom_id": 601580,
    "player1": "Linda Klimovicova",
    "player2": "Francesca Jones",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-19T02:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.73,
      "p2": 2.1
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.65,
      "p2": 2.36
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.64,
      "p2": 2.24
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3595,
    "prob_p2": 0.6405,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6405,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 134,
      "utr_singles": 11.94,
      "utr_ranking": 119,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 8,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 71,
      "utr_singles": 12.16,
      "utr_ranking": 61,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 64.70588235294117,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 17,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.94,
      "ranking": 119,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.16,
      "ranking": 61,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4635294117647058,
    "utr_p2": 0.49058823529411766,
    "utr_diff": -0.23000000000000043,
    "rank_ratio": 0.5149253731343284,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": -413,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.441176470588239,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 42.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 62.5,
    "surface_wr_p2": 64.70588235294117,
    "utr_advantage": -1.9079220240564119,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -64,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.6637332953536519,
    "rank_advantage": -65,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -2.205882352941174,
    "bp_converted_diff": -3.38455882352941,
    "p1_surface_matches": 8,
    "p2_surface_matches": 17,
    "serve_quality_diff": 6.449926470588231,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.391304347826087,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.9558823529411766,
    "combined_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.788235294117655,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.25,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.726774402290044,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.148258464556969,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 1.4641175632801129,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.904761904761905,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.774264705882352,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.47058823529411764,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 24.366,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 9,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.18999999999999995,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08205882352941174,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.7380952380952372,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}