Linda Noskova vs Darja Semenistaja
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 09:55
19 Ene 2026, 09:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Linda Noskova
Linda …: 90,5%
Darja …: 9,5%
¿Por qué Linda Noskova?
UTR 12,56 vs 11,94
(+0,58)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Linda … | Darja … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,13 | 6,00 | 88,5% |
| Gamdom | 1,14 | 6,60 | 87,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,10 | 10,54 | 90,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Linda …: +6,4%
Darja …: -6,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Linda Noskova
Ranking
#13
UTR Rating
12,56 Pro
UTR Ranking
#19
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
27/44 = 61,4%
Darja Semenistaja
Ranking
#98
UTR Rating
11,94 Pro
UTR Ranking
#121
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
3/9 = 33,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 83,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 7,3846 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,9994 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1862,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 75,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 28,0303 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 14,1963 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 4,8889 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 61,3636 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,4167 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 40,4218 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 44,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 9,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2273 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4200 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7100 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 18,1653 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 11,8000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 12,6182 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 10,5909 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,8727 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4,2399 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 10,2900 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 9,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9725 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7692 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,8811 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,9044 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 56,0438 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0306 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0837 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 56,0606 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5365 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4682 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,7270 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23218
API ID
15372310
Gamdom ID
601071
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23218,
"api_id": 15372310,
"gamdom_id": 601071,
"player1": "Linda Noskova",
"player2": "Darja Semenistaja",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-19T05:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.13,
"p2": 6.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.14,
"p2": 6.6
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.13,
"p2": 5.96
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.9051,
"prob_p2": 0.0949,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.9051,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
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"ranking": 13,
"utr_singles": 12.56,
"utr_ranking": 19,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.36363636363637,
"wr_surface_wins": 27,
"wr_surface_total": 44,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 98,
"utr_singles": 11.94,
"utr_ranking": 121,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
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}
},
"utr": {
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},
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"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 0.5800000000000001,
"rank_ratio": 7.384615384615385,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 38.0,
"points_diff": 1862,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 10.590909090909093,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 2.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.42,
"surface_wr_p1": 61.36363636363637,
"surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
"utr_advantage": 4.726976365118175,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 75,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.9993988340062996,
"rank_advantage": 83,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 28.03030303030304,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.8727272727272748,
"p1_surface_matches": 44,
"p2_surface_matches": 9,
"serve_quality_diff": 18.16525252525252,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9724770642201835,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7692307692307693,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.2398989898989905,
"combined_confidence": 0.71,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 11.799999999999997,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.22727272727272727,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.881073216085747,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.904419723961352,
"surface_rank_synergy": 56.04375519563114,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.416666666666664,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.421836228287845,
"second_serve_won_diff": 12.618181818181817,
"surface_matches_ratio": 4.888888888888889,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 10.29,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 56.06060606060608,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 9,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.030636363636363684,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.08366666666666678,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.196329611248961,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
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"feature_importance": {}
}