Linda Noskova vs Darja Semenistaja
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 09:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Linda Noskova
Linda …: 90,5% Darja …: 9,5%
¿Por qué Linda Noskova?
UTR 12,56 vs 11,94 (+0,58) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Linda … Darja … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,13 6,00 88,5%
Gamdom 1,14 6,60 87,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,10 10,54 90,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Linda …: +6,4% Darja …: -6,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Linda Noskova
Ranking #13
UTR Rating 12,56 Pro
UTR Ranking #19
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 27/44 = 61,4%
Darja Semenistaja
Ranking #98
UTR Rating 11,94 Pro
UTR Ranking #121
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 3/9 = 33,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 83,0000
rank_ratio 7,3846
log_rank_ratio 1,9994
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 1862,0000
best_rank_diff 75,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 28,0303
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 14,1963
surface_matches_ratio 4,8889
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 61,3636
surface_wr_p2 33,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 60,4167
surface_wr_p2_stable 40,4218
p1_surface_matches 44,0000
p2_surface_matches 9,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2273
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,4200
combined_confidence 0,7100
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 18,1653
first_serve_won_diff 11,8000
second_serve_won_diff 12,6182
bp_saved_diff 10,5909
bp_converted_diff 1,8727
aces_per_match_diff 4,2399
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 38,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 10,2900
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 9,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 6,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9725
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7692
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,8811
serve_consistency_p2 5,9044
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 56,0438
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0306
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0837
elite_surface_amplifier 56,0606
UTR
utr_diff 0,5800
utr_p1 0,5365
utr_p2 0,4682
utr_advantage 4,7270
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23218
API ID 15372310
Gamdom ID 601071
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23218,
    "api_id": 15372310,
    "gamdom_id": 601071,
    "player1": "Linda Noskova",
    "player2": "Darja Semenistaja",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-19T05:55:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.13,
      "p2": 6.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.14,
      "p2": 6.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.13,
      "p2": 5.96
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.9051,
    "prob_p2": 0.0949,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.9051,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 13,
      "utr_singles": 12.56,
      "utr_ranking": 19,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 61.36363636363637,
      "wr_surface_wins": 27,
      "wr_surface_total": 44,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 98,
      "utr_singles": 11.94,
      "utr_ranking": 121,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.56,
      "ranking": 19,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.94,
      "ranking": 121,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5364705882352941,
    "utr_p2": 0.4682352941176471,
    "utr_diff": 0.5800000000000001,
    "rank_ratio": 7.384615384615385,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 38.0,
    "points_diff": 1862,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 10.590909090909093,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.42,
    "surface_wr_p1": 61.36363636363637,
    "surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
    "utr_advantage": 4.726976365118175,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 75,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.9993988340062996,
    "rank_advantage": 83,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 28.03030303030304,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.8727272727272748,
    "p1_surface_matches": 44,
    "p2_surface_matches": 9,
    "serve_quality_diff": 18.16525252525252,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9724770642201835,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7692307692307693,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 4.2398989898989905,
    "combined_confidence": 0.71,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 11.799999999999997,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.22727272727272727,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.881073216085747,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.904419723961352,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 56.04375519563114,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.416666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.421836228287845,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 12.618181818181817,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 4.888888888888889,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 10.29,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 56.06060606060608,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 9,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.030636363636363684,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.08366666666666678,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.196329611248961,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}