Lulu Sun vs Linda Fruhvirtova
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 06:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lulu Sun
Lulu …: 54,0% Linda …: 46,0%
¿Por qué Lulu Sun?
UTR 12,28 vs 11,73 (+0,59) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Lulu … Linda … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,73 2,10 57,8%
Gamdom 1,76 2,17 56,8%
IA Fair Odds 1,85 2,17 54,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Lulu …: -0,9% Linda …: +0,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lulu Sun
Ranking #86
UTR Rating 12,28 Pro
UTR Ranking #46
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 14/29 = 48,3%
Linda Fruhvirtova
Ranking #132
UTR Rating 11,73 Pro
UTR Ranking #173
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 11/21 = 52,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 47,0000
rank_ratio 1,5529
log_rank_ratio 0,4402
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 277,0000
best_rank_diff 10,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -4,1051
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,9293
surface_matches_ratio 1,3810
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 48,2759
surface_wr_p2 52,3810
surface_wr_p1_stable 48,4848
surface_wr_p2_stable 52,0000
p1_surface_matches 29,0000
p2_surface_matches 21,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0345
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9667
p2_confidence 0,7000
combined_confidence 0,8333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 10,8870
first_serve_won_diff 6,5483
second_serve_won_diff 5,8690
bp_saved_diff 5,6586
bp_converted_diff -6,1379
aces_per_match_diff 2,9261
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 92,0000
momentum_diff -32,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -18,5960
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 83,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5816
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,8708
serve_consistency_p2 7,5757
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,8069
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0642
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0708
elite_surface_amplifier -4,1051
UTR
utr_diff 0,5900
utr_p1 0,5035
utr_p2 0,4341
utr_advantage 4,9228
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23219
API ID 15373429
Gamdom ID 601585
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23219,
    "api_id": 15373429,
    "gamdom_id": 601585,
    "player1": "Lulu Sun",
    "player2": "Linda Fruhvirtova",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-20T02:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.73,
      "p2": 2.1
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.76,
      "p2": 2.17
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.71,
      "p2": 2.11
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5397,
    "prob_p2": 0.4603,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5397,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 86,
      "utr_singles": 12.28,
      "utr_ranking": 46,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.275862068965516,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 132,
      "utr_singles": 11.73,
      "utr_ranking": 173,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 52.38095238095239,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 21,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 12.28,
      "ranking": 46,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.73,
      "ranking": 173,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5035294117647058,
    "utr_p2": 0.4341176470588235,
    "utr_diff": 0.5899999999999999,
    "rank_ratio": 1.5529411764705883,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.0,
    "momentum_p2": 92.0,
    "points_diff": 277,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 5.658620689655166,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -32.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7,
    "surface_wr_p1": 48.275862068965516,
    "surface_wr_p2": 52.38095238095239,
    "utr_advantage": 4.922820191906549,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 10,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.4401506660960544,
    "rank_advantage": 47,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": -4.105090311986871,
    "bp_converted_diff": -6.137931034482762,
    "p1_surface_matches": 29,
    "p2_surface_matches": 21,
    "serve_quality_diff": 10.887044334975378,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5816326530612245,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.926108374384236,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 6.548275862068962,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.034482758620689655,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.870797242200734,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.575667015955945,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.806858235205481,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.484848484848484,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.868965517241385,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.380952380952381,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -18.59599999999999,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -4.105090311986871,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 83,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.06424137931034479,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07080952380952377,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.9292929292929295,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}