Lulu Sun vs Linda Fruhvirtova
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 06:05
20 Ene 2026, 06:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lulu Sun
Lulu …: 54,0%
Linda …: 46,0%
¿Por qué Lulu Sun?
UTR 12,28 vs 11,73
(+0,59)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Lulu … | Linda … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,73 | 2,10 | 57,8% |
| Gamdom | 1,76 | 2,17 | 56,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,85 | 2,17 | 54,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Lulu …: -0,9%
Linda …: +0,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lulu Sun
Ranking
#86
UTR Rating
12,28 Pro
UTR Ranking
#46
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
14/29 = 48,3%
Linda Fruhvirtova
Ranking
#132
UTR Rating
11,73 Pro
UTR Ranking
#173
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
11/21 = 52,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 47,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,5529 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,4402 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 277,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 10,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -4,1051 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,9293 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,3810 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 48,2759 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 52,3810 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 48,4848 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 21,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0345 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 10,8870 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6,5483 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,8690 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,6586 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6,1379 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,9261 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -32,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -18,5960 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 83,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5816 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,8708 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,5757 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,8069 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0642 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0708 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -4,1051 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5035 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4341 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,9228 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23219
API ID
15373429
Gamdom ID
601585
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23219,
"api_id": 15373429,
"gamdom_id": 601585,
"player1": "Lulu Sun",
"player2": "Linda Fruhvirtova",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-20T02:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.73,
"p2": 2.1
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.76,
"p2": 2.17
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.71,
"p2": 2.11
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5397,
"prob_p2": 0.4603,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5397,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 86,
"utr_singles": 12.28,
"utr_ranking": 46,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.275862068965516,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 132,
"utr_singles": 11.73,
"utr_ranking": 173,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 52.38095238095239,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 46,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 173,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 0.5899999999999999,
"rank_ratio": 1.5529411764705883,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"points_diff": 277,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.658620689655166,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -32.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.7,
"surface_wr_p1": 48.275862068965516,
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"utr_advantage": 4.922820191906549,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 10,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.4401506660960544,
"rank_advantage": 47,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": -4.105090311986871,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.137931034482762,
"p1_surface_matches": 29,
"p2_surface_matches": 21,
"serve_quality_diff": 10.887044334975378,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5816326530612245,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.926108374384236,
"combined_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.548275862068962,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.034482758620689655,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.870797242200734,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.575667015955945,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.806858235205481,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.484848484848484,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.868965517241385,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.380952380952381,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -18.59599999999999,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -4.105090311986871,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 83,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.06424137931034479,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07080952380952377,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.9292929292929295,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}