Maddison Inglis vs Kimberly Birrell
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 14:15
20 Ene 2026, 14:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Kimberly Birrell
Maddison …: 43,6%
Kimberly …: 56,4%
¿Por qué Kimberly Birrell?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Maddison … | Kimberly … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,00 | 1,40 | 33,3% |
| Gamdom | 3,10 | 1,42 | 32,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,29 | 1,77 | 43,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Maddison …: +11,8%
Kimberly …: -11,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maddison Inglis
Ranking
#168
UTR Rating
11,73 Pro
UTR Ranking
#173
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
18/33 = 54,5%
Kimberly Birrell
Ranking
#76
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
19/33 = 57,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -60,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,6407 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,4452 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -308,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -52,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -3,0303 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,7027 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54,5455 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57,5758 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,0541 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,7568 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0909 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,4676 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,9182 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,3818 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3,2758 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2,0455 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,6970 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 14,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -3,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,2059 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6364 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,9531 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,2151 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,3490 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1055 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0158 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4400 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4400 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23220
API ID
15373434
Gamdom ID
601584
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23220,
"api_id": 15373434,
"gamdom_id": 601584,
"player1": "Maddison Inglis",
"player2": "Kimberly Birrell",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-20T10:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.0,
"p2": 1.4
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.1,
"p2": 1.42
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.94,
"p2": 1.4
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4362,
"prob_p2": 0.5638,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5638,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 168,
"utr_singles": 11.73,
"utr_ranking": 173,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 76,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.57575757575758,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.73,
"ranking": 173,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.44,
"utr_p2": 0.44,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.6407185628742516,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -308,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.2757575757575736,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 14.000000000000014,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 54.54545454545454,
"surface_wr_p2": 57.57575757575758,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -52,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.44516497795484883,
"rank_advantage": -60,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6363636363636364,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -3.0303030303030383,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.0454545454545325,
"p1_surface_matches": 33,
"p2_surface_matches": 33,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.4675757575757586,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.20588235294117646,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.6969696969696972,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.9181818181818215,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.09090909090909091,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.953109187077242,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.21512976214192,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.3489847816813636,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.054054054054056,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.75675675675676,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.3818181818181756,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -3.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10545454545454547,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.015757575757575748,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.7027027027027017,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}