Maddison Inglis vs Kimberly Birrell
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 14:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Kimberly Birrell
Maddison …: 43,6% Kimberly …: 56,4%
¿Por qué Kimberly Birrell?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Maddison … Kimberly … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,00 1,40 33,3%
Gamdom 3,10 1,42 32,3%
IA Fair Odds 2,29 1,77 43,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Maddison …: +11,8% Kimberly …: -11,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maddison Inglis
Ranking #168
UTR Rating 11,73 Pro
UTR Ranking #173
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 18/33 = 54,5%
Kimberly Birrell
Ranking #76
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 19/33 = 57,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -60,0000
rank_ratio 0,6407
log_rank_ratio -0,4452
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -308,0000
best_rank_diff -52,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -3,0303
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,7027
surface_matches_ratio 1,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 54,5455
surface_wr_p2 57,5758
surface_wr_p1_stable 54,0541
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,7568
p1_surface_matches 33,0000
p2_surface_matches 33,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0909
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,4676
first_serve_won_diff 3,9182
second_serve_won_diff 0,3818
bp_saved_diff -3,2758
bp_converted_diff -2,0455
aces_per_match_diff 0,6970
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 78,0000
momentum_diff 14,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -3,0000
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,2059
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,8000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6364
serve_consistency_p1 5,9531
serve_consistency_p2 6,2151
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 1,3490
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1055
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0158
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4400
utr_p2 0,4400
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23220
API ID 15373434
Gamdom ID 601584
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23220,
    "api_id": 15373434,
    "gamdom_id": 601584,
    "player1": "Maddison Inglis",
    "player2": "Kimberly Birrell",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-20T10:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.0,
      "p2": 1.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.1,
      "p2": 1.42
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.94,
      "p2": 1.4
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4362,
    "prob_p2": 0.5638,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5638,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 168,
      "utr_singles": 11.73,
      "utr_ranking": 173,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 76,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.57575757575758,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 173,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.44,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.6407185628742516,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -308,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -3.2757575757575736,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 14.000000000000014,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 54.54545454545454,
    "surface_wr_p2": 57.57575757575758,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -52,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.44516497795484883,
    "rank_advantage": -60,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6363636363636364,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -3.0303030303030383,
    "bp_converted_diff": -2.0454545454545325,
    "p1_surface_matches": 33,
    "p2_surface_matches": 33,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.4675757575757586,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.20588235294117646,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.6969696969696972,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.9181818181818215,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.09090909090909091,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.953109187077242,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.21512976214192,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 1.3489847816813636,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.054054054054056,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.75675675675676,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.3818181818181756,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -3.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10545454545454547,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.015757575757575748,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.7027027027027017,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}