Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Emma Raducanu
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
18 Ene 2026, 14:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Emma Raducanu
Mananchaya …: 22,3% Emma …: 77,7%
¿Por qué Emma Raducanu?
UTR 11,71 vs 12,59 (-0,90) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Mananchaya … Emma … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 4,33 1,22 23,1%
Gamdom 4,70 1,22 21,3%
IA Fair Odds 4,48 1,29 22,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Mananchaya …: +0,4% Emma …: -0,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Ranking #197
UTR Rating 11,71 Pro
UTR Ranking #181
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 7/14 = 50,0%
Emma Raducanu
Ranking #29
UTR Rating 12,59 Pro
UTR Ranking #16
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 17/30 = 56,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -166,0000
rank_ratio 0,1487
log_rank_ratio -1,9057
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -1197,0000
best_rank_diff -90,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -6,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -4,3725
surface_matches_ratio 0,4667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 56,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,8824
p1_surface_matches 14,0000
p2_surface_matches 30,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4867
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7433
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -5,0210
first_serve_won_diff -4,3000
second_serve_won_diff 1,7000
bp_saved_diff -13,9000
bp_converted_diff -3,7000
aces_per_match_diff -1,6905
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 30,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -4,4700
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 240,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7172
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5455
serve_consistency_p1 7,5678
serve_consistency_p2 4,6917
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 12,7047
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1660
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0993
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,9000
utr_p1 0,4341
utr_p2 0,5400
utr_advantage -7,4135
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23222
API ID 15372288
Gamdom ID 601045
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23222,
    "api_id": 15372288,
    "gamdom_id": 601045,
    "player1": "Mananchaya Sawangkaew",
    "player2": "Emma Raducanu",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-18T10:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 4.333333333333334,
      "p2": 1.22
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 4.7,
      "p2": 1.22
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 4.3,
      "p2": 1.21
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2233,
    "prob_p2": 0.7767,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7767,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 197,
      "utr_singles": 11.71,
      "utr_ranking": 181,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 29,
      "utr_singles": 12.59,
      "utr_ranking": 16,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.71,
      "ranking": 181,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.59,
      "ranking": 16,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4341176470588235,
    "utr_p2": 0.54,
    "utr_diff": -0.9000000000000004,
    "rank_ratio": 0.14871794871794872,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.0,
    "momentum_p2": 30.0,
    "points_diff": -1197,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -13.899999999999999,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 56.666666666666664,
    "utr_advantage": -7.413509060955521,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -90,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.9057037285772729,
    "rank_advantage": -166,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5454545454545454,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": -6.666666666666664,
    "bp_converted_diff": -3.700000000000003,
    "p1_surface_matches": 14,
    "p2_surface_matches": 30,
    "serve_quality_diff": -5.02095238095238,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7171717171717171,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.6904761904761907,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7433333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.300000000000004,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.5678368026508025,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.691733692287914,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 12.704691523848481,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.88235294117647,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.6999999999999957,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.4666666666666667,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -4.469999999999999,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 240,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.16600000000000004,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09933333333333338,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.372549019607844,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}