Naomi Osaka vs Antonia Ružić
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 14:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Naomi Osaka
Naomi …: 78,4% Antonia …: 21,7%
¿Por qué Naomi Osaka?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Naomi … Antonia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,22 4,33 82,0%
Gamdom 1,24 4,50 80,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,28 4,62 78,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Naomi …: +0,3% Antonia …: -0,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Naomi Osaka
Ranking #17
UTR Rating 12,60 Pro
UTR Ranking #15
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 23/31 = 74,2%
Antonia Ružić
Ranking #65
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 18/32 = 56,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 55,0000
rank_ratio 4,4375
log_rank_ratio 1,4901
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 1441,0000
best_rank_diff 68,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 17,9435
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 15,8730
surface_matches_ratio 0,9688
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 74,1935
surface_wr_p2 56,2500
surface_wr_p1_stable 71,4286
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,5556
p1_surface_matches 31,0000
p2_surface_matches 32,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4839
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 14,1941
first_serve_won_diff 12,2125
second_serve_won_diff 2,7188
bp_saved_diff 3,0531
bp_converted_diff 0,5594
aces_per_match_diff 3,6361
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 68,0000
momentum_p2 90,0000
momentum_diff -22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -19,0650
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 13,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0777
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5625
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 13,3798
serve_consistency_p2 10,2397
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 26,7375
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1869
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1175
elite_surface_amplifier 35,8871
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,5412
utr_p2 0,5412
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23224
API ID 15372331
Gamdom ID 601033
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23224,
    "api_id": 15372331,
    "gamdom_id": 601033,
    "player1": "Naomi Osaka",
    "player2": "Antonia Ru\u017ei\u0107",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-20T10:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.22,
      "p2": 4.333333333333334
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.24,
      "p2": 4.5
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.23,
      "p2": 4.16
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7835,
    "prob_p2": 0.2165,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7835,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 17,
      "utr_singles": 12.6,
      "utr_ranking": 15,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 74.19354838709677,
      "wr_surface_wins": 23,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 65,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.25,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.6,
      "ranking": 15,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5411764705882353,
    "utr_p2": 0.5411764705882353,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 4.4375,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 68.0,
    "momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 1441,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.0531250000000014,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -21.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 74.19354838709677,
    "surface_wr_p2": 56.25,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 68,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.490091154801534,
    "rank_advantage": 55,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 17.94354838709677,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.5593749999999957,
    "p1_surface_matches": 31,
    "p2_surface_matches": 32,
    "serve_quality_diff": 14.19405241935484,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.077720207253886,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5625,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.636088709677419,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 12.212500000000006,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.4838709677419355,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 13.379790448698923,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.239682918794305,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 26.737522737366227,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 71.42857142857143,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.55555555555556,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.71875,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.96875,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -19.064999999999998,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 35.88709677419354,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 13,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1869354838709677,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.11749999999999994,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.873015873015873,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}