Naomi Osaka vs Antonia Ružić
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 14:00
20 Ene 2026, 14:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Naomi Osaka
Naomi …: 78,4%
Antonia …: 21,7%
¿Por qué Naomi Osaka?
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Naomi … | Antonia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,22 | 4,33 | 82,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,24 | 4,50 | 80,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,28 | 4,62 | 78,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Naomi …: +0,3%
Antonia …: -0,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Naomi Osaka
Ranking
#17
UTR Rating
12,60 Pro
UTR Ranking
#15
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
23/31 = 74,2%
Antonia Ružić
Ranking
#65
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
18/32 = 56,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 55,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4,4375 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,4901 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1441,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 68,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 17,9435 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 15,8730 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9688 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 74,1935 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56,2500 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 71,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,5556 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4839 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 14,1941 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 12,2125 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,7188 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,0531 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,5594 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,6361 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -19,0650 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 13,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0777 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5625 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 13,3798 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,2397 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 26,7375 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1869 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1175 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 35,8871 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5412 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5412 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23224
API ID
15372331
Gamdom ID
601033
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23224,
"api_id": 15372331,
"gamdom_id": 601033,
"player1": "Naomi Osaka",
"player2": "Antonia Ru\u017ei\u0107",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-20T10:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.22,
"p2": 4.333333333333334
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.24,
"p2": 4.5
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.23,
"p2": 4.16
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7835,
"prob_p2": 0.2165,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7835,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 17,
"utr_singles": 12.6,
"utr_ranking": 15,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 74.19354838709677,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 65,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.25,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.6,
"ranking": 15,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.5411764705882353,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 4.4375,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 1441,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.0531250000000014,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -21.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 74.19354838709677,
"surface_wr_p2": 56.25,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 68,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.490091154801534,
"rank_advantage": 55,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 17.94354838709677,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.5593749999999957,
"p1_surface_matches": 31,
"p2_surface_matches": 32,
"serve_quality_diff": 14.19405241935484,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.077720207253886,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5625,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.636088709677419,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 12.212500000000006,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.4838709677419355,
"serve_consistency_p1": 13.379790448698923,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.239682918794305,
"surface_rank_synergy": 26.737522737366227,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 71.42857142857143,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.55555555555556,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.71875,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.96875,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -19.064999999999998,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 35.88709677419354,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 13,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1869354838709677,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.11749999999999994,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.873015873015873,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}