Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Ella Seidel
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 08:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Oksana …: 59,1% Ella …: 40,9%
¿Por qué Oksana Selekhmeteva?
UTR 12,02 vs 12,03 (-0,08) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Oksana … Ella … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,80 2,00 55,6%
Gamdom 1,77 2,15 56,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,69 2,45 59,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Oksana …: +6,5% Ella …: -6,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Ranking #101
UTR Rating 12,02 Pro
UTR Ranking #100
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 9/13 = 69,2%
Ella Seidel
Ranking #82
UTR Rating 12,03 Pro
UTR Ranking #98
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 26/38 = 68,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -20,0000
rank_ratio 0,7959
log_rank_ratio -0,2283
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -84,0000
best_rank_diff -18,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,8097
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1,4444
surface_matches_ratio 0,3421
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 69,2308
surface_wr_p2 68,4211
surface_wr_p1_stable 64,7059
surface_wr_p2_stable 66,6667
p1_surface_matches 13,0000
p2_surface_matches 38,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3846
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4733
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7367
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,8295
first_serve_won_diff -1,4684
second_serve_won_diff 2,8132
bp_saved_diff -11,2816
bp_converted_diff -1,2211
aces_per_match_diff -0,4696
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 52,0000
momentum_p2 22,0000
momentum_diff 30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 25,6690
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 5,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,3778
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7143
serve_consistency_p1 9,7853
serve_consistency_p2 12,6322
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,1848
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2123
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1642
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0800
utr_p1 0,4741
utr_p2 0,4835
utr_advantage -0,6628
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23225
API ID 15372314
Gamdom ID 601057
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23225,
    "api_id": 15372314,
    "gamdom_id": 601057,
    "player1": "Oksana Selekhmeteva",
    "player2": "Ella Seidel",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-19T04:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.8,
      "p2": 2.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.77,
      "p2": 2.15
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.72,
      "p2": 2.1
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5914,
    "prob_p2": 0.4086,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5914,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 101,
      "utr_singles": 12.02,
      "utr_ranking": 100,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 69.23076923076923,
      "wr_surface_wins": 9,
      "wr_surface_total": 13,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 82,
      "utr_singles": 12.03,
      "utr_ranking": 98,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 68.42105263157895,
      "wr_surface_wins": 26,
      "wr_surface_total": 38,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.02,
      "ranking": 100,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.03,
      "ranking": 98,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4741176470588235,
    "utr_p2": 0.4835294117647058,
    "utr_diff": -0.08000000000000007,
    "rank_ratio": 0.7959183673469388,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 52.0,
    "momentum_p2": 22.0,
    "points_diff": -84,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -11.281578947368416,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": 30.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 69.23076923076923,
    "surface_wr_p2": 68.42105263157895,
    "utr_advantage": -0.6628003314001663,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -18,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.2282586519809802,
    "rank_advantage": -20,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0.8097165991902813,
    "bp_converted_diff": -1.2210526315789565,
    "p1_surface_matches": 13,
    "p2_surface_matches": 38,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.8295344129554678,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.37777777777777777,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.46963562753036436,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7366666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.4684210526315695,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.38461538461538464,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.785279165630474,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 12.632229261616024,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.18482481941779724,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 64.70588235294117,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 66.66666666666666,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.8131578947368396,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.34210526315789475,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 25.66900000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2123076923076923,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.16421052631578947,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.4444444444444393,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}