Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Ella Seidel
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 08:05
19 Ene 2026, 08:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Oksana …: 59,1%
Ella …: 40,9%
¿Por qué Oksana Selekhmeteva?
UTR 12,02 vs 12,03
(-0,08)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Oksana … | Ella … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,80 | 2,00 | 55,6% |
| Gamdom | 1,77 | 2,15 | 56,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,69 | 2,45 | 59,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Oksana …: +6,5%
Ella …: -6,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Ranking
#101
UTR Rating
12,02 Pro
UTR Ranking
#100
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
9/13 = 69,2%
Ella Seidel
Ranking
#82
UTR Rating
12,03 Pro
UTR Ranking
#98
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
26/38 = 68,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -20,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7959 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2283 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -84,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -18,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,8097 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1,4444 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3421 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 69,2308 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 68,4211 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 64,7059 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 66,6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 13,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 38,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3846 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4733 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7367 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,8295 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,4684 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,8132 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -11,2816 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,2211 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,4696 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 25,6690 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,3778 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7143 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,7853 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,6322 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,1848 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2123 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1642 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4741 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4835 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,6628 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23225
API ID
15372314
Gamdom ID
601057
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23225,
"api_id": 15372314,
"gamdom_id": 601057,
"player1": "Oksana Selekhmeteva",
"player2": "Ella Seidel",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-19T04:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.8,
"p2": 2.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.77,
"p2": 2.15
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.72,
"p2": 2.1
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5914,
"prob_p2": 0.4086,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5914,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 101,
"utr_singles": 12.02,
"utr_ranking": 100,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 69.23076923076923,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 13,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 82,
"utr_singles": 12.03,
"utr_ranking": 98,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 68.42105263157895,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 38,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 100,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.03,
"ranking": 98,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4835294117647058,
"utr_diff": -0.08000000000000007,
"rank_ratio": 0.7959183673469388,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
"momentum_p2": 22.0,
"points_diff": -84,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -11.281578947368416,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": 30.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 69.23076923076923,
"surface_wr_p2": 68.42105263157895,
"utr_advantage": -0.6628003314001663,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -18,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.2282586519809802,
"rank_advantage": -20,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 0.8097165991902813,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.2210526315789565,
"p1_surface_matches": 13,
"p2_surface_matches": 38,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.8295344129554678,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.37777777777777777,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.46963562753036436,
"combined_confidence": 0.7366666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.4684210526315695,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.38461538461538464,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.785279165630474,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.632229261616024,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.18482481941779724,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 64.70588235294117,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 66.66666666666666,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.8131578947368396,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.34210526315789475,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 25.66900000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2123076923076923,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.16421052631578947,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.4444444444444393,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}