Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Madison Keys
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 04:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Madison Keys
Oleksandra …: 8,3% Madison …: 91,8%
¿Por qué Madison Keys?
UTR 12,25 vs 12,50 (-0,22) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Oleksandra … Madison … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 15,00 1,03 6,7%
Gamdom 16,00 1,03 6,3%
IA Fair Odds 12,12 1,09 8,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Oleksandra …: +1,8% Madison …: -1,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Ranking #92
UTR Rating 12,25 Pro
UTR Ranking #55
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Madison Keys
Ranking #9
UTR Rating 12,50 Pro
UTR Ranking #25
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 24/32 = 75,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -81,0000
rank_ratio 0,1000
log_rank_ratio -2,3026
rank_tier_advantage -3,0000
points_diff -3199,0000
best_rank_diff -85,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -75,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -4,5038
surface_matches_ratio 0,0313
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 75,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 65,3636
surface_wr_p2_stable 72,2222
p1_surface_matches 1,0000
p2_surface_matches 32,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3133
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,6567
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -21,8600
first_serve_won_diff -12,0000
second_serve_won_diff -21,8250
bp_saved_diff -39,6375
bp_converted_diff -30,5438
aces_per_match_diff -4,6563
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -13,3500
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 45,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -5,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7788
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 4,6064
serve_consistency_p2 4,6303
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 172,6939
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4190
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1690
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2200
utr_p1 0,5000
utr_p2 0,5259
utr_advantage -1,7799
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23226
API ID 15372316
Gamdom ID 601048
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23226,
    "api_id": 15372316,
    "gamdom_id": 601048,
    "player1": "Oleksandra Oliynykova",
    "player2": "Madison Keys",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-20T00:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 15.0,
      "p2": 1.03
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 16.0,
      "p2": 1.03
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 12.87,
      "p2": 1.03
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.0825,
    "prob_p2": 0.9175,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.9175,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 92,
      "utr_singles": 12.25,
      "utr_ranking": 55,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 9,
      "utr_singles": 12.5,
      "utr_ranking": 25,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 75.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.25,
      "ranking": 55,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.5,
      "ranking": 25,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.5258823529411766,
    "utr_diff": -0.22000000000000064,
    "rank_ratio": 0.1,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": -3199,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -39.6375,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 75.0,
    "utr_advantage": -1.7799352750809114,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -85,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -2.3025850929940455,
    "rank_advantage": -81,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -5,
    "surface_wr_diff": -75.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -30.54375,
    "p1_surface_matches": 1,
    "p2_surface_matches": 32,
    "serve_quality_diff": -21.86,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.778816199376947,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -4.65625,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6566666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -12.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.606361185259489,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.63026807588601,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 172.69388197455342,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 65.36363636363636,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 72.22222222222221,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -21.825000000000003,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.03125,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -13.350000000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 45,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.41900000000000004,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.16900000000000004,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.503804713804711,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}