Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Madison Keys
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 04:30
20 Ene 2026, 04:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Madison Keys
Oleksandra …: 8,3%
Madison …: 91,8%
¿Por qué Madison Keys?
UTR 12,25 vs 12,50
(-0,22)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Oleksandra … | Madison … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 15,00 | 1,03 | 6,7% |
| Gamdom | 16,00 | 1,03 | 6,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 12,12 | 1,09 | 8,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Oleksandra …: +1,8%
Madison …: -1,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Ranking
#92
UTR Rating
12,25 Pro
UTR Ranking
#55
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
0/1 = 0,0%
Madison Keys
Ranking
#9
UTR Rating
12,50 Pro
UTR Ranking
#25
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
24/32 = 75,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -81,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -2,3026 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -3,0000 | |
| points_diff | -3199,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -85,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -75,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -4,5038 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0313 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 75,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 65,3636 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 72,2222 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 1,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -1,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3133 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6567 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -21,8600 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -12,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -21,8250 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -39,6375 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -30,5438 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -4,6563 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -13,3500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 45,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -5,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7788 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,6064 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,6303 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 172,6939 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,4190 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1690 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5259 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,7799 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23226
API ID
15372316
Gamdom ID
601048
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23226,
"api_id": 15372316,
"gamdom_id": 601048,
"player1": "Oleksandra Oliynykova",
"player2": "Madison Keys",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-20T00:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 15.0,
"p2": 1.03
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 16.0,
"p2": 1.03
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 12.87,
"p2": 1.03
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.0825,
"prob_p2": 0.9175,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.9175,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 92,
"utr_singles": 12.25,
"utr_ranking": 55,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 9,
"utr_singles": 12.5,
"utr_ranking": 25,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 75.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 55,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 25,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.5258823529411766,
"utr_diff": -0.22000000000000064,
"rank_ratio": 0.1,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": -3199,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -39.6375,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 75.0,
"utr_advantage": -1.7799352750809114,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -85,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -2.3025850929940455,
"rank_advantage": -81,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -5,
"surface_wr_diff": -75.0,
"bp_converted_diff": -30.54375,
"p1_surface_matches": 1,
"p2_surface_matches": 32,
"serve_quality_diff": -21.86,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.778816199376947,
"aces_per_match_diff": -4.65625,
"combined_confidence": 0.6566666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -3,
"first_serve_won_diff": -12.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.606361185259489,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.63026807588601,
"surface_rank_synergy": 172.69388197455342,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 65.36363636363636,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 72.22222222222221,
"second_serve_won_diff": -21.825000000000003,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.03125,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -13.350000000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 45,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.41900000000000004,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.16900000000000004,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.503804713804711,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}