Olga Danilovic vs Venus Williams
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
18 Ene 2026, 12:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Olga Danilovic
Olga …: 83,8% Venus …: 16,2%
¿Por qué Olga Danilovic?
UTR 12,27 vs 11,62 (+0,44) — Niveles similares
Olga …
Sin datos
Venus …
W1-L3
25% WR
vs UTR 12,3
L3
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Olga … Venus … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,14 5,50 87,7%
Gamdom 1,16 5,80 86,2%
IA Fair Odds 1,19 6,17 83,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Olga …: +1,0% Venus …: -1,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Olga Danilovic
Ranking #69
UTR Rating 12,27 Pro
UTR Ranking #48
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 7/16 = 43,8%
Venus Williams
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,62 Pro
UTR Ranking #156
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 17% (6p)
WR Hard 1/4 = 25,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Olga Danilovic
Sin datos UTR v4
Venus Williams
Record 2025 1W - 3L (25%)
Racha 3L
UTR Oponentes 12,3
Últimos 5:
L L L W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 432,0000
rank_ratio 7,3529
log_rank_ratio 1,9951
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 957,0000
best_rank_diff 468,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 18,7500
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 6,6500
surface_matches_ratio 4,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 43,7500
surface_wr_p2 25,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 45,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 30,0000
p1_surface_matches 16,0000
p2_surface_matches 4,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1250
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5333
p2_confidence 0,3533
combined_confidence 0,4433
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,7213
first_serve_won_diff -0,5625
second_serve_won_diff 15,4250
bp_saved_diff 20,6250
bp_converted_diff -3,4000
aces_per_match_diff -0,3125
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,6000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 52,0000
momentum_p2 0,0000
momentum_diff 52,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 44,9720
current_streak_diff 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 4,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8450
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9167
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,2289
serve_consistency_p2 8,5134
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 37,4081
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4945
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1820
elite_surface_amplifier 37,5000
UTR
utr_diff 0,4400
utr_p1 0,5035
utr_p2 0,4518
utr_advantage 3,6484
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23227
API ID 15372297
Gamdom ID 601073
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23227,
    "api_id": 15372297,
    "gamdom_id": 601073,
    "player1": "Olga Danilovic",
    "player2": "Venus Williams",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-18T08:55:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.1400000000000001,
      "p2": 5.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.16,
      "p2": 5.8
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.15,
      "p2": 5.44
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.838,
    "prob_p2": 0.162,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.838,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 69,
      "utr_singles": 12.27,
      "utr_ranking": 48,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 43.75,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 16,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.62,
      "utr_ranking": 156,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 1,
      "utr_v4_losses": 3,
      "utr_v4_wr": 25.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.26,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.57,
          "opponent_name": "Karolina Muchova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.27,
          "opponent_name": "Jessica Bouzas Maneiro"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.05,
          "opponent_name": "Magdalena Frech"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.15,
          "opponent_name": "Peyton Stearns"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:56.364977+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 25.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 4,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 16.666666666666664,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.27,
      "ranking": 48,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.62,
      "ranking": 156,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5035294117647058,
    "utr_p2": 0.4517647058823529,
    "utr_diff": 0.4399999999999995,
    "rank_ratio": 7.352941176470588,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 52.0,
    "momentum_p2": 0.0,
    "points_diff": 957,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 20.625,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.6,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 52.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 43.75,
    "surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
    "utr_advantage": 3.6484245439469287,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 468,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.995100393246085,
    "rank_advantage": 432,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 18.75,
    "bp_converted_diff": -3.4000000000000057,
    "p1_surface_matches": 16,
    "p2_surface_matches": 4,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.721250000000005,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8449612403100775,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9166666666666666,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.3125,
    "combined_confidence": 0.44333333333333336,
    "current_streak_diff": 4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.5625,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.125,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.22893032229279,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.513358182655479,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 37.40813237336409,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 30.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 15.425000000000004,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 4.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 44.97200000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 37.5,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.49449999999999994,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.18199999999999994,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.65,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}