Panna Udvardy vs Katerina Siniakova
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 04:00
20 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Katerina Siniakova
Panna …: 48,6%
Katerina …: 51,4%
¿Por qué Katerina Siniakova?
UTR 11,79 vs 12,46
(-0,51)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Panna … | Katerina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 6,50 | 1,11 | 15,4% |
| Gamdom | 7,00 | 1,13 | 14,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,06 | 1,94 | 48,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Panna …: +34,0%
Katerina …: -34,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Panna Udvardy
Ranking
#90
UTR Rating
11,79 Pro
UTR Ranking
#158
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
7/10 = 70,0%
Katerina Siniakova
Ranking
#45
UTR Rating
12,46 Pro
UTR Ranking
#26
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
21/33 = 63,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -43,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5169 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,6600 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -353,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -49,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 6,3636 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,5219 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3030 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 63,6364 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 64,2857 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 62,1622 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 10,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4333 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 7,2161 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 7,0424 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,7000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 11,7091 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,0879 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,7424 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -29,0250 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6852 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5714 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,0058 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,5537 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -4,2000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2430 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0934 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,5100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4682 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5282 | |
| utr_advantage | -4,1684 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23228
API ID
15372313
Gamdom ID
601054
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23228,
"api_id": 15372313,
"gamdom_id": 601054,
"player1": "Panna Udvardy",
"player2": "Katerina Siniakova",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-20T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 6.5,
"p2": 1.11
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 7.0,
"p2": 1.13
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 6.39,
"p2": 1.11
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4858,
"prob_p2": 0.5142,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5142,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 90,
"utr_singles": 11.79,
"utr_ranking": 158,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 70.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 45,
"utr_singles": 12.46,
"utr_ranking": 26,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.63636363636363,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.79,
"ranking": 158,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.46,
"ranking": 26,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4682352941176471,
"utr_p2": 0.5282352941176471,
"utr_diff": -0.5099999999999998,
"rank_ratio": 0.5168539325842697,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 10.0,
"momentum_p2": 38.0,
"points_diff": -353,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 11.70909090909091,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -28.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 70.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 63.63636363636363,
"utr_advantage": -4.1683694319574975,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -49,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.6599949732430448,
"rank_advantage": -43,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5714285714285714,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 6.363636363636367,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.08787878787879322,
"p1_surface_matches": 10,
"p2_surface_matches": 33,
"serve_quality_diff": 7.216060606060601,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6851851851851852,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.7424242424242424,
"combined_confidence": 0.7166666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 7.042424242424232,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.4,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.005796838244708,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.553720829316917,
"surface_rank_synergy": -4.199968011546651,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 64.28571428571429,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.16216216216216,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.6999999999999957,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.30303030303030304,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -29.025000000000006,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.243,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09336363636363632,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.5218790218790268,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}