Petra Marčinko vs Tatjana Maria
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Petra Marčinko
Petra …: 73,3% Tatjana …: 26,7%
¿Por qué Petra Marčinko?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Petra … Tatjana … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,40 3,00 71,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,36 3,75 73,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Petra …: +5,1% Tatjana …: -5,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Petra Marčinko
Ranking #81
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 6/10 = 60,0%
Tatjana Maria
Ranking #42
UTR Rating 11,90 Pro
UTR Ranking #131
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 9/27 = 33,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -35,0000
rank_ratio 0,5455
log_rank_ratio -0,6061
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -378,0000
best_rank_diff -41,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 26,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 14,4393
surface_matches_ratio 0,3704
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 60,0000
surface_wr_p2 33,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 57,1429
surface_wr_p2_stable 35,4839
p1_surface_matches 10,0000
p2_surface_matches 27,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4333
p2_confidence 0,9000
combined_confidence 0,6667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,6077
first_serve_won_diff 7,2881
second_serve_won_diff 3,9281
bp_saved_diff 9,9726
bp_converted_diff 5,4141
aces_per_match_diff -1,6074
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 38,0000
momentum_p2 38,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 2,4510
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 7,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5652
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,8000
serve_consistency_p1 12,1299
serve_consistency_p2 9,0212
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -16,1636
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1350
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2017
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4635
utr_p2 0,4635
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23229
API ID 15372333
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
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  "match": {
    "id": 23229,
    "api_id": 15372333,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Petra Mar\u010dinko",
    "player2": "Tatjana Maria",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-19T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
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      "p2": 3.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
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    }
  },
  "prediction": {
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  "player_stats": {
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      "utr_singles": null,
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      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
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      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
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  "utr": {
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    "p2": {
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    "p2_confidence": 0.9,
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    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.6074074074074074,
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    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 7.288148148148146,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.129865797811098,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.021153029600821,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -16.163621428541752,
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    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 35.483870967741936,
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  "feature_importance": {}
}