Polina Kudermetova vs Guiomar Maristany Zuleta de Reales
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
18 Ene 2026, 10:05
18 Ene 2026, 10:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Polina Kudermetova
Polina …: 52,9%
Guiomar …: 47,1%
¿Por qué Polina Kudermetova?
UTR 11,71 vs 11,63
(-0,05)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Polina … | Guiomar … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,25 | 4,00 | 80,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,25 | 4,30 | 80,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,89 | 2,12 | 52,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Polina …: -23,3%
Guiomar …: +23,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Polina Kudermetova
Ranking
#150
UTR Rating
11,71 Pro
UTR Ranking
#182
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
17/35 = 48,6%
Guiomar Maristany Zuleta de Reales
Ranking
#185
UTR Rating
11,63 Pro
UTR Ranking
#204
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
1/3 = 33,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 34,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,2267 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2043 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 104,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 114,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 15,2381 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 9,5960 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 11,6667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 48,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 48,7179 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 34,3956 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 3,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0286 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3400 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6700 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 11,9621 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 14,1657 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,2914 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,9771 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -14,8314 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,9333 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -21,5990 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7468 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,7240 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,3508 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3,1131 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0483 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1327 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4212 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4271 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,4308 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23230
API ID
15373443
Gamdom ID
601594
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23230,
"api_id": 15373443,
"gamdom_id": 601594,
"player1": "Polina Kudermetova",
"player2": "Guiomar Maristany Zuleta de Reales",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-18T06:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 4.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 4.3
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.24,
"p2": 4.0
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5291,
"prob_p2": 0.4709,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5291,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 150,
"utr_singles": 11.71,
"utr_ranking": 182,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.57142857142857,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 185,
"utr_singles": 11.63,
"utr_ranking": 204,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 182,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 204,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4270588235294119,
"utr_diff": -0.05000000000000071,
"rank_ratio": 1.2266666666666666,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 104,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.977142857142859,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -29.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"surface_wr_p1": 48.57142857142857,
"surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
"utr_advantage": -0.43084877208100564,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 114,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.2043004635127298,
"rank_advantage": 34,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 15.23809523809524,
"bp_converted_diff": -14.831428571428575,
"p1_surface_matches": 35,
"p2_surface_matches": 3,
"serve_quality_diff": 11.962095238095237,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7468354430379747,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.9333333333333336,
"combined_confidence": 0.6699999999999999,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 14.16571428571428,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.02857142857142857,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.724034569019848,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.35078045420486,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.1131499201939783,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.717948717948715,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 34.395604395604394,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.2914285714285683,
"surface_matches_ratio": 11.666666666666666,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -21.599000000000004,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.04828571428571432,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1326666666666667,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.595970695970694,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}