Polina Kudermetova vs Guiomar Maristany Zuleta de Reales
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
18 Ene 2026, 10:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Polina Kudermetova
Polina …: 52,9% Guiomar …: 47,1%
¿Por qué Polina Kudermetova?
UTR 11,71 vs 11,63 (-0,05) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Polina … Guiomar … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,25 4,00 80,0%
Gamdom 1,25 4,30 80,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,89 2,12 52,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Polina …: -23,3% Guiomar …: +23,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Polina Kudermetova
Ranking #150
UTR Rating 11,71 Pro
UTR Ranking #182
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 17/35 = 48,6%
Guiomar Maristany Zuleta de Reales
Ranking #185
UTR Rating 11,63 Pro
UTR Ranking #204
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 1/3 = 33,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 34,0000
rank_ratio 1,2267
log_rank_ratio 0,2043
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 104,0000
best_rank_diff 114,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 15,2381
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 9,5960
surface_matches_ratio 11,6667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 48,5714
surface_wr_p2 33,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 48,7179
surface_wr_p2_stable 34,3956
p1_surface_matches 35,0000
p2_surface_matches 3,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0286
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,3400
combined_confidence 0,6700
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 11,9621
first_serve_won_diff 14,1657
second_serve_won_diff -3,2914
bp_saved_diff 6,9771
bp_converted_diff -14,8314
aces_per_match_diff 2,9333
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 90,0000
momentum_diff -30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -21,5990
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 7,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7468
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6000
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 11,7240
serve_consistency_p2 3,3508
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 3,1131
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0483
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1327
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0500
utr_p1 0,4212
utr_p2 0,4271
utr_advantage -0,4308
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23230
API ID 15373443
Gamdom ID 601594
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23230,
    "api_id": 15373443,
    "gamdom_id": 601594,
    "player1": "Polina Kudermetova",
    "player2": "Guiomar Maristany Zuleta de Reales",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-18T06:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.25,
      "p2": 4.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.25,
      "p2": 4.3
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.24,
      "p2": 4.0
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5291,
    "prob_p2": 0.4709,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5291,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 150,
      "utr_singles": 11.71,
      "utr_ranking": 182,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.57142857142857,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 185,
      "utr_singles": 11.63,
      "utr_ranking": 204,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 3,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 182,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 204,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_diff": -0.05000000000000071,
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    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.0,
    "momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 104,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 6.977142857142859,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -29.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
    "surface_wr_p1": 48.57142857142857,
    "surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
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    "best_rank_diff": 114,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
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    "rank_advantage": 34,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
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    "bp_converted_diff": -14.831428571428575,
    "p1_surface_matches": 35,
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    "serve_quality_diff": 11.962095238095237,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7468354430379747,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.9333333333333336,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6699999999999999,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 14.16571428571428,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.02857142857142857,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.724034569019848,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.35078045420486,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 3.1131499201939783,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.717948717948715,
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    "days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
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    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.04828571428571432,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1326666666666667,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.595970695970694,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}