Priscilla Hon vs Marina Stakusic
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 05:35
19 Ene 2026, 05:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Priscilla Hon
Priscilla …: 56,6%
Marina …: 43,4%
¿Por qué Priscilla Hon?
UTR 12,00 vs 11,97
(+0,04)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Priscilla … | Marina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,30 | 1,62 | 43,5% |
| Gamdom | 2,40 | 1,63 | 41,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,77 | 2,31 | 56,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Priscilla …: +15,3%
Marina …: -15,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Priscilla Hon
Ranking
#121
UTR Rating
12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#104
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
14/23 = 60,9%
Marina Stakusic
Ranking
#127
UTR Rating
11,97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#116
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
12/25 = 48,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 6,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0496 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0484 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 55,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 20,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 12,8696 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 8,7867 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9200 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,8696 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 59,2593 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 48,2759 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 25,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2174 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 8,7279 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,1080 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,4000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7,4280 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,8720 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,3270 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -1,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -80,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -57,3390 | |
| current_streak_diff | -6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 15,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0779 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,9552 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,4148 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,6228 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1027 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0140 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4729 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4682 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,3333 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23231
API ID
15373436
Gamdom ID
601579
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23231,
"api_id": 15373436,
"gamdom_id": 601579,
"player1": "Priscilla Hon",
"player2": "Marina Stakusic",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-19T01:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.3,
"p2": 1.62
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.4,
"p2": 1.63
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.34,
"p2": 1.58
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5663,
"prob_p2": 0.4337,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5663,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 121,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 104,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.86956521739131,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 127,
"utr_singles": 11.97,
"utr_ranking": 116,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 25,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 104,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 116,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 0.03999999999999915,
"rank_ratio": 1.0495867768595042,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 10.0,
"momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 55,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.42799999999999,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -1.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -79.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 60.86956521739131,
"surface_wr_p2": 48.0,
"utr_advantage": 0.33333333333332626,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 20,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.04839654086185024,
"rank_advantage": 6,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -4,
"surface_wr_diff": 12.869565217391312,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.8719999999999928,
"p1_surface_matches": 23,
"p2_surface_matches": 25,
"serve_quality_diff": 8.72791304347826,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.077922077922078,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.326956521739131,
"combined_confidence": 0.7999999999999999,
"current_streak_diff": -6,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.108000000000004,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.21739130434782608,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.9552009194849065,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.414838616637196,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.6228424389177252,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 59.25925925925925,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.275862068965516,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.3999999999999986,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.92,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -57.339,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 15,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10269565217391308,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.014000000000000012,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.786717752234988,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}