Priscilla Hon vs Marina Stakusic
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 05:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Priscilla Hon
Priscilla …: 56,6% Marina …: 43,4%
¿Por qué Priscilla Hon?
UTR 12,00 vs 11,97 (+0,04) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Priscilla … Marina … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,30 1,62 43,5%
Gamdom 2,40 1,63 41,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,77 2,31 56,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Priscilla …: +15,3% Marina …: -15,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Priscilla Hon
Ranking #121
UTR Rating 12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #104
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 14/23 = 60,9%
Marina Stakusic
Ranking #127
UTR Rating 11,97 Pro
UTR Ranking #116
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 12/25 = 48,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 6,0000
rank_ratio 1,0496
log_rank_ratio 0,0484
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 55,0000
best_rank_diff 20,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 12,8696
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 8,7867
surface_matches_ratio 0,9200
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 60,8696
surface_wr_p2 48,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 59,2593
surface_wr_p2_stable 48,2759
p1_surface_matches 23,0000
p2_surface_matches 25,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2174
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,7667
p2_confidence 0,8333
combined_confidence 0,8000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 8,7279
first_serve_won_diff 2,1080
second_serve_won_diff 3,4000
bp_saved_diff 7,4280
bp_converted_diff 0,8720
aces_per_match_diff 3,3270
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -1,0000
momentum_p1 10,0000
momentum_p2 90,0000
momentum_diff -80,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -57,3390
current_streak_diff -6,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 15,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0779
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 7,9552
serve_consistency_p2 10,4148
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,6228
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1027
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0140
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0400
utr_p1 0,4729
utr_p2 0,4682
utr_advantage 0,3333
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23231
API ID 15373436
Gamdom ID 601579
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23231,
    "api_id": 15373436,
    "gamdom_id": 601579,
    "player1": "Priscilla Hon",
    "player2": "Marina Stakusic",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-19T01:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.3,
      "p2": 1.62
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.4,
      "p2": 1.63
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.34,
      "p2": 1.58
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5663,
    "prob_p2": 0.4337,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5663,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 121,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 104,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.86956521739131,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 127,
      "utr_singles": 11.97,
      "utr_ranking": 116,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 25,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 104,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.97,
      "ranking": 116,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.4682352941176471,
    "utr_diff": 0.03999999999999915,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0495867768595042,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 10.0,
    "momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 55,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 7.42799999999999,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -1.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -79.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 60.86956521739131,
    "surface_wr_p2": 48.0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.33333333333332626,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 20,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.04839654086185024,
    "rank_advantage": 6,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -4,
    "surface_wr_diff": 12.869565217391312,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.8719999999999928,
    "p1_surface_matches": 23,
    "p2_surface_matches": 25,
    "serve_quality_diff": 8.72791304347826,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.077922077922078,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.326956521739131,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7999999999999999,
    "current_streak_diff": -6,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.108000000000004,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.21739130434782608,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.9552009194849065,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.414838616637196,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.6228424389177252,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 59.25925925925925,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.275862068965516,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.3999999999999986,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.92,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -57.339,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 15,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10269565217391308,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.014000000000000012,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.786717752234988,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}